Investors have enjoyed a quiet year in 2017, with few bumpier spots, overall record-low volatility and nice returns. Moving into 2018, the temptation for risk assets is still high. The economic environment remains strong.
The momentum risk premium is one of the most important alternative risk premia alongside the carry risk premium. However, it appears that it is not always well understood.
The asset management industry has to face three different types of challenges.
After underperforming against its peers for two decades in macroeconomic terms and following the deepest double-dip recession in its history (in 2008-2009 and in 2012-2013), the Italian economy is growing again, partially thanks to the strong, synchronised growth seen across the Eurozone, but also partially due to some structural improvements that have boosted competitiveness.
We expect the 2018 outlook for oil to remain somewhat stable ($55-60/bbl for WTI and $60-65/bbl for Brent through 2018) as strong demand should be balanced by higher supply from OPEC and Non-OPEC countries.