Fixed Income – Page 36
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White papersA Thematic Approach to the Fog of War and Hawkish Central Banks
Our outlook heading into 2022 focused on the strength of global growth, especially in the developed world. In the U.S. and Euro area (EA), we projected above-trend growth of 3.6% and 4.3%, respectively.
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White papersValue Can Potentially Outperform Even if Growth Slows
We believe value is likely to outperform growth over the coming years—and threats to economic growth from inflation, rate hikes and geopolitical risks do not change our view.
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White papersShort Duration High Yield: Replacing Rates Risk With Credit Risk
Short-duration high yield could be an under-explored option for investors who need current income to meet short-term liabilities, but cannot afford the interest rate risk that would accompany a search for yield in longer-dated bonds.
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White papersSenior Floating Rate Loans: A Low-Cost Hedge Against Inflation
Headline CPI inflation in the U.S. came in at 7.5% year-over-year in January 2022, its highest level since the mid-1980s. Before the Russia-Ukraine conflict escalated, market participants held the view that the Federal Reserve was well behind the curve on rate hikes as the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury reached a near-term peak of 2.05% on February 15.
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White papersCentral Banks on Deck to Fight Inflation
The ECB was owlish—carefully hawkish. It further reduced asset purchases for Q2 below the €40 billion previously announced and left completely open the pace of asset purchases for Q3. This leaves room for great flexibility: the ability to hike or not in Q4.
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White papersInvesting Through Climate Risk in Emerging Markets Debt
In this Q&A from the Nordic Fund Selection Journal, Kawtar Ed-Dahmani and Ashwinder Bakhshi discuss where they’re seeing the most material effects from climate change across emerging markets debt today—and what they’re anticipating going forward.
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White papersRussia-Ukraine: an uncertain outcome calls for higher focus on liquidity
At the core of the crisis, Russian assets have become almost un-investible, with dramatic price action as the market attempts to grapple with uncertainty. European equities have suffered, anticipating the negative consequences of the war on corporate earnings, while also commodities trended higher with double digit rise across many commodities. A flight to safety move has benefited government bonds, with the US treasury yield and the Bund yield trending lower.
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White papersUninvestable Russia
We survey the impact on worldwide fixed income markets of the devastation in Ukraine and the sanctions against Russia, and send our thoughts to those in the heart of the conflict.
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White papersSpectrum, Q1 2022: The Great Rotation 2.0
Slower growth rates, tighter labour markets, higher inflation and normalising monetary policies provides the classic backdrop to a great rotation from growth to value stocks, as well as a change in fixed income strategy.
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White papersUK supermarkets: a sector in the eye of the storm
As the world slowly moves on from the pandemic, Eugenia Lara Armas, Credit Analyst, looks at how shifts in shopping habits will impact credit investors, with a focus on the UK supermarket sector.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2022
The geopolitical escalation at month’s end marks a further rise in volatility, even as the Fed and the ECB displayed hawkish overtures earlier. We suggest a more cautious stance in credit amid rising liquidity risks and a less appealing risk/return profile for credit compared with equity.
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White papersThe evolution of the European mortgage market
Residential mortgage markets in the UK and Europe are undergoing a period of transformation as new funding models emerge and new players enter the mix, following in the footsteps of the Dutch mortgage market. Long-term institutional capital, in search of attractive returns and diversification potential, is playing an increasingly important role, with the entry of innovative, non-bank lending platforms helping to disrupt the status quo and create a more diversified lending landscape.
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White papersRussia’s Invasion: Eurozone Recovery Delayed but not Derailed
The economic impact of Russia’s invasion constitutes a clear negative supply shock for the euro area that creates a dilemma for policymakers. On the one hand, higher energy prices will hit economic activity, reduce confidence and damage trade and financial links. On the other hand, the conflict will raise inflation for firms and households.
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White papersVolatility, value and variants: 360°, Q1 2022
In this latest edition of 360°, Stephane Michel, Head of Fixed Income, Multi Asset Credit Solutions, and our team of specialist investors consider the likely shape of markets in a post-pandemic world.
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White papersAdjusting to the New Paradigm
Many investors could be lacking sufficient inflation exposure after experiencing such a long period of stable prices. Moreover, such a major economic inflection, combined with such fragile markets, is likely to be characterized by the kind of heightened market volatility we have already seen this year.
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White papersThe Inflation Inflection
The COVID-19 pandemic, and the range of policies aimed at mitigating its impact, has triggered a return to levels of inflation unseen for 40 years. While inflation is likely to moderate from these very high levels during 2022, we believe it will settle and persist at a rate higher than we have become used to over recent cycles.
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White papersUkraine invasion: market reaction
The crisis will create short-term uncertainty and add to inflationary pressures, say fund managers from the international business of Federated Hermes.
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White papersRussia-Ukraine escalation adds to the case for additional protection
The investment landscape has become riskier. The escalation in geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, with Russian military forces entering the Donbas region, adds to the uncertainty regarding central bank actions to fight inflationary pressures.
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White papersThe myriad of challenges – and opportunities – facing fixed income in 2022
The question of whether inflation is likely to prove temporary or more persistent is just one of the challenges facing fixed income investors this year. Buying on the dips may no longer be sufficient as the focus of central banks switches to containing inflation rather than simply rallying to support financial markets.
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White papersDBS case study
EOS communicated to DBS investor concerns about sustainable palm oil production and pressed for an improved palm oil financing policy for existing borrowers. We were pleased to see DBS improved its palm oil financing policy for all customers, requiring a “No Deforestation, no Peat, no Exploitation” commitment, or principles and criteria of the RSPO for all its existing and new borrowers.
