Equities – Page 32
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Preparing Chinese Holdings for Potential US Action
Tensions between the US and China are flaring up again, but tariffs probably aren’t on the table this time. With pressure mounting on Chinese stocks listed in the US, including those widely held in emerging-market portfolios, investors need to consider how to prepare for the mounting risks.
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Gemologist: can we adapt to the new climate normal?
Climate change will test our ability to avoid mortal danger more than ever before. Humanity’s ability to adapt, something we have excelled at, must again come to the fore.
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Global Emerging Markets: ESG Materiality, Q2 2020
Welcome to the Global Emerging Markets’ ESG Materiality commentary – a quarterly publication that demonstrates our engagement activity with portfolio companies and showcases holdings that are creating positive impact aligned to the Sustainable Development Goals. In addition, we explore an environmental, social and governance (ESG) theme and its implications for the asset class.
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ECB QE Monitor - April 2020
ECB programs: €1,110bn of purchasing power in 2020, or around €110bn / month by the end of the year.
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The trade-off between staying safe and getting back to work
An economy in lockdown has significant effects for investors in real assets. In this data illustration, our real assets research team consider the benefit of businesses returning to their usual locations against the risks of doing so.
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Global Supply & Demand Curves Shift to the Left
U.S. inflation came in soft for April amid low oil prices and weak global demand. The employment report saw leisure and hospitality with the highest job losses, and Saudi Arabia announced plans to cut oil production again, easing concerns over storage capacity limits worldwide.
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Did Globalization Kill Contagion?
Does financial globalization lead to contagion? We scrutinize linkages between international stock markets in a long historical perspective (1880-2014). Our results highlight that without globalization, contagion cannot exist. However, if cross-market correlations are very high, globalization kills contagion.
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Selecting survivors: an attractive entry point for US small caps
The last quarter was one of extremes and there was little – if any – discrimination between higher and lower-quality companies. Small caps were particularly affected and have declined more than larger companies, while value stocks have lost more ground to growth stocks.
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The New ‘Fusion’
As the physical and digital worlds merge, companies, investors and society will need to adapt.
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The Duration Risk in Equities
Since early 2017 there has been a notable gap between the expected growth in future dividends and the performance of the US equity market. The value of the 10 S&P 500® annual dividend index futures contracts at the end of April were eqivalent to about 500 S&P 500® index points, to be paid between now and the end of 2030.
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The coronavirus crisis: hitting the reset button
When we emerge from the coronavirus pandemic, investors are likely to find a fundamentally altered political and economic landscape. It is therefore time to push the pause button and reset our expectations for the remainder of the year.
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Emerging Market Green Bonds - Report 2019
Financing countries’ climate and sustainable development commitments will require global investment on an unprecedented scale. IFC estimates cumulative climate investment potential of $29.4 trillion across six key sectors in emerging market cities through 2030. These sectors include waste, renewable energy, public transportation, climate-smart water, electric vehicles, and green buildings1.
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The Pandemic & The “Thucydides Trap”
Tensions may not necessarily escalate after the Great Lockdown.
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How to Invest in Equities When Guidance Disappears
The COVID-19 shutdown has prompted an unprecedented number of US companies to suspend earnings guidance. Equity investors should focus fundamental research on a wider range of outcomes instead of the overly precise game of predicting short-term estimates—especially during a period of heightened uncertainty.
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Crisis Dashboard: Big Data Helps Paint the Big Picture (Update)
Our crisis dashboard includes signals from three areas: 1) public health, 2) the consumer sector and 3) financial markets. By pulling big data from traditional sources (earnings growth and gross domestic product, for example) and nontraditional sources (like Google Trends and Glassdoor), we can create a better mosaic of the road back. Public health, of course, is the key: until there’s a vaccine, the cascading impact of the virus may continue.
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The Widening Emerging-Developed Market Gap
In our previous paper on the impact of rapidly growing budget deficits in Japan, Western Europe and the US, we examined the relationship between debt levels and the short and long-term interest rates over time for 12 developed economies.
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Public Engagement Report Q1 2020
The Public Engagement Report highlights some of the stewardship activities undertaken by EOS at Federated Hermes on behalf of its clients over Q1 2020.
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Fed determined to save U.S. economy … if it can
Over the past six weeks, the Fed has relaunched virtually all of its emergency liquidity programs used during the global financial crisis and started several more, all in the name of keeping the financial system functioning and helping the U.S. economy recover once the global economic shutdown is over. It used its April meeting as a status update for how its efforts have worked thus far.
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Covid-19: six signposts to assess the market
Our six key signposts will help inform your investment decisions.
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COVID-19: What will unprecedented policy response mean for economies and markets?
While global policymakers around the world have acted with unprecedented speed and force to the COVID-19 pandemic, their actions are unlikely to prevent the world falling into the deepest recession since World War II.