Content (100)
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White papersREITs at new highs: Early expansion, not the end of the cycle
New market highs are often mistaken for late-cycle signals, but history suggests they more often mark the end of the beginning, not the beginning of the end. And in real estate market cycles, highs tend to occur not when risk is peaking, but when a prior valuation reset, early recovery dynamics, and strengthening fundamentals start to align.
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White papersAnalyzing the wall of maturities: The plural of anecdotes is not data
The so-called “wall of maturities” is a perennial source of investor anxiety: will refinancing risk create a wave of defaults? Given nearly $900bn of loans maturing in 2026 and more than $2tn coming due over the next three years, that concern is understandable. However, the experience of recent maturities suggests outcomes have been far less dire than feared and offers a useful roadmap for what lies ahead.
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White papersRetail’s rebound: The case for selective, institutional conviction
Retail real estate is stabilizing after years of disruption, with well-located, experience-driven assets showing resilience - making selectivity and institutional discipline key to capturing recovery upside.
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White papersInstitutional ownership of single-family rentals (SFR): Investor FAQ
Single-family rentals continue to attract institutional capital as affordability pressures persist, offering diversification benefits, stable cash flows, and exposure to long-term demographic trends.
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White papersCRE vs. housing prices: A normalizing disconnect
The gap between commercial real estate and housing prices is beginning to normalize, reflecting shifting interest-rate expectations and signaling potential re-entry points for long-term investors.
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White papersSeptember jobs report: Finally, some data
The report provides updated labour-market data (non-farm payrolls etc.) reflecting underlying economic and employment trends in the U.S., which have broader implications for CRE demand and overall real-estate fundamentals via consumption, income and employment stability
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White papersCRE lending index at fifth-highest level ever
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) recently published its 3Q25 Survey of Commercial / Multifamily Mortgage Banker Originations, which provides quarterly updates on changes in the originations market. It details changes in the volume of loans originated and breaks down the data by property type and investor type. Notably, in the latest release, lending activity rose meaningfully across nearly all segments of the market. The volume of commercial and multifamily loan originations increased 18% from the previous quarter, 36% year-over-year, and is now up 47% year-to-date compared with the same nine-month period in 2024. While seasonal patterns can influence quarter-over-quarter comparisons, the year-over-year and year-to-date gains indicate a broader recovery is underway in the CRE debt space.
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White papersCRE loan demand turns positive for the first time since 2022
The average net share of CRE loan-demand respondents turned positive (+1.7%) in 3Q 2025 — the first positive reading since early 2022 — suggesting a possible shift in credit conditions that could support a broader CRE recovery.
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White papersAmerica’s housing opportunity: Beyond the supply gap
Rentership remains a cornerstone at approximately 35% of U.S. households, the rental market goes well beyond apartments, and the central challenge is not only undersupply — but a mismatch between the types and locations of housing relative to where demand exists.
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White papersCRE credit distress: More cycle than crisis
This analysis argues that while stress in CRE credit markets has increased, the deterioration appears more cyclical than systemic — actual distress remains contained, supported by stable underwriting standards and resilience in core debt markets.
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White papersU.S. CRE deal volume up 17% in 3Q 2025
MSCI Real Capital Analytics reports that U.S. commercial real-estate (CRE) transaction volume increased by 17% in 3Q 2025, with volumes year-to-date through September up 17% compared with the same period in 2024 — signalling renewed investor demand and confidence across most property types.
