Private credit, commercial real estate (CRE), infrastructure debt, and middle market direct lending have proved resilient across most rate regimes because performance is anchored in structure, cashflow durability, and disciplined underwriting - not in the direction of policy rates.
Private markets have entered a phase shaped not only by secular shifts, but also by heightened geopolitical uncertainty and growing scrutiny around risk.
For much of the past decade, emerging markets (EM) were viewed primarily as a high-beta extension of global growth. Allocators tended to treat the asset class as cyclical exposure, sensitive to dollar strength, commodity swings, and Federal Reserve policy shifts.