All Dynamic/Global/Tactical Asset Allocation articles – Page 2
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Daisuke Nomoto: Japan - more tailwinds than headwinds for 2018
With GDP on a sustained growth track, supported by structural reforms and the Bank of Japan’s accommodative monetary policy, we maintain a positive outlook for the region.
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Neil Robson: Technology and demographic trends in 2018
The pace of technological change is one of the key themes of recent years, and many believe it has now grown to such a point that many believe the sector is overvalued.
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Reaction: Italian election
The Italian election result looks messy, but we do not believe that the chances of Italy leaving the eurozone have gone up materially.
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Asset Allocation Update: New year, evolving views, same growth aims
As we move into 2018 we have spent some time evaluating the work we performed last year, as well as revisiting our current asset allocation positioning.
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Holding Active Management to a Higher Standard
Data points cannot come close to telling the full story of William Blair’s approach to active management; our story is one defined by our constant evolution.
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Europe: economic optimism and fewer wins for the populists
As 2018 starts, the scene is set for a positive year for equities. Across Europe, there are clear indicators of continuing economic growth after a very strong 2017.
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Technology and ‘mega-trends’ to drive US equity performance
US equities have outperformed global equities since the beginning of the recovery because the US economy was initially the sole engine of global growth, as European countries wrestled with the Eurozone crisis.
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Global equities: quality will out
Following a good year globally for the high-quality stocks that we favour, valuations in certain parts of the market have started to look stretched.
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The UK’s demise is overstated
UK equities reached all-time highs in 2017, but relative to world stocks (in US dollar terms) they were laggards.
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The "new normal" turned into the old normal: Our economic outlook for 2018
In this year’s global economic outlook we examine the outlook for the United States and the rest of the world, ask if the coming fiscal stimulus in developed countries could boost this expansion even further, try to shed some light on how central bank attempts to normalize monetary policy might impact the stock market, and investigate the asset class implications of this cyclical upturn and of less-accommodative monetary policy.
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Why multi-asset strategies suit a changeable world
For the past 35 years, a ‘set and forget’ strategic asset allocation has worked well. A typical 60:40 asset mix of equities and bonds had around the same volatility as a pure 100% bond portfolio, but with a better return. It is not likely to be as fruitful moving forward.
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China’s state-managed overseas expansion
China’s clampdown on overseas acquisitions this year, accompanied by the detention of some high-profile corporate bosses, seemed to confirm the worst about the risks faced by private conglomerates and billionaire tycoons.
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Australia cautious on dividends
A generation of Australians has enjoyed a record 26 years without experiencing a recession. The country has withstood global financial crises, endured volatile commodity prices and export revenues, and shrugged off warnings of housing bubbles and declining domestic savings.
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Asia tech: boom, bubble or bust?
Technology has been the best-performing stock market sector throughout the world this year, accounting for around half of US and emerging market Asia equity returns so far. The spectacular rise has aroused scepticism about its sustainability at the same time as other investors remain convinced about the prospects for further growth and higher earnings.
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A hard landing for the Gulf’s high flyers
Three airlines face disruption to their role as ‘superconnectors’ as the state-owned groups fight to justify a business model built around hubs in a volatile region.
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Opportunities in...UK Equity Income
Valuations in some global markets are looking stretched, but UK equities remain attractively valued relative to many international counterparts. Uncertainty around Brexit and heightened political risk has led global asset allocators to be underweight UK equities, creating valuation anomalies. We pay attention to factors that are harbingers of potential dividend reductions.
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Asset Allocation Update: What will upset the Goldilocks environment?
How to identify the future political and monetary policy events that will dominate market discussions is critical. It is our job to filter out noise and determine what signposts, events or issues are truly meaningful in terms of their potential impact on markets. This feels particularly pertinent at present, when the broad global macroeconomic environment can be characterised as ‘Goldilocks like’, with decent global growth and only gentle rises in inflation
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Economic Insights: September 2017
Global expansion stays on track: The global economic recovery that began in early 2016 has reached a self-sustaining velocity.
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Currency Management: The Case for Value Investing
William Blair’s Dynamic Allocation Strategies team explains how it has made significant use of dynamic currency management in the pursuit of its investment performance objectives.
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The economic implications of the US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement
When the US withdrew from the historic Paris Agreement in June, it drew criticism from around the world.