White papers - all assets – Page 31
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White papersUS dollar slide pauses amid US-Japan deal
The dollar fell by around 10% this year, as on 22 July, mainly due to uncertainty over President Trump’s trade policies and concerns over US debt and fiscal deficit. Issues like the political pressure on the Fed to cut rates aggressively have also weighed on sentiment.
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White papersPrivate capital in Europe – A €3 trillion investment super-cycle
An ‘existential challenge’ is how the 2024 Draghi report on European competitiveness described the need for structural measures to improve Europe’s economic growth, putting the investments that this would require at around 5% of the region’s GDP. Paul-Francois Prouvost and Karen Azoulay highlight the role of private capital in this investment drive.
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White papersPublic Engagement Report Q2 2025
The Q2 Public Engagement Report from EOS at Federated Hermes Limited explores key challenges and opportunities for the automotive sector, the growing threat posed by AMR, and trends from the North American and European voting seasons.
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White papersA tech transformation for China?
Despite lingering concerns over its property sector, recent data from China suggests the world’s second largest economy is weathering the tariffs storm, helped by a burgeoning tech sector.
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White papersJapan: Opportunity Trumps Politics
The U.S. trade deal will further support improving economic fundamentals in Japan, which underpin our constructive equity positioning on the country. Recent political developments and volatility in the government bond market are unlikely to change our long-held view.
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White papersDiversifying direct lending portfolios through sponsor-less lending
The landscape for direct lending is crowded. Increased competition and limited buy-out activity have put lenders under more pressure to deploy. In navigating the challenges of a maturing asset class, investors may consider sponsor-less lending in the lower mid-market as a means of diversifying a portfolio and enhancing the potential for return.
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White papersUnified Global Alternatives – Hedge Fund Bulletin: Monthly Hedge Fund Update – June 2025
Risk assets produced mostly positive performance in June as investors demonstrated renewed focus on AI related themes, the easing of Middle East tension, as well as some market short covering across momentum factors. Expectations for a more dovish US Federal Reserve also provided a boost to market sentiment. The Dow Jones Industrials, S&P500 and the NASDAQ had positive performance. In Equity / Hedged, US Equity Hedged strategies generally produced positive returns.
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White papersWhy the construction of a Cashflow Driven Investment strategy is key
Within any portfolio, getting the construction right is an important element to ensuring that the objectives and aims are met. For Cashflow Driven Investment (CDI) strategies, this is particularly true given their long-term horizons and often tailored fixed income allocation.
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White papersRemaking the case for US SMID caps
Over the past 10 and even 30 years, SMID cap companies have quietly outpaced large caps in earnings growth. Yet, large cap indices have dominated headlines, driven not by superior growth, but by soaring PE ratios. In this note Hugh Grieves, Fund Manager of the Premier Miton US Opportunities Fund, takes a look at the overlooked power of SMID caps.
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White papersHealthcare Pipelines and Paychecks: A Formula for Assessing Executive Pay
Our research suggests that firms with sound executive pay practices yield healthier returns.
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White papersLooking beyond the headlines: Climate investing can unlock opportunities and diversifications
The election of Donald Trump may have been accompanied by significant media and political narrative around climate initiatives, but many institutional investors continue to assess the extent to which their portfolios are exposed to climate risk, or conversely, whether alpha opportunities exist in investing in companies providing solutions to climate risk.
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White papersPension funds themes for an era of geopolitical and policy shifts
Our short-term outlook for the second half of 2025 highlights significant shifts in the global rewiring of trade and financial markets, alongside historic changes in tariffs and fiscal policy. These developments carry important implications for long-term investors, particularly pension funds, for which we see three key investment themes.
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White papersSharing perspectives on a world in flux: Exploring retirement trends and geopolitical dynamics
In late June, an exclusive group of professionals from 17 pension funds from around the globe gathered ahead of the annual Amundi World Investment Forum. It provided participants with an opportunity to connect, exchange ideas and participate in discussions on the pressing issues facing the pension industry as we face a world in flux.
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White papersPension Funds Letter 24 - A rebooting world: Decoding the changing pension landscape
June marks the return of the annual Amundi World Investment Forum. As multiple conficting and contradictory global factors converge, this year’s event explored how these are resetting world dynamics and how investors can adjust.
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White papersWhy security is a durable investment theme
Against a backdrop of war in Ukraine and the Middle East, as well as a global trade war, nations are redefining their relationships with allies, rivals and trading partners to bolster their national security.
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White papersFields of Dreams: The Growing Disparity Between Yield Forecasts and Reality
After under-promising and over-delivering for much of the first half of the last decade, realized end-of-season yields have come in below early season United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) estimates consistently since 2019 for corn and 2022 for soybeans. When it comes to yield projection, past performance is assumed to inform future results. In fact, the most common approach to generating a basic estimate of US corn and soybean yields involves deriving an “unconditional” linear trend estimate from historical yield data starting in the 1980s.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - July-August 2025
Global equities reached new record levels in July on expectations of trade deals, easing of US tariff threats and hopes of a short-term boost to US growth from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA). This has happened despite US tariffs moving higher (when compared with before Trump came to power), indicating some complacency in risk assets. On the other hand, bond yields in the US, the UK, Europe, and Japan are reflecting concerns over debt sustainability.
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White papersThe need for stronger US fiscal policy
US Treasury bonds have long provided domestic and foreign investors a modest yield that was assumed to be risk free. Yields (and thus prices) could be volatile, but the risk of the US government defaulting on its debt was regarded as so low that US Treasury yields became a benchmark for all other government and corporate debt: If the US government had zero risk of default, the default risk of any other borrower could be simply measured by looking at the additional yield it offered over a comparable Treasury security.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook: 3Q 2025
In the wake of an eventful quarter, we believe that more benign inflation data and softer but still positive growth could soon prompt the Federal Reserve to resume rate cuts, joining other central banks that have maintained easing polices. While tepid, economic growth remains positive globally and, in the U.S., could improve toward the end of the year and into 2026. In this environment, we currently favor exposure to shorter-term U.S. Treasuries, as well as opportunities in high yield and local currency-denominated emerging market debt, with tariff-related volatility posing a key risk.
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White papersRenewed threats to the Fed’s independence
Political pressure now threatens the Fed’s operational independence, prompting sharp market reactions—including a surge in long-term yields, a weaker dollar, and elevated volatility—which underscores the crucial role of central bank autonomy in maintaining market confidence and stability.
