Emerging market fixed income is heading into the new year with strong momentum. With solid YTD performance and favourable macro trends, Mohammed Elmi, Senior Portfolio Manager explains why the team continue to feel optimistic for the asset class in 2026.
Emerging market debt (EMD) has historically been viewed as a tactical allocation, but structural improvements in policy credibility, fiscal discipline, and market depth now position it as a core component of a diversified portfolio. We think EMD is attractive for investors looking for a stable allocation to an asset class that is supported by strong growth, increasing credibility, and diversification.
Fixed income markets should benefit from continued central bank easing in 2026. We expect lower interest rates in the US as policymakers respond to weaker labour market trends, and lower rates in Europe because of further declines in inflation.