Fixed Income – Page 10
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White papers
Underwriting the Underwriters: Finding Opportunity in Consumer Loans
When it comes to investing in consumer debt, headlines may be misleading. We see opportunity.
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The lost art of credit analysis in buy and maintain management
As we move into the later stages of the credit cycle, effective risk management within core fixed income portfolios is an increasingly pertinent issue for insurance companies. With corporate balance sheets under increasing pressure, traditional buy and maintain credit management strategies are being tested for the first time, placing increased focus on the benefits of a more active approach to long-term credit allocations.
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Collectors vs. Selectors: How (& Why) Direct Lending Business Models Are Diverging
Direct lending deals are getting bigger—but arguably, the most compelling relative value (still) lies in the traditional or “true” middle market.
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EM Local Debt: Is the EM-U.S. Disconnect an Overlooked Opportunity?
Emerging markets have become increasingly out of sync with the U.S. in terms of inflation and economic growth. Markets are ignoring the disconnect, which could spell an opportunity for investors.
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How are UK asset owners repositioning fixed income portfolios?
We surveyed 100 fixed income asset allocation decision makers at public and private pension schemes, OCIOs, insurers, endowments and foundations between February and March 2024. We captured their thoughts on a range of topics including the fixed income market environment, intentions and attitudes to credit markets and to emerging market debt, plus thoughts on active management.
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Fixed Income Horizons Survey 2024
The Capital Group 2024 Fixed Income Horizons Survey captures the views of 100 UK asset owners, including pension funds, OCIO providers, insurers, endowments and foundations. The quantitative survey was conducted by CoreData Group during February and March 2024. This report also includes insights from a series of in-depth qualitative interviews with senior investment leaders at UK asset owners. The questions were focused on respondents’ asset allocation views and attitudes to different areas of fixed income markets.
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Deconstructing Opportunities in IG Credit
Amid narrow spreads, a focus on sector and credit research and a willingness to take tactical positions could help to capitalize on potential dislocations across the U.S. investment grade credit universe.
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Biden vs Trump: Which Sectors Could Benefit?
With their opposing views, it could be either ‘more of the same’ or a sea change at the sector level, whereas we’d expect the central bank impact to be less radical.
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Fixed income: What’s the issue with the new issue premium?
Amid surging demand for investment grade (IG) corporate bonds, the new issue premium typically offered by companies turned negative in the first quarter of 2024. This comes as investors seek to lock in higher yields before potential central bank interest rate cuts and demonstrates the weight of capital seeking to enter the market.
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US consumer price pressures are subsiding
“Declining US inflation is positive for US bonds, and investors should also keep a global approach to potentially benefit from attractive yields elsewhere, including in emerging markets.”
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The Modernization of Bond Market Trading and its Implications
The evolution of electronic trading has catapulted the bond market into the modern era. Learn more about “The Modernization of Bond Market Trading and its Implications”.
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The case for resilient high yield private credit
With inflation lingering and rates moving at a much slower pace than expected, infrastructure debt, particularly in the higher-quality sub-investment grade space, offers attractive returns and resilience for investors seeking a safe haven in a changeable market, explain Infranity experts.
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Asset-Based Finance: Private Credit’s Key Diversifier
Private capital is increasingly being used to finance consumer spending.
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Green and Sustainable Bonds: Five Key Questions
With strong sustainable EU initiatives, plus the conclusion of the hiking cycle, attractive carry in interest rate curves, and the likelihood of lower interest rates amid evolving monetary policies, the outlook for green and sustainable bonds is promising, explain the portfolio managers of the Generali Investments SICAV (GIS) SRI Euro Green Bond subfund.
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Green bonds boom boosts case for credit engagement
EOS has engaged with companies on behalf of bondholders for many years, recognising that credit portfolios can be hard hit in the wake of serious controversies. Ross Teverson explains how we have evolved our engagement approach as the size of the sustainable bond market has grown.
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White papers
De-Siloing Your Fixed Income Portfolio
The potential benefits of multi-asset over siloed fixed income management, and why we think asset allocation should be a bottom-up as much as a top-down process.
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The U.S.-China Competition Through Four Lenses
Not all Great Power Competitions lead to military confrontations. Explore the U.S.-China relationship through four lenses and whether the current global order faces the risk of confrontation.
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Irish banks: a classic turnaround tale… and opportunity
In April, with little fanfare, AIB (Allied Irish Bank) became the first Irish bank to issue a 10-year dollar senior benchmark bond.It was popular with investors: the bank borrowed $1 billion with orders of $7 billion. It was priced at 160bps over Treasuries – a similar level at which we would expect the larger UK and French banks to issue. This confirms that Irish banks are back to their rightful place in the eyes of credit investors.
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White papers
Fixed Income – A new era for bonds
Surging inflation brought an end to the decade-long era of low bond yields. In the decade ahead, we believe bond yields will not return to the near-zero levels of the recent past or see the steady capital appreciation which marked the prior 30 years. Instead, our view is that inflation and real yields are more likely to remain closer to their long-term averages, supported by central bank policy, changing supply/demand dynamics, and the risk that inflation could spike again.
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White papers
Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - May 2024
“We expect 75 bps of rate cuts in 2024 as monetary policy remains restrictive, growth will slow down, and inflation data do not alter our projections.”