Content (23)
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White papersElection Economics
A resounding victory sweeps President (and President-Elect) Trump back to the White House. The substantial-for-modern-times majority in the Senate along with the popular vote means that the second Trump administration has more of a mandate than the first one.
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White papersGlobal Outlook 2025
In 2025, we believe the core question to dominate economic discussions is where the unobservable natural rate (r*, the neutral rate of interest that supports full employment and constant inflation) lies and when central banks should stop cutting.
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White papersRelative Value & Tactical Asset Allocation Q4 2024
We are anticipating a stable macro environment in the near future, with some uncertainties stemming from U.S. elections and monetary policy. We continue to look for spreads to mostly remain range bound, with a low chance of further tightening. With a low risk of recession, a carry strategy is preferred in the next quarter or two, meaning we prefer investments with attractive yields, while remaining cautious about potential weakness.
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White papersRate Expectations
Much has been written about the pace of likely interest rate cuts from the U.S. Federal Reserve. We continue to expect a total of 75 bps by year end, with a first cut of 25 bps at the next Federal Open Market Committee Meeting on September 17-18.
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White papersEconomic Monthly: Strength or Softness?
Consumers have still not run out of runway. Despite having burned through the famous “excess savings” from pandemic-era stimulus, and despite a softer labor market, we continue to see consumers willing and able to spend. As we elaborate below, continued credit availability, investment spending and the labor market provide enough space for households to maintain their spending habits for the next several months.
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White papersZambia: A Resource-Rich Copper Giant Awakens
Boasting Africa’s second-largest reserves of copper, Zambia has a unique opportunity to leverage its natural resource endowment and make real progress on the road to development. Despite some near-term challenges, we believe this landlocked nation in Southern Africa is on the rise, tackling debt, investing in its future, and capitalizing on its abundant resources.
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White papersDriving Sustainable Outcomes: Infrastructure Debt and the Sustainable Development Goals
Infrastructure investment is vital for enhancing quality of life, driving economic development and promoting social equity. It fundamentally shapes how we live, how economies function and the inclusivity and resilience of our communities and environment. To meet global infrastructure needs, including the UN Sustainable Development Goals, an estimated $97 trillion in investment is needed by 2040.
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White papersEconomic Monthly: Flying Blind
The U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) has reduced the pace of quantitative tightening (QT), the European Central Bank (ECB), and potentially even the Bank of England (BoE), could begin cuts as soon as next month, and the dot plot shows the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) cutting rates later this year.
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White papersThe Winds of Change: A Closer Look at European Renewable Energy Financing
Guy Haselmann, Head of Thought Leadership at MetLife Investment Management (MIM), recently sat down with Giulia Noli, Director in EMEA Infrastructure, to discuss the current environment for lending to European renewable energy projects.
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White papersEconomic Monthly Businesses Ride to the Rescue
We now expect the economy to avoid a recession in 2024. Businesses are emerging as a backstop. High and rising profit margins, a rebounding manufacturing sector, and a resilient services sector present the opportunity to maintain labor force expansion and, with it, consumer spending.
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White papersRelative Value & Tactical Asset Allocation Q2 2024
Global Economy is Weighed Down by Geopolitical Crises and Policy Uncertainties
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White papersDecarbonization Metrics for Real Estate Investment
Goal Setting for a Portfolio in the Context of Absolute vs. Intensity Metrics
