Latest Manager Research – Page 294
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Emerging market equities – Assessing the regional prospects
Even if we expect emerging market equities to outperform their developed market peers, country and sector differences, as always, will be significant.
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ECB QE Monitor – June 2020
ECB strengthened its intention to make its action long-term: The ECB revised its medium-term inflation target substantially on the downside. Core inflation is forecast to reach only 0.9% in 2022 (0.8% in 2020, 0.7% in 2021). The ECB justified the adjustment of the size of the PEPP by ...
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Asian Credit Remains Firmly Investment Grade
Spread-widening in the Asian credit markets due to COVID-19 is understandable, but we believe it overstates downgrade and default risks, and represents an attractive value opportunity for long-term investors.
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Improving the Robustness of Trading Strategy Backtesting with Boltzmann Machines and Generative Adversarial Networks
In this article, we explore generative models in order to build a market generator. The underlying idea is to simulate artificial multi-dimensional financial time series, whose statistical properties are the same as those observed in the financial markets. In particular, these synthetic data must preserve the first four statistical moments (mean, standard deviation, skewness and kurtosis), the stochastic dependence between the different dimensions (copula structure) and across time (autocorrelation function).
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South Korea: A Shining Example of Emerging Market Leadership
Many countries have learned valuable lessons from prior crisis periods that have helped them navigate the current coronavirus pandemic. South Korea is one example.
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Giving credit to decarbonisation (part 2)
What actions are commercial real-estate owners, and their lenders, taking to reduce carbon emissions – and how can this impact the performance of their assets?
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Giving credit to decarbonisation (part 1)
What are the hallmarks of best-practice carbon disclosures among corporate-bond issuers, and how can climate action positively impact the performance of companies?
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Real Estate: The Last Dance for gut feel investing
Commercial property investors could learn a lot from the data-led revolution that has taken place in basketball in recent years, as Chris Urwin explains.
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Adapting to the new normal: crisis management, housing and the future of real estate
How can property managers adapt to the new reality of socially distanced spaces? And as the coronavirus pandemic throws into sharp relief the issues of housing affordability, adequate living space and the need for offices, has the real-estate market changed for good? To find out more, sign up for our three-part webinar series.
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The day after #9 - Covid-19 crisis, a catalyst for change and strengthening the EU
The Conference on the Future of Europe, planned earlier this year, will probably open in September in a very different context than initially expected. Who will chair it and whether a new treaty for the union will be on the agenda remains unclear, but the need to address repositioning Europe post the Covid-19 pandemic is clear.
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Green News & Views: Green Bonds – Innovative financing and a cornerstone of responsible investing
UBS Asset Management’s Real Estate & Private Markets business is one of the largest asset managers in real assets worldwide, currently managing over USD 100bn globally. By combining the joint expertise of over 500 talented people working across Direct Real Estate and Direct Infrastructure as well as Multi-Manager Solutions in Real Estate, Infrastructure and Private Equity, we believe we can offer clients integrated solutions to optimize the diversification of client portfolios, whether that be in targeting access-restricted private equity funds or niche real estate funds.
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Real assets and the quest for resilient income
COVID-19 has made life harder for already yield-starved investors, and each asset class faces its own challenges. We draw on the latest thinking from our Real Assets House View and research team to highlight where reliable income sources can still be found in real asset markets.
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Record US Index Concentration Adds Hazards for Investors
US growth companies led the second-quarter rebound, fueled by the five largest technology and new media stocks, which now comprise more than a third of the Russell 1000 Growth Index (R1000G). Investors should be alert to the risks of high benchmark concentration.
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Lopsided Equity Rally Highlights Growing Market Risks
Global equities rebounded sharply in the second quarter, driven by massive stimulus efforts and progress in the fight against the coronavirus. But investors face new risks in the third quarter as companies and countries count the costs of the pandemic and cope with the threat of a second wave of contagion.
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The inflation genie – Understanding the drivers for the medium term
The COVID-19 pandemic has revived a familiar conversation about the inflation genie escaping the bottle. The speculation is similar to the one that surfaced in the immediate aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis and at various points since then: That we are likely to experience a burst of inflation in the coming years.
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Asia ex-Japan Strategy Update: June 2020
The current economic environment is in many respects unprecedented. In the last century, perhaps with the exception of the world wars, almost all financial crises have been ‘financial’ in nature. Today’s crisis is different: it is not just about ownership or claims on assets, it is a public health crisis. When the coronavirus pandemic eventually recedes, what will a recovery in equities look like?
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Asset Allocation Committee Outlook - 3Q 2020
“We are confident that the economy will be bigger in 12 months’ time than it is today, and therefore we are biased toward taking risk. But we are unable to reconcile the the size and speed of the stock market rebound at the beginning of June with what is likely to be a gradual re-opening process and moderate medium-term growth.”
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Core Matters - Has globalisation peaked?
Globalisation has always been a matter of controversy. In economic terms, it has been widely credited with a rise in productivity by exploiting gains of trade. It has also led to lower prices and more product variety for consumers. However, it is also seen as a driving force of de-industrialisation and rising inequality in Advanced Economies (AEs), while fostering a catch-up process in Emerging Markets (EMs).
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Sharpe Thinking: reality sets in
What’s moving the investment landscape? In these turbulent markets, we bring you views from our portfolio managers, analysts and economists, delivered by our Investment Office – an independent body ensuring that our investment teams perform in the best interest of clients.
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Our preparations for the reform of LIBOR
LIBOR will continue giving way to replacement rates ahead of its retirement by the end of 2021. We will soon be familiar with SONIA in the UK, ESTR in Europe and SOFR in the US. Work continues across M&G and the industry to ensure as smooth a transition as possible to the new rates. This bank of Frequently Asked Questions aims to assist understanding of what’s happening, why it’s happening and how we expect it might affect investments.