The Fed has turned hawkish, and the market is now pricing several more hikes. Our fixed income team isn’t convinced. Core U.S. inflation is still drifting lower, most of this year’s yield move has come from real rates rather than inflation expectations, and the disinflation case remains intact — all of which argues for a shorter path than consensus expects.
The global transition toward sustainability is facing a complex landscape. Geopolitical tensions and the AI revolution are redefining investment priorities. From the surge in energy demand driven by data centres to the urgent need for water security and food resilience, the environmental asset class is evolving rapidly.
While estimates of AI spending across regions are hard to find, every available measure shows the scale of investment in Europe is an order of magnitude smaller than in the US and China.