White papers - all assets – Page 316
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White papers
An Update on our Local Market Resilience Scores
In June 2016, we released Global Macro Shifts1 (issue 5) – Emerging Markets: Mapping the Opportunities [GMS-5]. This paper discussed many of the risks and opportunities across emerging markets while highlighting the importance of assessing economic resiliencies in individual countries. Since then we have seen notable rallies in emerging economies as capital has returned to a number of undervalued markets, particularly during 2017.
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Facebook Scrutiny Raises Questions About Tech Giants
As Facebook’s market capitalization has tumbled by $60 billion over two days, investors have refocused on the gargantuan proportions of US mega-cap stocks.
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Debt, Tech and Trade Wars Cloud the Investment Horizon
Global equities posted their first quarterly decline in two years during a volatile first quarter.
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Emerging Markets, Emerging Political Change
A lot of positive political change isn’t reflected in emerging market asset prices. EM investors still demand extra return for political risk even though that risk is going down in some countries—and opportunities are increasing.
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Cross road: the landscape of the fixed-income market
Two events pushed down Eurozone sovereign spreads in 2017: the French presidential election in April & May, which dissipated investors’ fears about Eurosceptic movements, and the announcement on 26 October of a smaller-than-expected reduction in ECB’s QE for 2018 (monthly purchases lowered from € 60 bn to €30bn).
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Rethinking fixed income investing when the easy money is coming to an end
Core fixed income allocation, usually comprising high-quality government and corporate bonds, has played a relevant role in diversified portfolios over the last few decades.
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Meet the Manager: Andrew Chin
AB’s Chief Risk Officer and Head of Quantitative Research shares his perspectives on the research behind the development of prime alpha.
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Fed vs. ECB. Towards a stronger decoupling of monetary policies?
US and European economies both continue to expand but at different paces. While US growth will likely pick up this year, boosted by an expansionist fiscal policy, the Eurozone cycle probably peaked last year.
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Yesterday, bonds were such an easy game to play…
…but now we are back to worrying about inflation, recession and things that tweet in the night.
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The inflation pendulum
It’s not good to have too much or too little inflation, but trying to get a huge pendulum the size of the US economy to settle in the middle is very difficult.
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The employment enigma: why is there no inflation?
After years of monetary stimulus, zero interest rates and quantitative easing, the global economy is now experiencing strong, synchronised growth.
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Impact investing through sustainable financing: integrating ESG into real asset debt strategies
With more than 15 years’ experience of integrating environmental, social and governance (‘ESG’) analysis into listed asset investments, BNP Paribas Asset Management (‘BNPP AM’) has extended its approach to the real asset financing strategies launched last year by its Private Debt & Real As- sets investment group.
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Climbing the wall of worry: why this is the most miserable bull market we’ve ever had
We are nine years into the equities bull market, in what has been a remarkable period for investors.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy: May 2018
While in 2017 financial markets largely ignored geopolitical risks, as they were more inclined to read the Goldilocks narrative, this mood now appears to be changing.
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Gold: At the Crossroads of Fiscal and Monetary Policies
Gold has shown a lack of direction amid the push-pull effects of fiscal and monetary policies.
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Rising Rates Survival Guide
Looking for new sources of income and diversification will be crucial to dealing with the challenges of rising interest rates and inflation.
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Russia: the fundamental story is intact, sanctions pose downside risks
The outlook for the Russian economy is positive, supported by expansive monetary policy, robust global trade and increasing oil price, even though the current context has deteriorated on the back of the last round of sanctions.
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Economic Insights: April 2018
What happens after a crisis? A return to normal. The world economic expansion, now two years old, remains intact, albeit with modest deceleration outside the United States.
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Responsible investing’s ‘Big Bang’ has lost none of its spark
The COP21 Paris Conference in 2015 was undoubtedly climate change’s ‘big bang’, but nevertheless a certain amount of scepticism greeted the legislation. After all, many had questions about how forms would integrate environmental, social and govern- ance (ESG) criteria into traditional asset manage- ment models.
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Carbon Footprints: Where do they lead?
The world is changing. Investors can no longer look to existing strategies and indexes – clearly representative of the “old” economy – to be sufficient during the current transition towards the “new”. This is especially true regarding environmental issues in light of the Paris Agreement, the recent UN Sustainable Development Goals becoming standard for investment strategy assessments, and increasing public and regulatory pressure.