White papers - all assets
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White papers
Causality Approach Applied to Clean-Tech Equities
The clean-tech industry has experienced remarkable growth, bringing forth groundbreaking technologies and sustainable solutions. This research article delves into the examination of factors that shape the evaluation of net-zero assets in various sectors and themes.
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White papers
Euro area: Worst over, slow recovery ahead
”Confirmation of no recession for the Euro economy, improving business sentiment and the ECB going to cut rates should support European equities including small caps.”
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White papers
Nature and biodiversity: Water and sanitation
Over the last several hundred years, exponential population growth has increased demand for essential resources including food, energy and infrastructure. Sustaining our population and consumption patterns is contingent on water availability, and quality. In part two of this series, Adam Pinfold, Michael Rae and Ben Constable-Maxwell consider the risks of our current unsustainable water use, alongside some of the potential solutions.
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White papers
IT – A major greenhouse gas emitter hiding in plain sight
Many activities have a clear impact on climate, but for some, this is more obvious than for others. What, for example, are the CO2 emissions of reading this article on a mobile? Or of the electricity powering datacentres and networks? Their carbon footprint is larger than you think. Plenty of opportunities for asset managers that can identify companies able to benefit from the related decarbonisation tailwinds, writes Berenice Lasfargues.
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White papers
The continuing evolution of investment stewardship
In less than a decade, stewardship has become a central area of investor interest and action. From the Paris Agreement of 2015 to today, questions of stewardship around systemic risks have gone from periodic to practically obligatory. Investment stewardship is now a key factor of asset owner decision-making when entrusting investment managers with their assets.
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White papers
Optimal decumulation strategies for retirement solutions
The importance of decumulation strategies in retirement has gained traction in recent years. Government pension reforms are driving a move away from defined benefit (DB) schemes, which promise an income for life, in favour of defined contribution (DC) plans which offer no such guarantee. In Europe, DC plans already account for 26% of retirement assets (USD713.9 billion) and are projected to rise significantly in the next five years, potentially increasing by USD2.5 trillion.
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White papers
Fixed Income Outlook – Corporate bonds still a bright spot
We expect corporate bonds to deliver positive returns in the coming quarters, primarily due to the attractive yields. With money market rates becoming less attractive as interest rate cuts loom, further supporting inflows into corporate bonds look likely.
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White papers
Growing investment opportunities amid bank deleveraging trend
The structural need for European banks to deleverage, particularly with new capital rules under Basel IV coming into effect from 2025 (dubbed as the Basel “Endgame”), is incentivising banks to engage in ‘risk-sharing’ regulatory capital solutions like Significant Risk Transfer and other asset solutions such as Specialty Finance trades. As banks double-down on capital relief and balance sheet optimisation, this is creating an attractive and unique entry point for investors to gain exposure to the core, yet ‘harder-to-access’, parts of bank balance sheets and earn potentially attractive risk-adjusted returns.
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White papers
Fixed Income Outlook – Not as planned
Another higher-than-expected US inflation number means the US Federal Reserve should be in no rush to cut rates before price pressures subside. With the risk of inflation continuing to surprise to the upside in the near term, we now expect benchmark 10-year yields to potentially retrace to 4.75%, at which point we would likely again go overweight duration.
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White papers
Regulation set to supercharge push on plastics
Voluntary plastic goals have yielded little meaningful change on plastic production and recycling. But forthcoming regulatory changes will heighten both the risks and opportunities companies – and investors – must navigate.
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White papers
Global growth forecast revised higher, again
”As long as inflation is not resurging, better growth should support equities. We favour a diversified global approach and selective stories, such as India.”
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White papers
Positive Stock-Bond Correlation: Prospects & Portfolio Construction Implications (April 2024)
As part of PGIM IAS’s ongoing research on strategic portfolio construction, we have explored the macro drivers, global linkages, and portfolio construction implications of stock-bond correlation in a series of papers dating back to 2021.
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White papers
India: Unlocking the potential
In this latest Global Macro Shifts, India offers new economic and investment advantages, as both long-term reforms and recent, post-pandemic changes in the global economy combine fortuitously, according to Templeton Global Macro.
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White papers
Stay Focused on Earnings
Should a sticky inflation release cause investors to revise their outlook for equities?
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White papers
Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 2Q 2024
“The economic outlook may have improved, but large parts of the credit and equity markets are already priced for a soft landing.”
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White papers
Mapping global elections and what this means for investors
It’s a defining 12 months for the world we live in today and wake up to tomorrow as billions of people across more than 50 countries head to the polls in 2024, although not all national elections will be free and fair. Romil Patel looks at some of the key votes from the world’s oldest to its largest democracies, as well as emerging markets – and what this means for investors.
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White papers
Clean Energy – Cyclical Opportunity For Long-Term Investments
Investments in clean energies have rarely been more attractive. The urgent need to tackle climate change is becoming increasingly apparent. Both the public and political decision-makers are well aware of the environmental challenges.
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White papers
Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - April 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 12 April 2024
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White papers
Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - April 2024
”The BoJ does not have the right conditions to hike in 2024 or 2025.”
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - April 2024
”Market sentiment may remain positive if we don’t see an economic slowdown and inflation also doesn’t surprise. However, areas of excess have built up, and underscore the need to remain vigilant.”