We see geopolitical risks persisting as a base-case scenario for 2025. Below we share the main upside and downside risks to our base case that investors should take into consideration.
Investors learned the hard way that, without belief in fundamentals, one can still make money in China. Over the summer of 2024, the prevailing sentiment was ‘ABC’ (Anything But China) – a full-blown existential crisis framing China as an uninvestable asset class. In late September, China equities rallied an average of 25% on the back of official talk, triggering a widespread ‘buy everything’ sentiment, as the fear of missing out spread across the market.