White papersCentral Banks and bond yields in focus
“The stagflationary impulse from the conflict will reshape the growth and inflation risk trade-off, creating a policy dilemma for central banks globally. Overall, we expect central banks to postpone easing, but not to reverse it, a wait-and-see stance seems plausible and appropriate.”
White papersPrivate credit and real asset debt: resilience through rate normalisation
Private credit, commercial real estate (CRE), infrastructure debt, and middle market direct lending have proved resilient across most rate regimes because performance is anchored in structure, cashflow durability, and disciplined underwriting - not in the direction of policy rates.
White papersBeyond U.S. exceptionalism
Concerns are growing over economic activity, political tension and policy uncertainty in the U.S., creating a challenging investment environment. Headlines throughout 2025 and so far in 2026 underlined this uneasiness; foreign investors were reportedly leaving U.S. markets in droves amid currency volatility and tariff-driven fears, possibly spelling the end of U.S. exceptionalism as we know it. Adding to these doubts is the spectre of an increasingly deglobalized world.
White papersMind the underinvestment gap: Shaping the UK’s future through private markets investment
With significant underinvestment placing pressure on the UK’s social infrastructure, we consider how institutional capital can drive regeneration and unlock long term social and economic benefits.
White papersIntegrating Geopolitical Risk Into Low Volatility Factor Construction
Financial markets respond not only to quantitative fundamentals but also to narratives that shape investor perceptions of risk, particularly during periods of heightened geopolitical uncertainty. While the low volatility factor has demonstrated robust risk adjusted performance across markets, its construction is typically static and does not account for narrative-driven fluctuations in risk.
White papersWater risk, redefined: from structural theme to immediate reality
In many parts of the world, water resources are under severe strain from over-consumption, pollution and the effects of climate change. Problems with water supply do not just affect the emerging world – ageing infrastructure compromises reliable supply and contributes to pollution across the developed world.
White papersGermany’s Mittelstand at a turning point: the pivotal role of private debt
Germany’s mid-market is in transition, and private debt is playing a pivotal role. Digitalisation, energy, sovereignty and succession: these shifts are reshaping priorities and creating new financing needs.
White papersInnovation at work: building a resilient private market ecosystem
Private markets have entered a phase shaped not only by secular shifts, but also by heightened geopolitical uncertainty and growing scrutiny around risk.
White papersRethinking resilience in private credit
For much of the past decade, emerging markets (EM) were viewed primarily as a high-beta extension of global growth. Allocators tended to treat the asset class as cyclical exposure, sensitive to dollar strength, commodity swings, and Federal Reserve policy shifts.
White papersA new phase for Japanese equity investment
Factors such as persistent yen depreciation and short-term, stimulus-oriented fiscal measures have historically played a significant role in shaping valuations and investment styles in Japanese equities. However, signs are emerging that these structural premises are gradually changing.
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