Equities – Page 17
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Russia-Ukraine: an uncertain outcome calls for higher focus on liquidity
At the core of the crisis, Russian assets have become almost un-investible, with dramatic price action as the market attempts to grapple with uncertainty. European equities have suffered, anticipating the negative consequences of the war on corporate earnings, while also commodities trended higher with double digit rise across many commodities. A flight to safety move has benefited government bonds, with the US treasury yield and the Bund yield trending lower.
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Special Ukraine
The invasion of Ukraine by Russian troops has caught Europe off guard, reminding it of the darkest hours before the Second World War. NATO countries and European leaders have so far ruled out direct military confrontation because of the risk of escalation between nuclear powers.
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An Equity Outlook: Are Stocks the Biggest Real Asset Out There?
It may be easy to take a bearish stance on equities today, but there’s a case for stocks to generate positive real returns on a strategic basis going forward. High household equity allocations may actually be warranted, elevated valuations don’t necessarily spell doom, populist pressures on earnings growth are surmountable and falling correlations within the equity market create more “potential energy” for active management to add alpha.
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Global Investment Views - March 2022
The geopolitical escalation at month’s end marks a further rise in volatility. Credit spreads (IG, HY and Euro peripherals) continued to widen while equity markets corrected further. The rotation towards value continued, but with a pause from the most cyclical segments, amid increasing economic growth risks from the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
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Asset Class Implications of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Russia has invaded Ukraine. Our Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team reflects on the human tragedy that is occurring as they also parse the data to understand the resulting economic and market implications. If the conflict remains protracted, it may produce a “low growth, high inflation” environment, in which case nimble management and keen attention to policy responses will be required.
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Adjusting to the New Paradigm
Many investors could be lacking sufficient inflation exposure after experiencing such a long period of stable prices. Moreover, such a major economic inflection, combined with such fragile markets, is likely to be characterized by the kind of heightened market volatility we have already seen this year.
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Japan: Land of Rising Equity Opportunities
Despite an extended deflationary period and several catastrophic natural disasters, Japan’s gross domestic product (GDP) has consistently ranked among the world’s top three largest economies over the last three decades. While this resiliency is commendable, unfortunately, global benchmark allocations to Japanese equities have not fared as well.
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The Inflation Inflection
The COVID-19 pandemic, and the range of policies aimed at mitigating its impact, has triggered a return to levels of inflation unseen for 40 years. While inflation is likely to moderate from these very high levels during 2022, we believe it will settle and persist at a rate higher than we have become used to over recent cycles.
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Thoughts on Russia-Ukraine
Russian President Vladimir Putin has unleashed a multi-front invasion of Ukraine, removing the possibility of a small-scale operation limited to just the eastern regions that were officially recognized by Moscow last week.
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Ukraine invasion: market reaction
The crisis will create short-term uncertainty and add to inflationary pressures, say fund managers from the international business of Federated Hermes.
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Russia: Investment Implications of Ukrainian Invasion
Investors’ worst fears about Russia’s intentions toward Ukraine have materialized following Russian President Vladimir Putin‘s announcement that he is sending troops into the country to “demilitarize” the nation.
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Origin Asset Management: Updated on Russia and Ukraine
Ex-Russia, Emerging Markets (EM) equities are holding their own versus the rest of the world, having markedly outperformed since late 2021.
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Russia/Ukraine conflict: A sustained market impact?
After weeks of build-up and intelligence warnings, Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, unleashing what may end up being the largest European conflict since World War II. The United States, Europe and NATO allies have condemned the move and responded with economic sanctions.
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EOS 2021 Annual Review
Although the Covid-19 pandemic continued to exact a heavy toll in 2021, the climate crisis returned to the fore with extreme weather events around the globe, and the starkest warning yet from scientists in the run up to the UN’s COP26 climate summit.
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The Supply-Led Inflation Challenge
The Fed could end up playing checkers while the economy is playing chess—with potentially worldwide consequences.
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As COVID Cases Fade, Services Ready for Upgrade
January U.S. retail sales surprised to the upside, rising 3.8% M/M. The Omicron wave temporarily halted the shift in consumer spending from goods to services, as at-home sectors gained. Meanwhile, restaurant sales fell for a second-consecutive month.
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White papers
Middle East North Africa Insight
After experiencing yet another year of stellar returns from global equities in 2021, investors face a good deal of uncertainty heading into 2022. Economic growth is slowing and inflation is higher than it’s been in decades, and the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is tapering its asset purchase programme and plans to raise interest rates.
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Top ESG equities show their resilience in 2021
Coming out of a volatile 2020, the sharp rise in inflation and the potential for rising rates were two of the key market drivers during 2021 – and certainly have been for the beginning of 2022. This backdrop does not look set to alter dramatically, at least in the near term.
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Investment Viewpoint - Global FinTech: positioning for 2022
In 2021, trends in the FinTech space accelerated and earnings were extremely robust. Valuations for loss-making, hyper-growth companies became more extreme before sheer saturation dampened sentiment.
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European equity market: the great value rotation and the dividend appeal
January 2022 was a record month for European value equity, in terms of its outperformance vs. growth. The market’s reassessment of central banks’ actions after their hawkish turn has driven real yields higher and benefitted value stocks, while growth sectors such as technology, which are more sensitive to interest rates duration, have suffered.