Outlooks – Page 115
-
White papers
The euro zone: a blueprint for a brighter future
The euro zone’s new stimulus package could deliver the biggest monetary and fiscal boost since 2008. And it’s also a sign that the region is putting firmer foundations in place.
-
White papers
Looking into 2020 with Hermes
2020 will be another uncertain year. Brexit will rumble on, bringing further volatility and polarising the UK political dialogue; China and US relations will remain tense and concern markets, despite a possible partial trade deal being secured before the end of 2019; and the US presidential race will likely unsettle world markets.
-
White papers
Power Purchase Agreements: A European Outlook
In the last five years, a tremendous increase in the use of PPAs for renewable energy in Europe can be observed. According to Bloomberg Energy Finance, over 5 GW of corporate PPAs have been signed in the EMEA region since 2013, with a record of 2.3 GW in 2018. Most transactions were concluded in the Nordics with a strong demand from industrials such as Norsk Hydro or Alcoa Corp, but also from international tech companies such as Facebook, Amazon or Google.
-
White papers
Barometer: The gloom lifts a little
Central banks are opening the liquidity taps again, easing concerns over growth and corporate profits. Prospects for emerging market assets look better as a result.
-
White papers
The world’s renewable energy transition has begun
The world’s renewable energy transition has now begun and is only going to accelerate from here as governments, consumers and investors recognise that switching to more sustainable energy is not only essential to stop climate change, but makes sound economic sense too.
-
-
White papers
Realistic Assumptions For ESG Integration
Environmental, social and governance aspects are becoming increasingly important. More than 2,000 investors – with almost USD 90 trillion in assets under management – have signed the UN Principles for Responsible Investment (UN PRI). At the same time, this raises a question: what impact do ESG factors have on a portfolio?
-
White papers
The link between defensive stocks and ESG
How can investors build a portfolio of stocks that can withstand tough economic conditions?
-
White papers
Staying positive: why Asian fixed income makes sense in the face of rising uncertainty
It’s hardly surprising that the uncertainty associated with the on-again, offagain U.S.-China trade talks has continued to weigh on market sentiment. As of this writing, discussions appear to be progressing in a constructive manner—just like they did in July. But we know from our experience this past summer that a high level of unpredictability remains: these negotiations could collapse or gain traction at a moment’s notice.
-
White papers
Credit and sustainability: ignorance is risk
The need for companies to adapt to long-term structural trends is not new. They have been doing it for centuries. However, today the challenges created by sustainability are more urgent than ever. In particular, sustainability-driven change is unparalleled in scale and speed.
-
White papers
When investments in Infrastructure Debt embrace ESG standards
The requirement to develop, maintain, upgrade infrastructure projects is constant, even increasing worldwide, and so reflected into a funding demand.
-
White papers
Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q4 - 2019
Our medium-term baseline scenario is that of a late business cycle slowdown supported by the dovish U-turn of central banks. We expect economic growth to move below potential for most developed economies in 2020, a trend that will be further exacerbated in 2021 by a deteriorating cyclical environment and still anaemic global trade. Nevertheless, growth is expected to stay in positive territory.
-
White papers
Why Are Investors Turning to Emerging Market Corporate Bonds?
Emerging market debt has expanded significantly. Its continued evolution has opened the way for more sophisticated investment strategies which exploit its diversity to improve diversification and manage risks. This is the case of Emerging Market (EM) corporate bonds. The sustained deepening of the asset class will make it even harder to ignore as an attractive investment opportunity. Alongside this growth, the increasing variety of EM corporate issuers offers continued opportunities for investors to diversify.
-
White papers
Greening Fixed Income markets: a challenge of today and tomorrow
Policymakers around the world continue to implement comprehensive strategies to foster sustainable finance.
-
White papers
Brexit extension will ease uncertainty looming on UK assets
Recent developments and next steps: Following the three-month extension granted to the UK by the EU on 28 October and the newly announced snap election, the most likely outcome is that the Withdrawal Agreement signed on 17 October between the United Kingdom and the EU will be ratified, leading to an orderly Brexit and the initiation of a transition period during which the United Kingdom will retain most of its access to the EU single market until at least end-2020. The risk of a no-deal Brexit is now greatly diminished.
-
White papers
Structured Credit: Engaging Risk Tactics
Deal flow remained steady in Q3, keeping primary market spreads range-bound. Against a backdrop of low global interest rates, we have seen increasing investor interest in European CLOs.
-
White papers
The Good (Consumer), The Bad (Global Outlook) & The Ugly (Trade)
The IMF downgrades its global growth outlook, the Fed’s Beige Book notes household spending remains positive and a Brexit deal is on the table.
-
White papers
The Elizabeth Warren Moment
E. Warren is now neck-and-neck with J. Biden (27%) in the Democratic primary polls and far ahead of B. Sanders (15%).From her fifth-place position just six months ago, she has risen 21 points in the polls since then, while Biden has lost four points and Sanders, six. Bookmakers now put her odds of winning the nomination at more than 50%, vs. less than 20% for Biden and 6% for Sanders.
-
White papers
The Four Pillars To Face A World Of Uncertainty
Global investors are facing extraordinary economic, political and financial market conditions that risk sending the world into a perilous period. In particular, we are closely watching several key areas of concern, including:
-
White papers
Despite the rise of cross-border distribution, domestic funds continue to have a bright future
Unabated support and growth in Cross Border funds