With the US midterm elections just around the corner, I am asked multiple times a day by colleagues, clients and friends how I think this pivotal contest is going to turn out. It’s my job after all to provide political analysis and public-policy research to Capital Group’s investment team — with an emphasis on analysis, not advocacy, as I always stress.
The U.S. economy continues to expand at a moderate pace despite geopolitical uncertainty, trade friction, and renewed inflation pressure. The key story remains the AI-led investment cycle, which is now an important driver of business spending and broader economic activity.