All Asset allocation articles
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White papers
Rates Relief or Slowdown Uncertainty?
Our outlook for lower rates and a soft landing favors U.S. small caps, and we are watching China’s new stimulus closely for its impact on global cyclical assets.
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Amplified Volatility Leads to Muted Bets
To get through the current environment, we think it is important not to chase the markets, but to let them come to you.
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Risk Factor, Risk Premium and Black-Litterman Model
Risk factor models are now widely used by fund managers to construct portfolios and assess both return and risk based on the behaviour of common risk factors to which the portfolios are exposed. However, fund managers often have subjective views on these risk factors that they may wish to incorporate into their asset allocation strategies.
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Allocation Views: Holding safe harbor
Fed rate cuts are supporting risk assets, but high equity valuations and near-term uncertainty may be reasons for caution. Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions explores what this means for investors in its latest Allocation Views.
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Relative Value & Tactical Asset Allocation Q4 2024
We are anticipating a stable macro environment in the near future, with some uncertainties stemming from U.S. elections and monetary policy. We continue to look for spreads to mostly remain range bound, with a low chance of further tightening. With a low risk of recession, a carry strategy is preferred in the next quarter or two, meaning we prefer investments with attractive yields, while remaining cautious about potential weakness.
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Emerging Markets: How Structural Shifts are Leading to Strong Tailwinds
Prior to the onset of COVID-19, much had been written about the appeal of emerging market debt (EMD), touting the yield advantage as well as its lower correlation to other fixed income asset classes. EMD has underperformed since then, leaving investors in Switzerland and beyond to wonder if and how EMD fits into their asset allocation. After a difficult start to the 2020s, we believe EM debt is now poised to outperform as headwinds from sharp increases in interest rates and slower growth are now reversing course. Thus, the tailwinds from lower rates, higher growth, and improving credit quality are setting the table for positive EM performance going forward.
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The Fundamentals of Japan
Donghoon Han and Shuntaro Takeuchi explain why macroeconomic developments in Japan and the U.S., and its associated market volatility, don’t negate from the longer-term prospects of Japanese equities.
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Accessing private assets: One structure doesn’t fit all
Governments and regulators around the world continue to make private markets more accessible. We explore the fund structures gaining the most attention outside the US, like RAIF, Part II UCI, ELTIF, and SPC.
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Allocation Views: Staying in the saddle
Potential volatility linked to the upcoming US election, alongside seasonality concerns, leads Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions toward a neutral allocation to risk assets.
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India: the emerging market outlier
Underlying economic factors make India an emerging market like no other.
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US Fixed Income Navigator: Making sense of market inefficiencies
This paper contains the latest views based on data analysis using the Franklin Templeton Institute’s US Fixed Income Navigator, with a special emphasis on rising opportunities from a series of potential market inefficiencies.
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Generating returns in uncertain regimes
As the last few years have aptly demonstrated, pandemics, wars and wildly fluctuating economic variables such as surging inflation and sweeping interest rate hikes have all contributed to heightened periods of uncertainty and volatility in financial markets, often at the expense of patient and unassuming long-term investors. Stuart Canning, Fund Manager in M&G’s Multi Asset Team, assesses the value of Dynamic Multi-Asset allocation in a world of shifting expectations.
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Allocation Views: It’s tricky
Recent market volatility does not change a mostly supportive economic environment, in the view of Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team, although moderate return expectations might be appropriate. Read their latest views about global investment allocations.
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Asset Management Mid-Year Outlook 2024: Cutting Through Complexity
As we head into the second half of 2024, our investment teams share their views on the most meaningful market trends and potential opportunities and risks.
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The case for investment grade private credit
Long a core allocation of life insurers portfolios, broader segments of institutional investors are recognizing the benefits of investment grade private credit. Originally concentrated in private corporates and infrastructure debt, investment grade private credit now includes more specialized areas such as credit tenant loans (CTLs) and esoteric private asset-backed securities (ABS).
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Collective Defined Contribution (CDC) Schemes: Assessing Capacity for Alternative Investments
There is growing interest in collective defined contribution schemes as pension systems adapt to changing economics and demographics.
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The case for bonds (as rates inch towards normalisation)
With the Fed expected to begin its easing cycle later this year, bond markets appear poised to generate income to a degree not seen since before the 2008-09 financial crisis.
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The Next Chapter in EMD: Static vs. Dynamic Allocations
This installment of our Emerging Market Debt series takes a sequential approach to providing our perspective on achieving optimal EMD exposure.
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Optimizing a Global Credit Portfolio
By using a “building block” approach, investors may be able to improve diversification, boost risk-adjusted returns and reduce implementation costs. Our white paper outlines the potential benefits of a modular approach to optimize your fixed income portfolio.
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A Preliminary Language for a Post-Global World
This book sets out what we see as the key issues facing asset owners in the macro environment, and shares the outlook for capital markets, strategic allocation and the future of the investment industry. It will also explore how the next ten years are likely to be very different from the 1980–2020 period.