Equities – Page 28
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White papers
US election: no winner yet, markets moving from a Blue Wave to a possible Trump trade
At the time of writing, the result remains unclear and prudence is needed as the race is close Biden 238 - Trump 213 (270 to win).We expect an 85% likelihood of knowing the winner within ten days. The winner of the election is likely to be determined sometimes during the next few days as three battleground states, Michigan, Pennsylvania (6 November: deadline for mail-in ballots to be received in Pennsylvania) and Wisconsin, complete the long process of counting large numbers of ballots that were sent by mail as a result of Covid-19.
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Addressing the legacy of the crisis in the EM: the right policy mix in an uneven recovery
The duration of the epidemic will ultimately determine the shape of recovery. An uneven recovery and subdued inflation (barring any persistent supply shock) will call for a prolonged accommodative policy mix, in either monetary or fiscal policy. The merger of the two has to be careful monitored in emerging markets.
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Corporate ESG News and the Stock Market
ESG investing’s popularity has continually increased in the past five years. ESG data is increasingly integrated into investment processes. However, the information contained in ESG-related news for corporates has not been entirely exploited by institutional and long-only investors.
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GCC/MENA Bond Market Update
October saw general weakness in global equities, led by a decline in developed markets, while emerging market equities advanced. Bond markets also posted mixed performance. A rise in US rates—even though a further fiscal stimulus deal could not be agreed—was an important theme. Markets also paid close attention to campaigning and poll data in the run-up to the US presidential election.
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Anything But 20-20 Vision…
Advanced estimates show easing of COVID restrictions led U.S. GDP to soar as second waves have hit Europe and new government restrictions are being implemented. U.S. Election Day is Tuesday; watch Florida, Arizona, and North Carolina—key swing states that may indicate the winner.
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The “Not Quite” Recovery Meets the Second Wave
The recovery this summer was vibrant. Cheap credit and accumulated savings were used to satisfy pent-up demand, resulting in strong activity. U.S. consumers are showing up; the EU governments keep having the economy’s back; and in Asia, economies are full steam ahead.
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White papers
Water-related Risks in Equities (Chapter 2 of 6)
Water risk impacts investors’ equity holdings in two simple, yet key, ways: decreased revenues and increased costs. These risks manifest operationally, potentially impacting or preventing a company’s day-to-day operations, and through the company’s understanding and management of risk via its water and wastewater management plans.
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How private equity can work with healthcare companies to build better, longer lives
The scale of the global healthcare market and the strength of its long-term drivers mean opportunities abound, particularly in privately-held companies.
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Moving the Needle
The U.S. election will be big news in November, but news on coronavirus vaccines will probably “move the needle” more for markets.
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Positioning for the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election: An Update
Undeniably, 2020 has been an eventful year and the fireworks are likely not yet over. Amidst rising COVID-19 infections and a stuttering economic recovery, investors are preparing for the U.S. Presidential election. While this election may be one of the most contentious in U.S. history, investors should remember that that once the elections pass, much of this noise typically quiets and risk assets are able to resume a trajectory dictated by fundamentals.
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Marking UN Day
As a leader in sustainability and investment, on UN Day we’re supporting companies’ efforts to build back better from the pandemic and create a positive societal and environmental impact.
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Disruptive Forces: 2020 U.S. Election Special
Economic policy, geopolitical issues, COVID-19 crisis and a supreme court nominee, to name a few, all come into play when it comes to the next president of the United States. The choice that Americans face in the upcoming election will impact not only the next four years in the United States but could impact the world at large.
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White papers
Why this time may be different for Chinese equities
In the past, China’s stock markets were prone to boom and bust. After a rally that has seen the CSI 300 index rise by around 17% since March, David Choa, Head of BNP Paribas Asset Management’s Greater China Equities team in Hong Kong, explains why this time may be different for China’s equity markets.
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ECB QE Monitor - October 2020
The ECB’s balance sheet is now equivalent to 56% of euro area GDP compared to 39% at the start of the year.
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Building ESG momentum in US equities
US ESG (Environmental, Social and Governance) investors are increasingly likely to benefit as the country’s companies close the gap with best-in-class global companies on ESG disclosure and performance. The trend towards ESG in the United States is being driven by asset owners demanding ESG integration into corporate business strategies, investors using it as a source of alpha1, and regulators looking to formalize ESG into its rules and protocols.
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Where next for private equity and passive investing?
Two powerful forces have shaped the global equity landscape in recent years – passive investing and private equity (PE). A broad range of investors have turned to index-tracking funds for low-cost exposure to the broader market.
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A new world order: US and China battle for tech supremacy
One world, two systems? From semiconductors to artificial intelligence, China is loosening the US’s grip on the global technology industry. It is a development that investors view with a mixture of hope and trepidation.
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White papers
Disruptive technology in the COVID-19 era
Within the global economy, COVID-19 has acted as a formidable accelerator of trends driving disruptive technology. Valuations of information technology stocks have soared, raising questions about the extent of the rally. Guy Davies, chief investment officer for fundamental active equities, explains why this time may be different.
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White papers
Japan: Policy continuity expected under Suganomics
Striving to consolidate power with a snap election, Mr. Suga vows continuity of Abenomics and hints at additional fiscal stimulus. Domestic politics aside, we expect global factors and positioning to play a key role for Japanese equities and currency.
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How to Repair America’s Brand
A country that seems so divided—even discounting for a heated election and a pandemic—starts to raise questions for global investors.