Fixed Income – Page 41
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White papersFor the Global Economy, It’s Next Stop…Policy Normalization
November is likely to mark the start of a transition phase for the global economy. For almost two years, major central banks have thrown extraordinary waves of support into shoring up economic activity and financial markets against the COVID-19-induced crisis. Now, officials in many countries seem ready to begin the march back toward a more normal policy setting.
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White papersInflation and supply chain disruption: Impact on the sectors
Inflation and supply chain disruptions, along with the moderating pace of the post-pandemic earnings recovery, have made us more cautious on corporate fundamentals as we enter Q3 reporting season. While we do not expect a material deterioration in credit profile on the back of these factors, the more challenging operating environment does require caution from credit investors.
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White papersWhen “Transitory” Becomes a “Swear Word”
The debate rages on around how best to describe current inflationary pressures, but some synonym for “not lasting” still fits best.
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White papersIG Credit: Higher Rates on the Horizon
With rate hikes potentially on the horizon, and spreads fairly tight, there may be benefits to a multi credit strategy that looks beyond traditional IG corporate credit—to areas such as EM corporate debt and CLOs.
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White papersCLOs: Supply/Demand Dynamics Driving Opportunities
As heavy supply creates bottlenecks for investors and dealers, refinancing and reset transactions continue to look attractive, particularly BB tranches.
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White papersHigh Yield: Still Strong, Despite Market Jitters
Bouts of short-term volatility are almost a given going forward—but in our view, much of the recent market concern overlooks how strong the average high yield company is today.
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White papersFrom Rates, to Growth, to China: What’s Next for EM Debt?
While volatility resurfaced in the third quarter, there are a number of positive factors that continue to support EM sovereign, corporate and local debt.
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White papersInvestment Insights - Closing the funding and income gap
In this current low-yield environment, how can UK defined pension schemes position their portfolios to improve funding levels and cashflows as they continue de-risking?
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White papersHigher rates provide a second chance to play US value opportunities
Nowadays, US value trades at its steepest discount to growth since 1999. However, declining Covid-19 cases, a broad-based economic recovery, prospects of higher interest rates as we progress out of the pandemic, and the return of persistent inflation pressures should help close the valuation gap between growth and value stocks.
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White papersAn Update on Our ESG Scores
ESG scores continue to be impacted by COVID-19 as economies look to emerge from the pandemic through green and sustainable investing. Global Macro Views highlights five country case studies.
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White papersCaution Today, Opportunity Tomorrow
We think a more cautious stance represents a prudent approach to an already volatile inflection point between early-cycle recovery and mid-cycle expansion.
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White papersThe Inflation Generation
Temporary price spikes over the past 20 or 30 years have all passed without sparking a general rise in inflation, but here are four reasons why we think this time is different.
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White papersCongress Sets New Deadline, So Do Markets
A general sense of risk-off dominated early in the week as markets faced a “wall of worry.” Lingering concerns over China regulations, stalemates over raising the U.S. debt ceiling, and the stunning spike and volatility surrounding energy prices all weighed on market sentiment.
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White papersFixed Income markets: what will be key?
Eurozone and US sovereign bond markets have partially reversed the decline recorded over the summer. The decline in yields was driven by global growth concerns and abundant liquidity. How can fixed-income investors position themselves today?
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White papersShifts & Narratives #9 - Adapting equity portfolios to a regime of higher inflation
The return of inflation is clearly one of the top themes of 2021 and the post-pandemic economic revival. In addition to the temporary effects associated with supply chain bottlenecks (semiconductors, energy, copper, etc.) during a sudden upturn, there is the question of a potential change in the inflation regime.
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White papersInvestment View: Off Crutches
The global economy has hit a speed bump, built on the Delta variant and supply chain issues; we expect growth to find a floor in H2, as the fourth Covid wave recedes, and China cautiously eases policy. But supply constraints are proving sticky, and surging commodity prices are a new threat to the consumer outlook. That risk deserves hedging.
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White papersExodus Or Urban Reshuffle? Gauging Muni Bond Risks
In February 2021, we published research appraising how COVID-19 lockdowns were impacting California and New York state budgets. We had good news to share.
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White papersEvergrande: caught in the crossfire between China’s past and future
Evergrande stands in the crosshairs of China’s demographic shift, its urbanisation and property boom, and the end of its decade-long economic growth spurt, writes Robin Usson, CFA, Credit Analyst
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White papersWhat does China’s regulatory crackdown mean for EM corporate debt?
Chinese corporates are experiencing growing pains as fines and restrictions rain down on sectors like tech, real estate and education.
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White papersWill the Pandemic End Secular Stagnation?
The forces that drove rates, inflation, and growth lower for the last four decades remain as strong as ever, but there is hope for change.
