All High Yield articles
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White papersFixed income outlook: resilient US provides an anchor
The enduring resilience of the US economy will be a key driver of financial markets in 2025 and beyond. Having avoided recession, the US is returning to mid-cycle, according to economic data, while inflation has continued to ease back towards the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 2% target, enabling the central bank to begin cutting rates. We believe the Fed views monetary policy as restrictive and will likely continue lowering rates, albeit at a slower pace than previously expected.
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White papersEmerging Markets Debt Under Trump 2.0
EMD has been more resilient after November’s election than it was after the 2016 result—so, what has changed, and will this resilience last?
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White papersAnother banner year for liquidity?
Investors won’t forget near-zero yields in a hurry. Liquidity – and the healthy returns on offer – will remain king in the coming year.
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White papers2025 Outlook: Global Fixed Income Roundtable
Against a shifting macro, political and geopolitical backdrop, our fixed income portfolio managers explore the future prospects for high yield, emerging markets debt, and investment grade credit.
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White papersIs the auto sector stuck in second gear?
The auto sector hit a series of roadblocks in Q2, causing several companies to scale back their growth forecasts for the year. What is the current outlook for manufacturers and suppliers and where do we see select opportunities?
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White papersInsurance Fixed Income at the Top of the Cycle
How a fixed income portfolio split between core government bonds and high quality private assets can both augment yield and build strength for an economic slowdown.
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White papersTrump’s victory signals major policy shifts ahead
The magnitude of US President-elect Donald Trump’s victory on Tuesday brings the strong likelihood he will have a mandate for his economic, market and foreign policy agenda. Winning the Electoral College and popular vote, as well as gaining Republican control of the Senate, means Trump’s key policy issues, such as tax cuts, higher tariffs and immigration curbs may come faster than expected — potentially in the early months of 2025.
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White papersIG Credit: Idiosyncratic Opportunities in a Favorable Environment
Given the combination of still-elevated yields, solid fundamentals and technicals, and a resilient U.S. economy, IG corporate credit looks well-positioned for the months ahead.
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White papersHigh Yield: Resilience Amid a Shifting Backdrop
With the favorable fundamental and technical backdrop firmly in place, and attractive income opportunities remaining in both bonds and loans, the case for high yield continues to be compelling.
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White papersEuropean high yield: default rate coming down
Our par-weighted default rate forecast for European High Yield (EHY) is 3.8% for the forward 12-month period and 7.2% for the forward 24-month period. Excluding hybrid issuers, the default rate increases to 4.5% over 12 months and 8.5% over 24 months. This compares to a LTM (last 12 months) default rate for Europe, to April 2024, of 4.1%1, and a recent peak through the Covid-19 pandemic of 6.9%.
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White papersFixed income perspectives 4Q 2024: Capturing fixed income opportunities as central banks shift gears
The outlook, themes, and investment implications for global fixed income markets
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White papersThe three things every engager should know
What three lessons have the SDG Engagement High Yield Credit team learned in the half decade since inception?
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White papersSDG Engagement High Yield Credit: 2024 H1 Report
Five years since the launch of our SDG Engagement High Yield Credit strategy, the investment team provide a full rundown of how their interactions with portfolio companies have created change.
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White papersChina: Is this the “whatever it takes” moment?
China’s recent stimulus measures, including monetary easing and a massive fiscal pledge, have sparked a sharp rally in equities, particularly in real estate and consumer staples. While market sentiment has improved, the long-term impact will hinge on the actual scale and execution of fiscal policy. Investors are cautiously optimistic, but much depends on how effectively China targets its property sector and broader economy.
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White papersLooking across ETF fixed income markets
For ETF fixed income investors, 2024 continues to be a positive year: most companies have managed to weather a backdrop of macro uncertainty; investors have continued to have access to attractive levels of yield; inflation, while sticky, has been moving in the right direction. Meanwhile, the volatility experienced at the start of August proved to be a storm in a teacup.
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White papersREITs: On course for a recovery
The onset of the Federal Reserve’s rate cutting cycle is expected to serve as a major catalyst for REITs, boosting valuations as discount rates fall. Historically, REITs have outperformed during similar economic conditions, and sectors with resilient, long-term cash flows are attractive today. Investors seeking real estate exposure should see this period as a compelling opportunity to benefit from REITs’ liquidity and potential for cap rate compression.
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VideoFrontier Market Debt Resilient, diversified, uncorrelated returns
Emerging and frontier markets are perceived as highly risky and volatile but for specialist, experienced investors they present potentially diverse, uncorrelated, and resilient high yield opportunities. Indeed, historically frontier market debt has a lower beta relative to other fixed income segments, and has been more resilient in drawdown periods, explains Global Evolution, a firm that is newly part of Generali Investments and has over 20 years’ experience in emerging and frontier market debt.
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White papersWhat the Fed’s rate cut means for US high yield
The US high yield (HY) market reacted positively to the 50 basis points (‘bps’) rate cut delivered by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September.
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White papersFixed income insights
Income-oriented investors need higher yields, diversification and lower risk. Our depth of fundamental research provides a potential information advantage. Our strategy breadth enables risk and return customization across public and private markets — all managed by specialized teams.
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White papersWhat makes infrastructure debt attractive? An interesting time to invest?
According to Viktor Kozel, Head of Infrastructure Debt, now is the optimal time to consider infrastructure debt given the huge amount of investment needed to support demographic change, decarbonization, deglobalization and digitalization.
