All High Yield articles
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White papers
Is the auto sector stuck in second gear?
The auto sector hit a series of roadblocks in Q2, causing several companies to scale back their growth forecasts for the year. What is the current outlook for manufacturers and suppliers and where do we see select opportunities?
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White papers
Insurance Fixed Income at the Top of the Cycle
How a fixed income portfolio split between core government bonds and high quality private assets can both augment yield and build strength for an economic slowdown.
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Trump’s victory signals major policy shifts ahead
The magnitude of US President-elect Donald Trump’s victory on Tuesday brings the strong likelihood he will have a mandate for his economic, market and foreign policy agenda. Winning the Electoral College and popular vote, as well as gaining Republican control of the Senate, means Trump’s key policy issues, such as tax cuts, higher tariffs and immigration curbs may come faster than expected — potentially in the early months of 2025.
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IG Credit: Idiosyncratic Opportunities in a Favorable Environment
Given the combination of still-elevated yields, solid fundamentals and technicals, and a resilient U.S. economy, IG corporate credit looks well-positioned for the months ahead.
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High Yield: Resilience Amid a Shifting Backdrop
With the favorable fundamental and technical backdrop firmly in place, and attractive income opportunities remaining in both bonds and loans, the case for high yield continues to be compelling.
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White papers
European high yield: default rate coming down
Our par-weighted default rate forecast for European High Yield (EHY) is 3.8% for the forward 12-month period and 7.2% for the forward 24-month period. Excluding hybrid issuers, the default rate increases to 4.5% over 12 months and 8.5% over 24 months. This compares to a LTM (last 12 months) default rate for Europe, to April 2024, of 4.1%1, and a recent peak through the Covid-19 pandemic of 6.9%.
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Fixed income perspectives 4Q 2024: Capturing fixed income opportunities as central banks shift gears
The outlook, themes, and investment implications for global fixed income markets
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The three things every engager should know
What three lessons have the SDG Engagement High Yield Credit team learned in the half decade since inception?
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SDG Engagement High Yield Credit: 2024 H1 Report
Five years since the launch of our SDG Engagement High Yield Credit strategy, the investment team provide a full rundown of how their interactions with portfolio companies have created change.
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China: Is this the “whatever it takes” moment?
China’s recent stimulus measures, including monetary easing and a massive fiscal pledge, have sparked a sharp rally in equities, particularly in real estate and consumer staples. While market sentiment has improved, the long-term impact will hinge on the actual scale and execution of fiscal policy. Investors are cautiously optimistic, but much depends on how effectively China targets its property sector and broader economy.
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White papers
Looking across ETF fixed income markets
For ETF fixed income investors, 2024 continues to be a positive year: most companies have managed to weather a backdrop of macro uncertainty; investors have continued to have access to attractive levels of yield; inflation, while sticky, has been moving in the right direction. Meanwhile, the volatility experienced at the start of August proved to be a storm in a teacup.
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White papers
REITs: On course for a recovery
The onset of the Federal Reserve’s rate cutting cycle is expected to serve as a major catalyst for REITs, boosting valuations as discount rates fall. Historically, REITs have outperformed during similar economic conditions, and sectors with resilient, long-term cash flows are attractive today. Investors seeking real estate exposure should see this period as a compelling opportunity to benefit from REITs’ liquidity and potential for cap rate compression.
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Video
Frontier Market Debt Resilient, diversified, uncorrelated returns
Emerging and frontier markets are perceived as highly risky and volatile but for specialist, experienced investors they present potentially diverse, uncorrelated, and resilient high yield opportunities. Indeed, historically frontier market debt has a lower beta relative to other fixed income segments, and has been more resilient in drawdown periods, explains Global Evolution, a firm that is newly part of Generali Investments and has over 20 years’ experience in emerging and frontier market debt.
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White papers
What the Fed’s rate cut means for US high yield
The US high yield (HY) market reacted positively to the 50 basis points (‘bps’) rate cut delivered by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September.
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Fixed income insights
Income-oriented investors need higher yields, diversification and lower risk. Our depth of fundamental research provides a potential information advantage. Our strategy breadth enables risk and return customization across public and private markets — all managed by specialized teams.
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What makes infrastructure debt attractive? An interesting time to invest?
According to Viktor Kozel, Head of Infrastructure Debt, now is the optimal time to consider infrastructure debt given the huge amount of investment needed to support demographic change, decarbonization, deglobalization and digitalization.
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White papers
Fixed income perspectives Q3 2024: A resilient U.S. economy
Despite policy rate cuts remaining elusive, several tailwinds are boosting a resilient U.S. economy. And while the Fed continues to navigate a potential soft landing, global central banks are actively transitioning onto a path of easing policy.
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Article Shopping around: The outlook for US retail
While remaining broadly cautious on the US retail sector, the credit team explain why they are focusing on names with turnaround stories where they see upside catalysts and better relative value.
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Are bonds back for H2?
We see opportunities across the market but believe having clear geographic distinctions will prove a key performance driver.
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High Yield: A Continued Bright Spot
Compelling income opportunities supported by favorable fundamental and technical conditions continue to attract investors to high yield bonds and loans.