Fixed Income – Page 25
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What the Austrian school of economics got wrong
At the dawn or dusk of every recession, the time comes for some to reopen the Austrian economic textbooks (well, grimoire might be more appropriate). And on such occasions, the time to close them arises promptly.
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Is the Consumer Cracking?
News from the consumer sector reveals intriguing trends, as well as the importance of credit and security selection in today’s complex market environment.
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PM Spotlight: A Mathematician Managing Munis
Nick Venditti, Senior Portfolio Manager of Municipal Fixed Income, has an exceptional background in municipal bond risk. Read this issue of PM Spotlight to learn about his approach to the asset class.
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Challenges faced by emerging market corporates
Emerging market (EM) corporations with foreign currency debt found life particularly tough during the decade-plus of dollar strength. Weak currencies put pressure on profits among companies with a domestic focus but with hard currency liabilities. High domestic interest rates make for high costs of funding.
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How strong dollar dynamics impacts emerging markets
Years of strong dollar dynamics have had a far reaching consequences for emerging economies, much of it played out in the currency markets.
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The stars align for emerging market bonds
The stars are aligning for emerging market (EM) debt. And according to our analysis, there are good reasons to believe these assets – both sovereign and corporate bonds - are on the cusp of an upswing that could last for years to come.
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Opportunities across the credit spectrum for multi-sector income investors
As central banks near the end of hiking cycles, the environment is becoming increasingly supportive for fixed income.
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Markets rally despite bank scare: Q1 roundup
Global stocks rose as investors welcomed signs from central bank officials in the U.S. and Europe that interest rates may not rise as much as previously expected. Lower inflation levels, combined with a crisis in the banking sector, prompted central bankers to consider adjusting monetary policy in the months ahead, leaving investors to speculate that there may be no additional rate increases this year.
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Bridging the Gap: Insurers and Fixed Income
Can insurance investors take advantage of higher yields without crystalizing losses or assuming excessive risk ahead of a turn in the credit cycle?
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Financial stability concerns back to the fore
In this macroeconomic update, Silvia Dall’Angelo, Senior Economist, reflects on the scenarios that have influenced markets this quarter, including fragility in the banking sector and the US/China tech ’Cold War’.
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Green vs. Social Bond Premium
While responsible investors consider that the environmental and social pillars are highly interconnected when implementing ESG and climate strategies, our research shows that the green and social bond markets are not integrated.
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Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - May 2023
Will real bond yields come back down?
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Stress in US regional banks continues, while the Fed moves towards a pause
The recent banking stress has been a real test of capital and liquidity regulations enacted after the 2008 crisis.
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Understanding China’s local government debt risk
Recent media reports on China’s debt-ridden Guizhou province pleading for Beijing to bail it out have raised market concerns about billions of dollars in local government debt which has been seen as ‘the canary in the coalmine’. The issue with impoverished Guizhou’s sizeable debt burden is illustrative of problems at China’s local government financing vehicles (LGFVs).
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Infrastructure debt: An essential ingredient
With inflation returning and investors on the hunt for stable yields, insurance companies should explore how an infrastructure debt allocation can support their investment strategy.
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The Opportunity Cost of Waiting for Goldilocks
Waiting for a “Goldilocks moment” to add duration back into your portfolio can be costly and difficult to execute. Find out why allocating across duration exposures, or “riding the curve,” may offer a better approach.
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ECB: Not Pausing―Yet
The ECB’s May rate hike was all about avoiding surprises and distinguishing itself from the Fed’s dovish message the day before. With inflation still high, the ECB “is not pausing.”
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Don’t Bank on Bank Loans in 2023
As bond yields rose in 2022, investors sought refuge in high-yield bank loans, whose floating coupons are often heralded as an antidote to rising rates. But with conditions shaping up differently in 2023, bank loans may face challenges. We think income-seeking investors should instead consider a more diversified approach that balances rate and credit risks. Here’s why.
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The Fed Gazes into a Spinning Compass
The Fed raised its policy rate by another 25 bps at its May meeting and hinted that its hiking campaign may have concluded. However, Chair Powell also understandably conveyed some uncertainty.
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Bond Investors May Find Most Rate Pivot Potential in UK, EU
As consumers suffer the biggest inflation hit in 50 years, bond investors must anticipate how quickly prices will stabilize, when interest rates will fall and which fixed-income markets can provide the best pay-offs.