All Credit articles – Page 36
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts: Q4 2018
We stick to the view that 2018 will be the peak of the global economic cycle. 2019 will most likely be a year of deceleration albeit with still above trend growth, before a further slowdown of growth towards potential in 2020.
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White papersSocial momentum: How the bond market has an eye on the future
Just over a decade ago, in 2007, the iPhone made its debut, Tesla unveiled its first electric car, and the England football team returned home to the new Wembley stadium.
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White papersCredit where credit is due – making the most of unconstrained credit
The search for a sustainable return has led many pension schemes to allocating more investment to a credit solution. Jeff Boswell and Garland Hansmann of Investec Asset Management outline how unconstrained credit strategies could help address the challenges.
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White papersUK equities: Mid-year Review
While UK equities had a more volatile first quarter, sterling weakness helped the FTSE 100 outperform the broader market.
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White papersTurkey shakes summer thin markets, but contagion risk is contained
The domestic boom has been financed by private debt (mainly external debt). Well before this week’s crisis, Turkey was the most vulnerable country in our EM ranking
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts: Q3 2018
The current global expansion is set to run until 2020, with above potential growth in most countries in 2018 and 2019. However, the global GDP growth has started to decelerate and we expect it to slow further in 2020.
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White papers2018 Midyear Outlook: (Still) Risk On
Investors are facing some pretty big questions: How long will the economy continue to expand? How will rising interest rates affect my portfolio? Will volatility continue to climb? Do geopolitics (or even just political posturing) really matter?
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White papersEuropean long lease real estate: a defensive alternative
In a world in which income can be challenging to find, secure and growing cashflows are sought after by pension funds, insurers and other institutional investors.
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White papersIn Credit: World Cup Blues?
The phenomenon of rising nationalism, including trade war rhetoric, continues to weigh on risk markets and provides an anchor to core government bond yields.
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White papersEuro Investment Grade Credit: A Growing, Diversifying, High-Quality Market
The financial crisis and subsequent regulation has ended the dominance of financials in euro corporate bonds.
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White papersBanking problems impede India’s reforms
There has generally been a positive response to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s structural reforms, but there has been an investment slowdown in the medium-term, and recent scandals, huge bad loans and ATM cash shortages imply a banking system that is in crisis – to the tune of $210 billion.
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White papersStrategic Relative Value: Q2 2018
Even modest upward interest rate adjustments can be disruptive to risk markets when they collide with slowing economic growth, shifting monetary regimes, and geopolitical shocks.
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White papersWhat to know about investing in China
There used to be a lot of concern around China’s old industrial economy, but supply-side reforms have curtailed excess capacity.
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White papersWhy sustainable growth supports ASEAN equities
The Association of Southeast Asian Nations is in a cycle of high-quality, balanced economic growth, with China leading the way.
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White papersAsset Allocation Update: Strong earnings prompt US equities upgrade
Amid background noise such as ongoing trade skirmishes involving the US, the evolving Chinese economy and geo-political tensions, we have spent time analysing recent market movements and the implications for risk assets.
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White papersThe inflation pendulum
It’s not good to have too much or too little inflation, but trying to get a huge pendulum the size of the US economy to settle in the middle is very difficult.
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White papersThe employment enigma: why is there no inflation?
After years of monetary stimulus, zero interest rates and quantitative easing, the global economy is now experiencing strong, synchronised growth.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy: May 2018
While in 2017 financial markets largely ignored geopolitical risks, as they were more inclined to read the Goldilocks narrative, this mood now appears to be changing.
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