All Equities articles – Page 56
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The day after #10 - Rethinking the macro and cross-asset research: what we have learned from the Covid-19 crisis
Crises create disruption and Covid-19 is no exception, bringing new complexities, new opportunities and new risks to the investment landscape.
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COVID-19 Cases May Curtail Consumer Demand
U.S. retail sales rose in June to realign with pre-crisis levels, though tightening restrictions and rising COVID-19 cases following the data seem to be weighing on spending. The Manufacturing PMI is expected to improve in July, and a new trade deal is in the works.
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How Will Economics & Politics Shape Markets in H2 2020?
Dr. Christopher Smart, Head of the Barings Investment Institute, discusses the second half outlook including views on the current recovery, U.S./China trade skirmishes and the U.S. presidential election. Don’t miss his 10 one-word answers to our most difficult questions.
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Asset Manager News
Pandemic poised to accelerate underlying trends
We now have a two-speed economy, and much talk about a disconnect between stock market and economy. But this won’t change our research and stock picking focus
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Fast fashion during the pandemic
As global lockdowns forced high-street clothing shops to shut earlier this year, fast fashion has been under severe pressure. The coronavirus crisis has resulted in a slump in demand for new clothes, which has had a ripple effect across the industry’s international supply chains.
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The hottest equity themes in a post-pandemic world
It is already clear that the 2020 pandemic has given rise to a cycle of low growth and high debt. In this setting, value added will likely be generated more effectively by actively picking equity investments and doing so with a high dose of conviction. We believe that to find the incongruities in performance between the top companies and the others, investors need to be highly selective.
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Time to play a cyclical recovery in European equity
Cyclical conditions are turning more positive for Europe. Easing geopolitical risk and the prospect of massive fiscal resources (national and EU-wide) and monetary support could support a recovery in 2021. The improved sentiment could benefit European assets, equities in particular, that have been a laggard due to the pandemic. This could lead to a catch up of EU equities in relative terms vs other markets.
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There’s More Than Huawei To Find Conflict With China
Growing tensions with China could lead to decisive reactions from Donald Trump and now Boris Johnson. U.S. retail sales are expected to improve in June, and the ECB will likely be in wait-and-see mode to assess the monetary measures it has already taken.
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Emerging market equities – Assessing the regional prospects
Even if we expect emerging market equities to outperform their developed market peers, country and sector differences, as always, will be significant.
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Improving the Robustness of Trading Strategy Backtesting with Boltzmann Machines and Generative Adversarial Networks
In this article, we explore generative models in order to build a market generator. The underlying idea is to simulate artificial multi-dimensional financial time series, whose statistical properties are the same as those observed in the financial markets. In particular, these synthetic data must preserve the first four statistical moments (mean, standard deviation, skewness and kurtosis), the stochastic dependence between the different dimensions (copula structure) and across time (autocorrelation function).
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White papers
The day after #9 - Covid-19 crisis, a catalyst for change and strengthening the EU
The Conference on the Future of Europe, planned earlier this year, will probably open in September in a very different context than initially expected. Who will chair it and whether a new treaty for the union will be on the agenda remains unclear, but the need to address repositioning Europe post the Covid-19 pandemic is clear.
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Record US Index Concentration Adds Hazards for Investors
US growth companies led the second-quarter rebound, fueled by the five largest technology and new media stocks, which now comprise more than a third of the Russell 1000 Growth Index (R1000G). Investors should be alert to the risks of high benchmark concentration.
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Lopsided Equity Rally Highlights Growing Market Risks
Global equities rebounded sharply in the second quarter, driven by massive stimulus efforts and progress in the fight against the coronavirus. But investors face new risks in the third quarter as companies and countries count the costs of the pandemic and cope with the threat of a second wave of contagion.
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Asia ex-Japan Strategy Update: June 2020
The current economic environment is in many respects unprecedented. In the last century, perhaps with the exception of the world wars, almost all financial crises have been ‘financial’ in nature. Today’s crisis is different: it is not just about ownership or claims on assets, it is a public health crisis. When the coronavirus pandemic eventually recedes, what will a recovery in equities look like?
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Core Matters - Has globalisation peaked?
Globalisation has always been a matter of controversy. In economic terms, it has been widely credited with a rise in productivity by exploiting gains of trade. It has also led to lower prices and more product variety for consumers. However, it is also seen as a driving force of de-industrialisation and rising inequality in Advanced Economies (AEs), while fostering a catch-up process in Emerging Markets (EMs).
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Sharpe Thinking: reality sets in
What’s moving the investment landscape? In these turbulent markets, we bring you views from our portfolio managers, analysts and economists, delivered by our Investment Office – an independent body ensuring that our investment teams perform in the best interest of clients.
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Our preparations for the reform of LIBOR
LIBOR will continue giving way to replacement rates ahead of its retirement by the end of 2021. We will soon be familiar with SONIA in the UK, ESTR in Europe and SOFR in the US. Work continues across M&G and the industry to ensure as smooth a transition as possible to the new rates. This bank of Frequently Asked Questions aims to assist understanding of what’s happening, why it’s happening and how we expect it might affect investments.
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Global Convertible Securities: A Strategic Choice For Lower-Volatility Equity Participation
An environment of unprecedented uncertainty has heightened the need for risk-managed investment solutions. Because of their structural features, convertible securities can address a range of strategic investment needs, providing lower-volatility equity market participation or serving as an enhancement to a fixed income portfolio.
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White papers
Equity markets: All set for a jumpy summer?
Global equities continued to make gains in June, but less so than in April and May, and more chaotically. Investors remain concerned about a second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. And although hard economic data has begun to point to a recovery, the recession has remained horribly deep.
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Protecting biodiversity through sustainable land use
The global pandemic has highlighted the causal links between biodiversity loss and climate change, and the emergence of infectious diseases. In the third article in our pandemic series, Sonya Likhtman explores how deforestation and industrialised agriculture contribute to biodiversity loss, and why companies must ensure sustainable land use throughout their value chains.