Fixed Income – Page 46
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A U.S. Treasury Bear is Born
Bear markets typically begin cloaked in a spirit of denial. Confutation can be virtuous because decline owns up to problems and making a change to solve them is often too painful. It’s human nature to seek pleasure to avoid pain. So, folks resist and hang on to their dogmas unyielding beliefs like “inflation hasn’t happened and can’t happen because demographics and technology won’t allow it to happen just look at Europe and Japan.” Certainly, an entire generation has grown to acquaint a bond bear but just for a brief “hello” and a more celebrated long “good-bye”.
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Dodging The Industry Potholes Across EM High Yield Corporates
The rally in risk markets emphasizes the importance of identifying relative-value opportunities across global asset classes. Emerging market high yield bonds may increasingly draw investors’ interest given a spread pickup relative to their U.S. and European counterparts.
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Three Focal Points For The U.S.- China Relationship
The recent U.S.-China summit kicked off with U.S.-China relations at a low point. The ongoing shift in U.S. policy towards China—hastened under the Trump administration with the support of both political parties—was long in the making and effectively ended the U.S. doctrine of strategic engagement that facilitated China’s global rise during the preceding four decades.
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How to Invest in the “Best of All Possible Worlds”
Markets should worry less about inflation and more about government investment that produces higher rates of sustainable growth.
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Q2 2021 Investment View - Some like it hot
On the ground it does not feel like it just yet, as Europe battles with a third wave of infections, but markets are fast proceeding to the Covid crisis exit door. Too fast? We do not think so and see room for further rotation.
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The post-COVID-19 world, with Capital Group’s Night Watch
Our Night Watch approach was built from lessons we learned in the 2008–09 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) as a way to engage in scenario planning around big systemic issues.
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Spotlight on credit: Reflation - The end of inflation’s “great moderation”?
Credit markets may face challenges if reflationary policies stimulate a concerted return for inflation.
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The role global corporate bonds play for Irish defined benefit schemes
As Irish DB pension schemes continue to de-risk, an allocation to investment grade credit could offer compelling opportunities within a well-diversified portfolio.
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Private credit markets – optimism grows, but caution is warranted
Activity levels in many private credit markets have unsurprisingly picked up over recent quarters as public markets bounced back, adding to the robust and growing pipeline of opportunities we are seeing across the breadth of the asset universe.
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Fiorino: bond themes and late-cycle mood music: as rates go up-tempo, markets rotate
As global economies emerge from the Covid-19 doldrums, bond markets could be tiring. But late-stage fixed income dynamics can also play out well for astute investors. Fiorino conducts a brief enquiry.
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Uncover new sources of income with taxable municipal bonds
Issuance of taxable municipal bonds, a segment of the overall municipal market, has increased in recent years, providing global institutional investors with an additional means of generating yield.
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The U.S. Grabs the Global Recovery Baton…
Slow vaccination programs continue to delay the reopening of EU economies. The Fed showed that even with better growth and inflation outlooks, it remains committed to its accommodative stance. Elsewhere, China activity data so far this year shows the uneven recovery continues.
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Diversification through factor-based investing in corporate bonds
Allocations to factor-based strategies in corporate bonds have grown, with an expanding body of research demonstrating its advantages.
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Hedging against inflation: Do you really understand inflation-linked bonds?
US inflation expectations have risen over the last year, and with the passage of an additional USD 1.9 trillion stimulus package, any investor who was not already worried about inflation is likely to have started paying attention.
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Asset classes views: Climbing the hill
As the new decade dawns upon us, we are beginning to see the light at the end of the tunnel. The unprecedented nature of the current crisis required correctives on multiple fronts on a global scale. With many of these measures in place or in the pipeline, the much-awaited recovery is within reach, but the path forward remains arduous, nonetheless.
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Why the Distressed Debt Opportunity Looks Different This Cycle
A surge in defaults and distressed opportunities seemed likely when COVID struck—but stimulus measures and creative financing solutions have reshaped both the opportunity set and the timing.
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A new shape for restructuring in the EU?
Many years in gestation, the European Union Directive on preventive restructuring frameworks sets a July 2021 deadline for member states to more closely align their national restructuring and insolvency laws. What changes does this imply and how will it impact direct lending decisions for the international business of Federated Hermes and our clients?
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Do not give up on fundamental valuations
It’s been one year now since the Covid-19 pandemic disrupted the world. It changed our lives, but financial markets seem to have side-lined this dramatic event as a temporary pullback, which was quickly recovered and forgotten as most risk assets achieved new highs.
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China’s disinflation and implications
China has abandoned its ‘growth at all cost’ push and is sticking with its deleveraging and structural reform policy despite the trade war with the US and COVID-19 shocks. This has resulted in a constrained growth environment.
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How Much Further Will US Rates Rise?
US Treasury yields have surged recently, buoyed by rising optimism about economic growth and rising inflation expectations. Based on our growth forecast, longer-term rates will likely rise for the next few quarters—but more slowly. And we think the Fed is prepared to push in the other direction if rates rise too far, too fast.