White papers - all assets – Page 57
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White papersA Return to Uncertainty
We believe that even though 2025 is off to a rough start, firms and consumers will continue to adapt, and growth will stabilize over the year. Many of the negative impacts of lower activity in the beginning of the year (weaker consumer spending, weaker consumer confidence and high imports to front-run tariffs) are idiosyncratic and have the potential to be offset in subsequent quarters, resulting in overall growth that is healthy, albeit weaker than 2024.
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White papersInvestment case for water remains buoyant
Investing in the water value chain – including infrastructure, technology, and services – can help investors achieve sustainable returns over the long term. Now is a good time: valuations of high-quality companies demonstrating strong earnings growth, such as those our strategy targets, look compelling after a correction compared to the broader equity market.
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White papersWhat’s on Insurers’ Minds: Insights from Industry Leaders
Though geopolitics has come to the fore, insurers are addressing a wide range of other issues.
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White papersActive Credit in 2025
Is volatility creating one of the best credit-picking opportunity sets in recent years?
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White papersIs there hope for the market?
While markets may still have room to grow this year, especially if earnings broaden beyond tech, tight valuations and rising policy uncertainty pose key risks. The path forward likely depends on earnings growth taking over—but missteps in fiscal or trade policy could derail that before it gains traction.
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White papersNavigating market volatility amid US tariffs and policy uncertainty
Amid uncertainty in equities and credit markets, we remain focused on long-term investment fundamentals and building portfolios to weather the storm and deliver for clients.
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White papersCan European Equities Regain Footing amid Global Adversity?
European equities have started 2025 on a positive note. Several factors could help the market overcome challenging conditions.
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White papersNavigating opportunities in a higher-for-longer market
Today’s landscape offers attractive income opportunities, with elevated real rates and resilient fundamentals supporting diversified sources like dividend equities, real assets, and high-quality bonds.
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White papersQT or Not QT – Part Two
In the previous part of “QT or not QT” we discussed how the Federal Reserve balance sheet needs to change as it approached an optimal level. The final step, discussed by participants in the most recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, is to structure securities purchases in a way that would move the composition of the SOMA portfolio closer to the composition of outstanding Treasury debt. What would that mean for the current portfolio?
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White papersUnderstanding tariffs in five charts
Tariff is a word many of us first heard in history class: we remember the Great Depression and the dark side of protectionist trade policy. Fast forward to today and tariffs are once again taking centre stage, serving as the linchpin of President Trump’s trade policy. A fierce debate has emerged over the impact they could have on the global economy — and as a cause of sharply rising market volatility.
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White papersSix Impossible Things Before Breakfast?
The unwinding of “Trump trades,” a spike in volatility and the outperformance of European versus US equities have sparked debate about whether this is a tactical shift or the beginnings of a longer bearish trajectory for markets.
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White papersThe bitter squeeze: Orange juice futures collapse under tariff
Much of the focus on potential tariff impacts across commodity markets has rightly focused on a relatively narrow set of major, well-known commodities such as Copper, Steel, Aluminum and even Gold. However, the long shadow of tariff turmoil is cast across many other corners of the market.
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White papersThe diverse economic impacts of artificial intelligence
AI uptake by companies and households appears to have increased significantly in recent months. This is one of the factors that will determine whether AI will increase productivity gains significantly. As we will show in this section, a lot of new data and statistics have been published over the past quarters, and related knowledge has improved.
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White papersPositive mood in Emerging Markets
“The weakness in U.S. stocks reinforces our conviction that a rotation away from expensive U.S. large-cap stocks may persist. We also believe there is more value to be explored in regions such as emerging markets, including China.”
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2025
Topic of the month: A step forward for Europe
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White papersA step forward for Europe
From sluggish to strong: Germany poised to support Europe’s growth
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White papersScenarios, risks and macroeconomic forecasts - March 2025
Main and alternative scenarios as of 20th February 2025
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White papersMacro brief: Growing risks to India’s demographic dividend
Ongoing talk of India’s demographic dividend is easy to understand: the country recently overtook China as the world’s most populous country and over the next 20 to 25 years, is set to become the largest contributor to the global working age cohort.
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White papersNet-Zero Targets—a Dream or Still a Reality?
Recent energy crises and political resistance have slowed progress toward net-zero emissions. We believe success will depend on global cooperation to balance short-term energy security with long-term decarbonization goals.
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White papersRecession risks: Weighing policy uncertainty and market volatility
The U.S. economy faces pressure from tariffs, slower growth, and high valuations, unsettling markets and investors. A recession isn’t inevitable, though—strong consumer and corporate balance sheets and possible Fed support could help. While risks have grown, a recession shouldn’t be seen as the base case, but it also shouldn’t be ruled out.
