White papers - all assets – Page 238
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White papers
The hottest equity themes in a post-pandemic world
It is already clear that the 2020 pandemic has given rise to a cycle of low growth and high debt. In this setting, value added will likely be generated more effectively by actively picking equity investments and doing so with a high dose of conviction. We believe that to find the incongruities in performance between the top companies and the others, investors need to be highly selective.
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White papers
Asian Health Care Equities: All Dressed Up, But Nowhere to Go (Yet)
Templeton Global Equity reviews trends and opportunities in this sector.
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White papers
Time to play a cyclical recovery in European equity
Cyclical conditions are turning more positive for Europe. Easing geopolitical risk and the prospect of massive fiscal resources (national and EU-wide) and monetary support could support a recovery in 2021. The improved sentiment could benefit European assets, equities in particular, that have been a laggard due to the pandemic. This could lead to a catch up of EU equities in relative terms vs other markets.
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White papers
The “Pandemic Put” Can’t Last Forever
As the second half comes into focus, investors will have to contemplate a world in which the risks remain—and the backstops come with strings.
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White papers
GCC/MENA Bond Market Update
Our CIOs’ Global Investment Outlook offers perspective on the investment landscape and the US elections.
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White papers
There’s More Than Huawei To Find Conflict With China
Growing tensions with China could lead to decisive reactions from Donald Trump and now Boris Johnson. U.S. retail sales are expected to improve in June, and the ECB will likely be in wait-and-see mode to assess the monetary measures it has already taken.
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White papers
Emerging market equities – Assessing the regional prospects
Even if we expect emerging market equities to outperform their developed market peers, country and sector differences, as always, will be significant.
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White papers
ECB QE Monitor – June 2020
ECB strengthened its intention to make its action long-term: The ECB revised its medium-term inflation target substantially on the downside. Core inflation is forecast to reach only 0.9% in 2022 (0.8% in 2020, 0.7% in 2021). The ECB justified the adjustment of the size of the PEPP by ...
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White papers
Asian Credit Remains Firmly Investment Grade
Spread-widening in the Asian credit markets due to COVID-19 is understandable, but we believe it overstates downgrade and default risks, and represents an attractive value opportunity for long-term investors.
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White papers
Improving the Robustness of Trading Strategy Backtesting with Boltzmann Machines and Generative Adversarial Networks
In this article, we explore generative models in order to build a market generator. The underlying idea is to simulate artificial multi-dimensional financial time series, whose statistical properties are the same as those observed in the financial markets. In particular, these synthetic data must preserve the first four statistical moments (mean, standard deviation, skewness and kurtosis), the stochastic dependence between the different dimensions (copula structure) and across time (autocorrelation function).
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White papers
South Korea: A Shining Example of Emerging Market Leadership
Many countries have learned valuable lessons from prior crisis periods that have helped them navigate the current coronavirus pandemic. South Korea is one example.
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White papers
Giving credit to decarbonisation (part 2)
What actions are commercial real-estate owners, and their lenders, taking to reduce carbon emissions – and how can this impact the performance of their assets?
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White papers
Giving credit to decarbonisation (part 1)
What are the hallmarks of best-practice carbon disclosures among corporate-bond issuers, and how can climate action positively impact the performance of companies?
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White papers
The day after #9 - Covid-19 crisis, a catalyst for change and strengthening the EU
The Conference on the Future of Europe, planned earlier this year, will probably open in September in a very different context than initially expected. Who will chair it and whether a new treaty for the union will be on the agenda remains unclear, but the need to address repositioning Europe post the Covid-19 pandemic is clear.
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White papers
Record US Index Concentration Adds Hazards for Investors
US growth companies led the second-quarter rebound, fueled by the five largest technology and new media stocks, which now comprise more than a third of the Russell 1000 Growth Index (R1000G). Investors should be alert to the risks of high benchmark concentration.
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White papers
Lopsided Equity Rally Highlights Growing Market Risks
Global equities rebounded sharply in the second quarter, driven by massive stimulus efforts and progress in the fight against the coronavirus. But investors face new risks in the third quarter as companies and countries count the costs of the pandemic and cope with the threat of a second wave of contagion.
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White papers
The inflation genie – Understanding the drivers for the medium term
The COVID-19 pandemic has revived a familiar conversation about the inflation genie escaping the bottle. The speculation is similar to the one that surfaced in the immediate aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis and at various points since then: That we are likely to experience a burst of inflation in the coming years.
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White papers
Asia ex-Japan Strategy Update: June 2020
The current economic environment is in many respects unprecedented. In the last century, perhaps with the exception of the world wars, almost all financial crises have been ‘financial’ in nature. Today’s crisis is different: it is not just about ownership or claims on assets, it is a public health crisis. When the coronavirus pandemic eventually recedes, what will a recovery in equities look like?
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White papers
Asset Allocation Committee Outlook - 3Q 2020
“We are confident that the economy will be bigger in 12 months’ time than it is today, and therefore we are biased toward taking risk. But we are unable to reconcile the the size and speed of the stock market rebound at the beginning of June with what is likely to be a gradual re-opening process and moderate medium-term growth.”
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White papers
Core Matters - Has globalisation peaked?
Globalisation has always been a matter of controversy. In economic terms, it has been widely credited with a rise in productivity by exploiting gains of trade. It has also led to lower prices and more product variety for consumers. However, it is also seen as a driving force of de-industrialisation and rising inequality in Advanced Economies (AEs), while fostering a catch-up process in Emerging Markets (EMs).