Latest White Papers – Page 332
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White papersThe Changing Face of Investment Grade Credit
In a recent interview, David Nagle, CFA, portfolio manager in the Investment Grade Fixed Income Group, discussed the investment grade credit market, including some of the issues garnering headlines recently and how the market has evolved through the years.
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White papersESG: The foundation of responsible infrastructure investment
Today when we think about sustainable infrastructure investment, we mainly tend to associate it with renewable energy. And yet renewable energy is only one of the cornerstones of a responsible infrastructure debt investment portfolio. Investors seeking to diversify their infrastructure portfolio would do well to look beyond renewable energy assets by also considering the many other increasingly crucial environmental, social and governance topics to find best-in-class investment opportunities.
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White papersIs Government Shutdown a Prelude to Debt Ceiling Debate?
The economic impact from the partial government shutdown is expected to be minimal, but the markets will take notice if the debt ceiling becomes an issue.
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White papersInvestment Perspectives For A New Regime Of Returns
After two years of positive performance across the board, with almost no asset class in negative territory, 2018 is marking a change of direction, with an unprecedented percentage of asset classes in red. This may cause a sense of uncertainty among investors facing uncharted waters ahead.
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White papersThe Alpha And Beta Of ESG Investing
With the rising awareness around ESG issues worldwide, institutional investors have started to massively look into responsible investment. The latter has grown substantially in Europe and in North America in the past 5 years.
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White papersNormalising economies may mean moderate returns
After 10 good years, the markets appear to be finally getting back to pre-crisis norms. Our analysis suggests that this normalisation may result in investment returns becoming much more modest than they have been over the years since the financial crisis, when extraordinarily loose monetary policy has boosted asset prices.
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White papersGlobal equities: identifying tomorrow’s ‘superstars’
After a bearish end to 2018, financial market participants are preoccupied with the question of whether a global downturn is imminent. Yet they should be asking a different question: have they accounted for the way that technology and other factors are transforming business models?
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White papersAsian Equities: US-China relationship to remain critical
Asia Pacific ex Japan markets started the year well, holding on to gains that were chalked in the strong rally in 2017. But by mid-year, signs of slowing economic growth surfaced, primarily induced by US-China trade tensions, leading to a sharp market correction, particularly for Chinese equities.
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White papersA tale of two worlds: a robust business cycle in the US and a draining of liquidity in the rest of the world
After President Trump signed the ‘Tax Cuts and Jobs Act’ into law on 22 December 2017, we expected corporate earnings growth to be strong in 2018. In fact, it has been far stronger, as the direct effect of the tax cut on corporate earnings was further magnified by the acceleration in economic growth.
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White papersFixation on Brexit misses the bigger picture
Reflecting on 2018, global equity markets have lurched from optimism to pessimism. At the beginning of the year there was a complacent belief in synchronised global growth. But cut to the fourth quarter and many strategists are speculating whether the United States might soon enter a recession and how Chinese economic growth is slowing as they try to get a grip of their own excessive debt levels.
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White papersFinding opportunity in Europe’s volatility
Looking back at 2018, it was a year when European corporate earnings continued to grow, while market volatility was surprisingly high. The volatility was a result of both political noise and the fear of a slowdown in global growth.
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White papersIt’s all eyes on trade for 2019
There has been a significant de-rating of equities over what has been a disappointing 2018.
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White papersRedefining the cycle – 2019 CIO outlook
We have already had the longest bull market in history and a very long upswing, so this cycle is clearly nearing its end, but we do not believe the end is imminent – rather the cycle is being extended and redefined by a combination of structural factors leading to low interest rates, low inflation and ongoing moderate growth.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2019
Investors are facing an unsettled environment. For 2019 we think it will be key to look at three areas:
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White papersBrexit muddle-through towards the approaching parliamentary vote
The Brexit-related newsflow since the UK/EU agreement on 25 November 2018 has been quite intense. In our view, it has slightly increased the probability that the UK remains in the EU beyond March 2019, thus prolonging the uncertainty over how (and even whether) Brexit will happen.
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White papersBrexit Muddle-Through Towards The Approaching The Confidence Vote
The newsflow concerning Brexit has been quite intense since the UK government was able to secure an agreement with the EU on 25 November 2018. The most notable developments have been:
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White papersAfter Multiple Hikes, Could Fed Resort to Cutting Rates Next?
The Fed might be at the crossroads of whether to continue raising interest rates or stand pat in 2019, with some expectations for even a rate cut in 2020.
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White papersMarket Perspectives: When it rains, it pours
When it rains, it pours. Already the Flash crash in February was severe; then October saw the most severe monthly equity sell-off (MSCI World) since 2012. A further drawdown by mid November aggravated the year-to-date losses. Tech stocks entered bear market territory.
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White papersCore Matters - Leveraging on “Made in China 2025”
Since its access to the WTO in late 2001, China has seen a stellar rise of its economy, managing to raise its nominal GDP eight-fold and to become the largest export economy in the world. Its exports shares in several products, especially in computers or mobile phones are beyond 80% of world exports and in a multitude of other items, the country also plays a dominant role.
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White papersFocus on fundamentals to ride turbulent markets
Investors are facing an unsettled environment. For 2019 we think it will be key to look at three areas:
