Fixed Income – Page 59
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White papers
Digital Innovations—Pinpointing Fixed Income Credit Risks
Distinguishing which risks are more likely to pay in Fixed Income Markets versus those that probably won’t.
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Nuveen knows income - Securitized bonds: investment potential in a complex market
We think securitized credit may offer attractive risk-adjusted returns, but this complex market requires experienced, in‑depth analysis
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Distressed Debt: Seeking Opportunity in Choppy Waters
Investors are increasingly looking to distressed debt as the credit cycle matures. But with a competitive landscape and significant growth in private credit and European high yield, this cycle could look different than those of the past. Stuart Mathieson, Head of Barings’ Global Special Situations group, and Bryan High, Co-Portfolio Manager of the strategy, discuss how the macro environment is impacting their outlook, and where they’re seeing opportunities today.
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Fed And Ecb, Bridging From A “Mid-Cycle Adjustment” To An “Impactful And Significant” Package.
The minutes from the latest ECB meeting suggest that the ECB is likely to proceed with a full set of measures in September, confirming not only the indications from President Draghi following the meeting but also the very latest statements by Olly Rehn, calling for the need for an “impactful and significant” package.
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Market Risk Insights: objective danger in the investment environment
Markets may have reached record peaks earlier this year, but the geopolitical environment is fraught and central-bank oxygen may not prop up asset prices for much longer. We expect more outbursts of pent-up volatility going forward as investors face up to the growing risks in this high-altitude market.
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Are Distressed Small Banks Putting China’s Banking System at Risk?
It’s been 20 years since a Chinese bank failed. But recent bailouts of three regional lenders have raised concerns about systemic problems in China’s financial sector. While risks have grown for China’s smaller banks, we believe that the Chinese banking system remains robust.
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U.S. Loans: Challenged Market or Veiled Opportunity?
With loan and bond yields currently comparable, we believe—in a somewhat contrarian view to the market—there is a good argument for investing in loans, particularly in the U.S., where the economy appears to be marginally stronger than in Europe.
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360° – Fixed Income report, Q3 2019
The protracted injection of liquidity into the fixed-income space over the past decade has resulted in more than $14tn-worth of negative-yielding debt. In today’s upside-down world, a flexible approach will help credit investors keep an active watch and avoid potential pitfalls.
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Don't Panic - Just Yet - How to navigate the buoys and the rocks of today’s markets.
There’s a moment that sends a chill down the spine of any sailor when a rock suddenly appears, off wrong side of the bow. It doesn’t really matter whether the chart was wrong or the skipper missed a buoy—it’s undeniably a sign of trouble.
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Distressed Debt: How This Cycle May Be Different
Barings’ Stuart Mathieson and Bryan High discuss the outlook and competitive landscape for distressed debt and consider the implications of the significant growth in private credit and European high yield since the last cycle.
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On my mind: Yield curve hysteria
The inversion of the Treasury yield curve has recently gotten a lot of attention in the financial press as being a harbinger of economic malaise ahead.
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White papers
U.S. Loans: Challenged Market or Veiled Opportunity?
With loan and bond yields currently comparable, we believe—in a somewhat contrarian view to the market—there is a good argument for investing in loans, particularly in the U.S., where the economy appears to be marginally stronger than in Europe.
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White papers
Pick a Number, Any Number
Among Three Central Rate Forecasts, The Middle Still Feels Right.
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Slow global growth compels the Fed to cut interest rates
The Federal Reserve has reduced its policy rate target for the first time since 2008. Economic data in the U.S. have been solid, but global growth is slow and a variety of policy risks hang over the outlook like dark clouds.
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France: The Reform Momentum Stays Alive After The Yellow Vest Crisis
Other dominant factors within the fixed income environment are the increased role of politics, the still present short-term downside risks regarding the economy, the high level of debt globally, and, moving towards the long term, rising acknowledgment of climate and societal-related risks.
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Fixed Income Charts And Views
A slowdown in global growth, with subdued inflation and dovish central banks (CB) committed to avoiding further economic deceleration, is a trend that, in our view, should remain favourable for bond investors. On one side, this should limit the upside in core bond yields and, on the other, support the credit market, although we are aware that the spread compression in this first part of the year has been very strong and that an increasingly selective approach will be crucial to exploiting pockets of value.
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White papers
Fixed Income: Upending the Conventional Approach
Michael Freno, Head of Global Markets, shares his view on where value can still be found in fixed income, despite the uncertain current environment—and why investors may need to look beyond traditional indexes in high yield, investment grade and emerging markets debt.
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Update on drivers in Real Assets - Q2 2019
Fears of a potential global economic slowdown have put interest rate rises on hold. Longer duration assets (infrastructure debt and equity, real estate long income) should capture the higher capital gain if long-term rates fall but are quite insensitive to short-term rates. Despite higher leverage in infrastructure versus real ...
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White papers
Back to basics: a contrarian look at cyclicals in credit markets
The US bull run is the country’s longest on record. But we are in the latter stage of the global macroeconomic cycle and warning lights are flashing. We remain focused on corporate fundamentals, asking which high-quality cyclicals could successfully weather a slowdown.
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White papers
Fixed Income: Upending the Conventional Approach
The search for yield trudges on amid trade and tariff clashes, and a credit cycle that continues to surprise in its longevity. In this Q&A, Michael Freno, Head of Global Markets, shares his views on where value can still be found and how investors can benefit from looking beyond traditional indexes in high yield, investment grade credit and emerging markets debt.