Fixed Income – Page 18
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White papersFixed income: a bull steepener as rates peak?
In past market cycles, yield-curve inversions like the one seen this year have almost always been followed by an episode of bull steepening, when short-term interest rates fall faster than those in the long term. In this issue of Alphorum, we consider the most likely yield-curve scenario from here and how it informs our positioning.
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White papersInvesting in alternative credit: perspectives on opportunities and risks
Even as traditional fixed income yields appear more attractive, institutional investors continue to explore alternative credit asset classes as a way to potentially improve the risk/return profile of their portfolios.
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White papersTreasury yields rise, anticipating a Fed pause
The U.S. Treasury yield curve steepened as the U.S. Federal Reserve indicates a pause at the November meeting. The market has essentially priced out any chance of a November hike and is pricing in only a 20% likelihood of a December rate increase.
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White papersNot all high yield is created equal
The high yield bond market has matured from its humble beginnings and is now a diverse $1.793bn marketplace for companies to achieve their capital financing needs. As it has matured, its credit quality has also increased. Today, nearly half of the high yield market is classified as BB – the highest quality credit rating. At the same time, the proportion of the weakest credits has also reduced.
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White papersQuarterly fixed income perspectives 4Q 2023: Recession takeoff delayed but not canceled
While the timing of a recession remains uncertain, unique opportunities exist for fixed income investors as we head into the final quarter of 2023.
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White papersCentral banks’ endgame: a new policy paradigm
”Investors will need to adjust to a paradigm shift away from the accommodative policy stance that has supported financial asset prices, to an environment that should make bonds more attractive while increasing the risk-adjusted required returns for other major asset classes.”
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White papersTighten Your Seatbelts
Shifting supply-and-demand dynamics appear to be driving bond markets more than fundamentals, which makes for a bumpy ride.
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White papersPlanning for long term success in emerging market debt
The fast-paced evolution of EMD as an asset class necessitates an investment approach that can adapt swiftly. In this Q&A, emerging market debt (EMD) portfolio manager Kirstie Spence discusses how to plan for the long-term success of managing the asset class.
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White papersPosition portfolios for a policy turn
While it is tempting to sit in still high yielding cash, we suggest adding traditional fixed income sectors. Higher income helps investors wait for the end of the rate hiking cycle, and longer duration helps position a portfolio for potential rate declines. We advocate a diversified multisector approach, focused on higher-quality credits across sectors. Active management remains critical, as credit spreads will likely widen in the coming months.
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White papersA bond market bruising: market snapshot
The yield on global government bonds reached multi-decade highs this week, as markets adjust to a sustained period of higher interest rates.
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White papersHigher for Longer, Longer the Stronger
We are leaning into quality as markets start to focus away from near-term tailwinds and onto medium-term headwinds.
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White papersLabelled bonds: a silver lining from green debt
How has the labelled fixed-income market held up in view of macro events this year? We take a close look to pinpoint areas of strength. In particular, we highlight encouraging signs in the world of green debt, such as the number of repeat issuers among sovereigns.
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White papersSDG Engagement High Yield Credit, H1 2023 Report
Achieving true sustainability in fixed income is no mean feat: it takes time, expertise, dedication and resources.
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White papersMarkets hit by ‘higher for longer’ rate expectations
After a volatile September, the S&P 500 Index is heading towards its first quarterly loss in 12 months.
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White papersWhat’s next for the Swiss economy?
Inflation is slowing in Switzerland but the economy remains subject to a great degree of uncertainty. What does the latest Swiss National Bank policy meeting tell us about the outlook?
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White papersInflation: Mapping the impact of the global rate hiking cycle
After a sustained era of cheap money, an abrupt and unprecedented shift in the global interest rate hiking cycle was ushered in, as the world’s major central banks sought to stave off surging inflation.
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White papersSwiss credit: approximating bond returns
What ingredients go into calculating expected bond returns? Quite a few it turns out. Using a practitioner’s method, we outline one approach to approximating returns for bonds and bond portfolios.
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White papersPolitical Gridlock but Fiscal Largesse
How political dysfunction undermines debt sustainability and helps embed structurally higher inflation.
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White papersFed Meeting Impact: Is It More Than You Realize?
This paper discusses how Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings have a significant impact on options pricing, creating risks and opportunities for investors employing options-based strategies.
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White papersThe BoE’s “Table Mountain” Approach Sees Rates Highest for Longest
The Bank of England kept its Bank Rate on hold at 5.25% on September 21, 2023. The UK’s economic backdrop is weak, so we believe that the BoE will keep interest rates at this level for the near future.
