All Europe articles – Page 60
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White papersFocus on Italy: macroeconomic and fixed income scenario
If we wanted to characterise the contraction and recovery pattern, we would probably describe it as a ‘long U-shaped’ recovery; in other words, as a gradual normalisation which will take some time before seeing a return to pre-crisis levels. In Italy, the government is estimating an 8% GDP contraction this year, followed by a 4.7% YoY rebound in 2021. In our analysis, we consider two possible reference scenarios for 2020 growth: -8.0% YoY (as per the government scenario) and -12.0% YoY.
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White papersEmerging Markets Charts & Views - Market dislocation creating long-term opportunities
Two major drivers are shaping the landscape for EM countries: Covid-19 and oil dynamics. We are mindful that current events will have very significant negative effects on the economic outlook for EM this year, leading many countries into recession.
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White papersECB QE Monitor - April 2020
ECB programs: €1,110bn of purchasing power in 2020, or around €110bn / month by the end of the year.
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White papersSweden’s Experiment with Negative Rates
At the end of 2019, Sweden’s Riksbank initiated a policy change at a time when the much larger European Central Bank (ECB) announced its determination to persist with its negative interest rate policy.
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Asset Manager NewsEuropean equities – the best option for resilient income
With bond markets offering little in the way of income, the continent’s highest quality equities offer an attractive and defensive yield
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Asset Manager NewsPharmaceutical companies in a golden age for drug discovery
As new technologies such as genomics spur development of innovative drugs, European pharmaceuticals companies stand out as high-quality, defensive growth stocks
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Asset Manager NewsEurope’s manufacturers are in good shape for a downturn
After reorganising themselves over the past 10 years, many European manufacturers have more flexible business models with higher returns
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White papersCOVID-19 European Office Markets Series, Edition 2 – May 2020
Limited current and future supply levels will limit the decline in prime office rents in the short term. But the economic challenges are likely to lead to headcount reductions, with corporates vacating unutilized space. This trend could be accelerated, if as we expect, corporates adopt higher levels of flexible working in a post COVID-19 world.
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White papersNothing to see here, folks
Interest rates are unlikely to rise until 2020 at the very earliest. And if and when they do, investors in German real estate have little to fear, says Marcus Cieleback, PATRIZIA’s chief economist
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Asset Manager NewsPATRIZIA sells 8,600 sqm office building in Berlin
PATRIZIA AG, the global partner for pan-European real estate investment, announces that it has completed the sale of a multi-let office building in Berlin, Germany, to LaSalle Investment Management.
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White papersCOVID-19: Do past recessions offer lessons for real estate investors?
Although history offers no magical answers, it can serve as a useful guide in times of extreme uncertainty. Vivienne Bolla and Souad Cherfouh dig into the archives to better understand the effects of recessions on real estate.
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White papersAre ECB Bond Purchases Legal?
Investors breathed a sigh of relief after the German Constitutional Court found the ECB has not been engaged in monetary financing, but the details sent ripples through the markets as the ruling raised questions about potential constraints on European monetary policy.
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White papersSupermarket investments provide food for thought
Investing in supermarkets and food retail assets proves a smart choice
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White papersInvesting today for a better tomorrow
Bonds to help build solar energy farms or finance water reclamation projects… In today’s world, green business is good business. Why not invest where your money can make a positive impact on society and the environment?
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White papersThe outlook for eurozone inflation-linked bonds
A V-shape economic recovery in the eurozone looks unlikely, while member states continue their marathon search for a compromise on how to fund the reconstruction. The poor outlook for the economy and inflation, and the ECB’s asset purchases, should keep eurozone government bond yields low and cap the risk premiums on ‘peripheral’ bonds.
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White papersEconomic and Property Overview: Q1 2020
The first quarter of 2020 was shaped by the coronavirus, by the end of March 2020 a total of 29,474 confirmed cases and 2,352 deaths were reported for the UK. One month after the quarter end, the number of cases and deaths surged to 194,990 and 29,427 respectively. The costs to the British economy have been considerable; government-imposed lockdown measures to slow the spread of the virus have disrupted business activity, knocked consumer confidence and reduced business confidence levels to record lows. The flash PMI’s plunged from 53.0 in February to 37.1 in March, with a figure of 50+ representing economic expansion, it is now widely anticipated that the economy will contract in March.
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White papersThematics Views - May 2020
Over the last few weeks, significant stabilisation plans have been announced across advanced economies and in addition true stimulus plans are now under consideration. Recent empirical studies show that fiscal multipliers could be much larger in the current depressed context than during normal times. We believe this could boost the recovery path of corporate dividends going forward, in Europe in particular.
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White papersSmart meters, smarter energy
By installing smart meters at more than 1,000 of its German properties, PATRIZIA is helping create a more flexible, sustainable energy grid.
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White papersCovid-19 & European Real Estate Markets What Happened And What To Expect
Covid-19 is now spread globally and quickly, it turned itself from a health emergency into an economic crisis. Governments are facing needs to find the equilibrium between health preservation and economic preservation as lockdowns, useful to preserve health, have a very high economic cost that could eventually even become a social cost.
