Equities – Page 24
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October Surprise?
It has been 11 months since the last 5% correction in equity markets, and the coming weeks present a number of significant potential risks.
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Shifts & Narratives #8 - Post-summer check-up on the regime shift
Investors have enjoyed stellar performances over the last twelve months. A 60/40 traditional global equity/bond portfolio1 returned around 19% on a one-year horizon, well above even the rosiest expectations of the recovery from the Covid-19-induced slump. The S&P 500 is up +100% from last year’s bottom – an iconic figure that says a lot about the buoyant market sentiment.
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The Recovery Can Still Rely on Europe’s Support
While uncertainties around COVID are maintaining the risk-off sentiment, the U.S. 10-year yield jumped after the U.S. retail sales print.
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For sustainability, diversification and upside potential: US value equities
It’s payback time for investors who have been seeing a return to favour of the equity value investment style after years of underperformance versus growth stocks. A sustainable investing approach in value equities can enable investors to benefit from attractive valuations of responsibly managed companies that can deliver steady long-term returns.
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Global Recovery: Delayed Not Derailed
More than most Septembers, spring seems like a long time ago. Beyond nature’s promise of new growth, investors basked in a world on its way to reopening. Since then, spiking contagion, lingering bottlenecks, and a Chinese slowdown have raised fears of a gloomy winter ahead.
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Global Investment Views - September 2021
Equities have remained buoyant over the past weeks despite some challenges (China regulation, Afghanistan crisis), primarily due to the exceptional earnings seasons in the US and Europe. Looking ahead, we identify three main themes: the spread of the Delta Covid variant, the deceleration of economic growth from its peak, and divergences in policies.
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Trading the Vaccine Curve
Today, as many economies approach the final stages of their COVID-19 vaccination programs, unlocking activity hard hit by lockdowns, their experience provides an important guide for investors as to how other countries, further behind with their vaccination programs, may perform in coming quarters.
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Asia Game Theater Update: Long Chinese Equities
We’ve recently updated our Asia game theater, and although these changes partly reflect the recent regulatory crackdown in China, our update was independent of recent Chinese equity market volatility.
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China Policy Moves Strengthen the Case for the Local Market
China’s regulatory reforms may be disruptive in the short term, but we see long-term positives.
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Should Today’s “Buy the Dip” Equity Trend Guide a Multi-Asset Strategy?
Under normal circumstances, most investors are momentum chasers and liquidity takers. They buy when markets do well and sell on the way down. But the last 18 months have been far from normal for just about everything, especially investors’ equity buying and selling habits. The buy-low/sell-high paradigm has been uniquely tested in 2021, and investors are jumping in during selloffs almost as enthusiastically as during rebounds.
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Main themes for investing in Chinese equity over the summer and beyond
All eyes are on the recent tightening of regulations for tech and education companies by Beijing and on possible new measures that could affect other sectors. Under this regulatory pressure, the Chinese market has underperformed both MSCI DM and MSCI EM indices following a strong performance in 2020.
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Markets Take Fed’s Step to Tapering In Stride
While seemingly unremarkable, the Federal Reserve arguably had a very successful transition meeting today: it managed to take an uneventful step towards tapering bond purchases. Our view has been that tapering by year end is likely, and today’s meeting has moved the Fed one step further in that direction.
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CLO equity: Where does it fit in investor allocations?
CLO equity has garnered increasing levels of investor interest, primarily due to the potential for high returns driven by a robust yield profile – a relative rarity in today’s low-yield investment landscape.
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Out of the Shadows: The rise of emerging Asia
Emerging Asia’s stocks and bonds have experienced a lost decade. In the past 10 years, their returns, in US dollar terms, have lagged those of global indices by a considerable margin. And that is despite the fact that these economies accounted for about 70 per cent of world GDP growth over that period.
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Case study: Maintain a fund’s mandated asset allocation ratio through shifting markets
A portfolio manager with a $2 billion portfolio has a mandate to maintain a 60/40 mix (60% equities to 40% fixed income). Within the 60% equities allocation ($1.2 billion), the manager must maintain a 50/50 mix of large-cap equities benchmarked to the S&P 500 and small-cap equities benchmarked to the Russell 2000.
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Draghi Takes First Shot at Reforming Italy
After getting the vaccination program up to speed and reshaping the country’s recovery plan, Prime Minister Mario Draghi is now focusing on the hard part of the job: actually reforming Italy.
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China – Economically inspiring
While financial markets are wondering when and how the US Federal Reserve and the ECB will turn to monetary tightening, we expect the People’s Bank of China to move to monetary expansion soon. That should give Chinese equities and bonds wings.
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Emerging Asian equities expected to perform best over the next five years
We expect emerging Asian equities to deliver among the best returns in global stock markets over the next half decade, especially in dollar terms (10.8 per cent per year on average, or double the global market). We calculate that their outperformance – which stems mainly from superior earnings growth and currency appreciation – could amount to 35 per cent on a cumulative basis over the US in that timeframe.
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5 investment lessons from the pandemic era
As an investor with more than three decades of experience, the past 16 months stand out in my career as both intensely painful and incredibly instructive. On or about March 23, 2020, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Composite Index and MSCI All Country World Index hit bottom, establishing the fastest bear market in history as the COVID-19 pandemic spread across the globe.
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Your Questions Answered by SDG Engagement Equity
Your Questions Answered: a quarterly Q&A series featuring the top 10 questions that clients and prospective clients ask our investment teams.