All Equities articles – Page 19
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White papersConfronting the risk of a policy-driven recession
U.S. recession risks have risen amid policy shocks, severe tariff proposals, and elevated uncertainty, all weighing on growth and sentiment. While a slowdown appears likely, resilient fundamentals and potential future support measures suggest a 2025 recession is not yet a foregone conclusion.
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White papersRethinking the Stock-Bond Correlation
The correlation between stocks and bonds has been a prominent topic of discussion over the past 5 years, particularly due to the resurgence of inflation risks. Many portfolio managers, who had long assumed that the stock-bond correlation was negative, were surprised when this relationship turned strongly positive in the aftermath of the COVID-19 crisis. This article examines the stock-bond correlation from both a theoretical and an empirical perspective.
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White papersMonthly Market Viewpoint – Not so exceptional after all
Declines in US equities over the last month were primarily a function of disappointing economic data and a partial ‘Magnificent-7 unwind’ rather than tariffs. Lately, it has been self-reinforced panic selling, which we expect will be reversed. We remain optimistic on the medium-term outlook.
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White papersDecoding tariffs: What’s the economic impact?
A new round of tariffs targeting Canada, Mexico and China has whipsawed financial markets in recent days as investors wrestle with the implications of rising policy uncertainty and the impact on the global economy.
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White papersGermany’s historic step to raise spending
“A realisation in Europe on the need to spend more on defence and infrastructure has created a positive sentiment, leading to the recent upside in the markets.”
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White papersLocked ‘n’ loaded and ready to fire: first take on China’s National People’s Congress (NPC)
Premier Li Qiang kicked off the annual meetings of the National People’s Congress (NPC) with the government’s Work Report, marking the nation’s biggest political event of the year. Besides a busy calendar of political decision-making, the NPC is also closely watched by markets as Beijing sets the course for the economy and macro policies for the remainder of 2025.
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White papersTrade tensions: Navigating market risks
Escalating trade tensions are injecting fresh volatility into markets. The U.S. trade deficit, which remains sizable with key partners like China, Mexico, and Europe, underscores the stakes in ongoing trade disputes. However, while tariffs could increase costs and disrupt supply chains, history suggests that markets adapt over time. A well-diversified portfolio remains the best defense against short-term uncertainty.
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White papersUsing Factor investing to integrate sustainability objectives into a “3D” portfolio
The general philosophy of systematic equity investing and Factor investing is based on the idea that sustained long-term performance can be achieved through a well-diversified exposure to rewarded equity factors which are expected to effectively capture risk premia and optimize the risk budget of a portfolio.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - March 2025
In February, the markets have shown that love is in the air: despite new tariff announcements, inflation risks, and the DeepSeek shakeup, positive market sentiment continues to prevail.
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White papersDeepSeek: evolution, not revolution, in artificial intelligence
What is DeepSeek’s real impact on AI, and what does it mean for investors?
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White papersAntitrust Angst
Does the retention of the Biden-era M&A guidelines raise more doubts about the new U.S. administration’s pro-business agenda?
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White papersMacro Monthly: American ‘Un’-exceptionalism?
Cracks have emerged in the US exceptionalism theme, with the S&P 500 index flat this year compared to the All Country World ex US index’s 6% performance. Markets such as the Eurostoxx 50 and MSCI China are up 11% and 18%, respectively, in just two months.
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White papersGlobal Emerging Markets Equity Outlook 2025
We believe three megatrends – digitisation, climate change, and demographics – will drive change in the global economy and business landscape for years to come. In this report we outline how we have invested in companies that we expect to benefit from this transformation.
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White papersChina’s ‘Sputnik moment’
China’s tech sector is surging, fuelling a broader market rally that has grabbed investor attention. With top Chinese companies taking a lead in innovation, the country is gaining influence in cutting-edge industries like AI. Can it sustain the momentum?
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VideoSet to soar: Our outlook for US SMID
In this video, Mark Sherlock, Head of US Equities, delves into the team’s outlook for US SMID stocks, exploring the impact of Trump’s presidency, recent volatility in the tech sector, and the broadening out of the market, highlighting new opportunities in a changing investment landscape.
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White papersWhat Does the DeepSeek Halo Teach Us About Chinese Stocks?
The AI breakthrough spotlights some of China’s distinctive features that deserve closer attention from investors.
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White papersRob Lovelace on what could drive markets in 2025
As we enter the midpoint of the decade, investors are still considering key questions about the US equity streak, market catalysts, and the effects of global trade changes on the economy and portfolios. Capital Group’s equity portfolio manager Rob Lovelace offers his view on market directions, tariff impacts, and key investment themes shaping his portfolio decisions.
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White papersDiscover our Capital Market Assumptions 2025
Capital Group’s 2025 capital market assumptions provide a favourable long-term outlook, expecting mid-to-high-single digit returns for stocks and low-to-mid-single digits for bonds. That said, these expectations are lower over a 20-year horizon compared to last year.
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White papersMulti-Asset Positioning in a Trump 2.0 Policy Regime
With major US policy change unfolding, flexibility across and within asset classes will be critical.
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White papersThe European appeal
The European equity market has been in the spotlight so far this year, outperforming major global markets, driven by strong performances in the financial sector and more recently in the tech and industrial sectors.
