Latest White Papers – Page 239
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White papersMeasuring and Pricing Cyclone-Related Physical Risk under Changing Climate
We propose a statistical methodology to quantify the financial implications of tropical cyclone-related physical risks implied by climate change.
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White papersInfinity and beyond banks: the never-ending battle between old money and big tech
This month, Fiorino examines the tussle between banks and the increasingly belligerent Big Tech sector.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - June 2021
We maintain the narrative and probabilities of our central and alternative scenarios. In our central scenario, equities outperform on the back of abundant liquidity, improving fundamentals and accommodative monetary policy.
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White papersFirst quarter 2021 results: a far better-than-expected rebound that augurs well for the full year
Corporate results rebounded in Q1 2021 to a surprising extent everywhere and are likely to continue doing so beyond 2021.
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White papersWhat if the Democrats succeed in passing the capital gains tax?
Since Joe Biden’s elections, most observers have been surprised by how Democrats managed to pass significant fiscal policies despite their thin majority. We believe the capital gains tax hike could go ahead regardless of the Republicans opposition.
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White papersA post-Covid structural change in developed markets: the strong political will to invest in the US
What matters to fixed income investors is the macro-financial environment that will prevail after the strong rebound in growth and inflation expected in H2.
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White papersNGEU soon to be rolled out: the EU has (almost) done its part; now comes the member-states’ turn
In leading the way to NGEU, the Covid crisis may have marked a crucial milestone in European construction. The amounts involved are high enough to play a decisive role, both in accelerating the cyclical recovery (especially in “peripheral” countries) and in providing a supply-side improvement. Member-states, however, will face a major challenge in absorbing them rapidly and productively.
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White papersRMB internationalisation: the new commanding heights
In the early stage of RMB internationalisation, RMB transactions occurred mostly in trade settlement between China and neighbouring economies.
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White papersLooking below the surface of fixed income markets: 360°, Q2 2021
What is our current view of fixed income markets? And where do we see the best relative value?
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White papersChina in the global inflation scare
Markets are worrying about rising inflation, but to date, there has been no evidence yet of ‘demand-pull’ inflation amplifying cost-push pressures, especially in Asia. There is also no sign of a global wage-price spiral. Nevertheless, we believe there are reasons to be concerned.
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White papersEuropean equities – Closing the gap
European equities have staged a spectacular rebound: Since their March 2020 low, they are up by more than 60%. So far this year, they have gained more than 13%. Still, there is the perception that the European market has significantly lagged the US.
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White papersMedical miracle: Health care innovation saves the world
Several drug developers brought COVID-19 vaccines from initial trials to people’s arms in less than a year. This lightning quick pace defied the expectations of health care professionals and saved countless lives. It was far faster than the development of any similar drug.
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White papersChina’s vast opportunity set – Best enjoyed undiluted
Allocations to Chinese equity and fixed income should stand alone rather than be part of global or emerging market strategies for investors looking for diversification and potential excess returns from the vast opportunity set that Chinese financial assets represent.
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White papersBuilding Short-Term Resilience Into Long-Term Premia
Strategies designed to deliver risk premia over time need help to survive potential potholes and hairpin corners along the way.
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White papersAddressing climate change: how to integrate climate into your cashflow driven strategy
We believe cashflow driven investors should Assess, Integrate and Monitor (AIM) their portfolios through a climate-related lens to help deliver resilient, sustainable income to pay scheme members.
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White papersEurope is Readying For Their Summer Arrivals
European economic data is surprising to the upside, pointing to a strong Q2 rebound.
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White papers* What do we need to do to decarbonise aviation? *
The aviation industry and its emissions are both projected to grow over the coming decades. What policies and technologies can help limit the sector’s impact on the environment?
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White papersEmerging Market Debt: Strong, Mature and Core
Investors who have long considered emerging market (EM) debt to be ancillary to their core portfolio may want to give the asset class another look.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - June 2021
Inflation has remained dormant for a long time, with years of below-target and weak inflation, but we are now reaching a delicate juncture where inflation is taking the driver’s seat in financial markets.
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White papersHow the pandemic is widening racial and ethnic inequities
In the second article in our series exploring the pandemic’s broader implications for society, Sarah Swartz and Diana Glassman look at how Covid-19 has increased racial and ethnic disparities and how to address this.
