Fixed Income – Page 52
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White papersNot created equal: Surveying investments in non-investment grade U.S. corporate
Institutional investors searching for yield and current income opportunities have increased their allocations to non-investment grade corporate bonds and loans. The case for investing in these assets is clear with the 10-year Treasury under 3% and historically low rates across the yield curve. Non-investment grade U.S. corporate debt has historically produced yields in the 6-10% range or greater.
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White papersEmergency Fiscal Programs: No Choice But To Increase The (Monetized) Deficits
The large fiscal packages announced by governments to counter the virus crisis aim, so far, at stabilization more than stimulus.
In addition to funding the emergency response to the virus situation itself, these packages intend to prevent a worsening of the crisis through the financial and household income channels. -
White papersAdventures on the Planet of the Apes: Navigating the Low-Rate Environment
Artificially low rates are causing multiple distortions and pockets of heightened risks—and while the current environment may be unprecedented, it need not be incomprehensible. Investors who understand the dynamics driving low rates may be positioned to take advantage of promising opportunities.
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White papersThe TALF 2.0 Opportunity in Asset Backed Securities
During the 2008 – 10 financial crisis, the Federal Reserve’s Term Asset Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) enabled double-digit returns from high-rated ABS. What are the prospects under TALF 2.0, part of the Fed’s COVID-19 response?
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White papersManaging Risk Models in the Coronavirus Crisis
The spread of the COVID-19 virus has blindsided conventional risk models. By understanding what went wrong, investors can develop a more forward-looking approach to risk management that considers multiple scenarios for a highly uncertain market environment.
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White papersWhat Plunging Oil Prices Mean for Energy Bonds
On April 20, the price of oil skidded into negative territory for the first time in history, with the May futures contract on West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude hitting a low of –US$37.63 per barrel before recovering to positive levels.
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White papersAn Update On Our ESG Scores
Health security concerns in the time of COVID-19? Global Macro Views highlights five country case studies.
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White papersRevisiting The Global High Yield Outlook In The Wake Of The Covid-19 Pandemic
Global HY markets sold off aggressively between February and March in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, the oil price war and the liquidity freeze in some markets. An analysis of past peak-and-trough episodes in the US HY market shows that on most occasions investors have enjoyed positive market returns just one year after the peak. Three years past such a peak, market returns have proven positive in all six occurrences since 2000.
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White papersPlotting the path to recovery: V, L or Nike swoosh?
The market sell-off and spike in volatility have left investors reeling. While history doesn’t always repeat itself, it often rhymes and a closer look at the data indicates there are lessons we can learn from previous drawdowns.
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White papersOpportunity in Credit Dislocation
Michael Holmberg and John Humphrey provide an update on the credit market dislocations resulting from the crisis, what is causing concern in the market and how to find the opportunities that are emerging.
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White papersTaking the Bite Out of High Yield’s Tail Risk
A new buyer has arrived on the scene of U.S. high yield markets, and it happens to be the biggest buyer of them all: the U.S. Federal Reserve.
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White papersThe impact of COVID-19 on global high yield
As an increasing number of companies battle the economic consequences of COVID-19, their ability to service bond payments is coming under intense scrutiny. In this Q&A, Sunita Kara considers whether current high-yield valuations adequately compensate investors for default risk and looks at the broader implications of the pandemic.
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White papersWhy farmland now? Amidst unprecedented market volatility, a durable and consistent investment with compelling upside
Considered a safe haven investment, farmland has proven to be a reliable store of value through times of economic tumult – exhibiting durable valuations and attractive levels of income, both of which are uncorrelated to competing assets.
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White papersECB QE Monitor - March 2020
March 9 2015 (decision to purchase €60 bn of assets per month until Sept. 2016), December 3 2015 (decision to extend the QE it until March 2017), March 10 2016 (decision to increase monthly purchases from €60 bn to €80 bn from April 2016) December 8 2016 (decision to ...
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White papersSignificant risk transfer (SRT) credit opportunities
Apart from very specific parts of the SRT market, such as social housing and capital call facilities, most SRT deals are exposed to corporate or consumer risk. We expect defaults to spike in the short term in most transactions, with greater variability in corporate deals than in consumer deals.
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White papersWhen coupons are king: the case for global high-yield credit
With markets in freefall, high-yield bonds have been particularly affected and credit spreads recently rose above 1,000bps for the first time since the 2008 financial crisis. But in risk lies opportunity and the market rout means that high yield is trading at attractive valuations. At a time when listed companies are cutting dividends, we believe that high yield’s income-generating qualities means that it has the potential to deliver superior risk-adjusted returns earlier on in the market’s recovery.
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White papersCredit Risk Sensitivity To Carbon Price
In order to meet the objectives set by the Paris Climate Agreement, global greenhouse gas emissions must be drastically reduced. One way to achieve this goal is to set an effective carbon price. Although beneficial for the climate, a rapid increase in this price can have a significant financial impact on corporate firms.
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White papersCovid-19 and European asset-backed securities
Stress testing demonstrates resilience of asset class
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White papersFixed Income: Bringing the Economy Back from Life Support
What kind of recession will this be, and what kind of recovery will follow? Sonal Desai CIO - Fixed Income covers the difficult trade-offs in the US.
