White papers - all assets – Page 307
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White papers
What lies ahead for the US economy and markets?
The robust performance of the US economy in 2018 has led to the supremacy of US risk assets compared to the rest of the world. Moving towards the end of the year and into 2019, global investors have started to raise questions about whether the US economy and business sector will continue to shine, how inflation will evolve, and which direction the Federal Reserve will take going forward.
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3 views on coping with market volatility
With swift and sudden market volatility, investors are looking for context and insight. Our economists and portfolio managers react to recent turbulence, giving you thoughts on how to understand and react to market moves.
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The UN Sustainable Development Goals: A touchstone for today’s responsible investor?
Investors are increasingly seeking to understand and measure the wider consequences of where they allocate their capital. In this article, we look at how the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) can help to inform investor choices.
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Air pollution: Sustainable development and investment opportunity
The World Health Organisation estimates that air pollution contributes to seven million deaths per year, largely concentrated in South East Asia and the Western Pacific.
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China & Brazil: Currencies on Diverging Paths?
The election of a new leader in Brazil and the escalating Sino-U.S. trade war could send their currencies, the real and yuan, on diverging paths.
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As Merkel Falls, Will Bunds and Treasuries Follow?
German Chancellor Angela Merkel, under intense political pressure to her leadership, is stepping down as party leader.
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Could a Severe Equities Selloff Prolong Economic Expansion?
Could a sharp pullback in equities help to prolong the U.S. economic expansion and thus delay the onset of any recession?
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Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook: Q4 2018
For this quarter’s outlook we are taking a deeper look at alpha.
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The Case for Global Convertibles
Convertible securities are a unique asset class in the investment world, offering investors both the growth potential of common stocks and the income offered by bonds. Issued by companies looking to raise capital, these hybrid investments are generally structured as some form of debt (bonds, debentures) or preferred shares with an embedded option that allows conversion into common shares under predetermined conditions.
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US Midterm election: A divided Congress opens two possible scenarios
Key takeaway: In the midterm election Democrats win the House and the GOP (Grand Old Party) strengthens its position in the Senate.
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Asset Class Return Forecasts: Q4 2018
We stick to the view that 2018 will be the peak of the global economic cycle. 2019 will most likely be a year of deceleration albeit with still above trend growth, before a further slowdown of growth towards potential in 2020.
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Central European countries: Outlook to 2020
Global growth resynchronised in 2017. In this particularly bullish environment, Central European countries “outperformed” with growth rates of between 4% and 6%.
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Social momentum: How the bond market has an eye on the future
Just over a decade ago, in 2007, the iPhone made its debut, Tesla unveiled its first electric car, and the England football team returned home to the new Wembley stadium.
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In Credit: The sun shines on Brazil?
Core US bond yields drifted higher again last week with volatility in Europe centred upon the Italian bond market once again.
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Expect a rise in volatility from a ‘no-deal’ Brexit
Amid growing speculation that the UK could be heading towards a ‘no-deal’ Brexit, market watchers agree that this would be disruptive for UK markets. But the impact on European markets is likely to be more varied.
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White papers
Italy would have better prospects in a new financial crisis
Credit agency Cerved predicts the country is better placed to withstand a crisis than it was in 2008, with the pharmaceutical, tech and supermarket stocks looking most resilient.
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Italy’s outlook clouded by populist policies
While the new government’s economic policies appear expansionary, a lack of clarity over how they will be paid for means investors may face turbulent months ahead.
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Extra-financial indicators play a key role in the analysis of sovereign debt
At Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management, the assessment of sovereign debt is based, amongst other things, on a financial model for analysing issues the takes account of both the budgetary and economic situation as well as banking risk. Since 2015, we have decided to round out this internal modally incorporating extra-financial indicators.
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Reinvigorating the Mittelstand
Germany’s small- and medium-sized companies have been at the core of its economic success story, but now their fortunes depend on their ability to adapt to mounting pressures.
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Why Spanish bond markets are celebrating divergence from Italy
The country tackled its economic problems earlier than its Mediterranean counterpart.