Content (116)
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White papersQuarterly fixed income perspectives 4Q 2023: Recession takeoff delayed but not canceled
While the timing of a recession remains uncertain, unique opportunities exist for fixed income investors as we head into the final quarter of 2023.
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White papersJuly CPI report: The case for a September Fed pause is building
The July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed that inflation continues to make meaningful progress toward the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 2% target.
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White papersThe 60/40 portfolio: Regaining its appeal - Quick takes on capital markets
With rising stock/bond correlations reducing diversification benefits, the 60/40 portfolio suffered a historically bad run in 2022.
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White papersGlobal Asset Allocation Viewpoints: Time is running out
Most of the world’s largest economies are facing varying levels of slowdown, and the global growth outlook has deteriorated. In the 3Q Global Asset Allocation Viewpoints, our Global Insights team shares their perspectives on the rising recessions risks and other key themes impacting financial markets and portfolios in the quarter ahead.
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White papersThird Quarter 2023 - Fixed income perspectives
Themes, outlook, and investment implications across global fixed income markets
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White papersLooking beyond traditional LDI instruments as de-risking gathers steam
In 2022, we saw one of the most unprecedented movements in global financial markets in modern history. A combination of global geopolitical problems and supply-demand imbalances of goods and services due to the pandemic left the Federal Reserve (Fed) with no option but to try and slam the inflationary brake by hiking short-term interest rates to stop the economy from overheating.
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White papersCredit crisis? Why this time may be different for REITs
“Credit crisis” and “banking stress” are dominating headlines and creating uncertainty for capital markets. Real estate is a capital-intensive industry and depends on well-functioning capital markets to thrive.
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White papersListed Infrastructure: A timely complement to unlisted infrastructure
Since its emergence as an asset class in the 1990s, infrastructure has increasingly featured as a distinct allocation within institutional investment portfolios. Traditional infrastructure assets typically share specific attributes that support the delivery of steady investment returns throughout an economic cycle.
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White papers2023 U.S. investment grade credit supply: Will there be enough bonds to go around?
The U.S. investment grade credit (IG) market’s voracious appetite for bonds may not be fully satisfied in 2023. In 2022, feast or famine punctuated the $1.22 trillion supply, as nearly 50 days featured no issuance. Corporate borrowers glommed together and found strength in numbers when they issued debt, striking when the iron was hot.
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White papersFurther concerns, or contagion? The latest on global market volatility
Over the past week, investors have had to digest U.S. banking failures and the threatened collapse of a major European bank. This stress has finally underscored the tensions between global central banks’ efforts to tame inflation and growing concerns that further policy tightening will spark a crisis. As we all follow the latest developments, it’s important to consider each of them in context.
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White papersMulti-sector fixed income 2023
2022 was a year for the record books in U.S. fixed income markets. The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index (“the Agg”) celebrates its 50th anniversary in 2023. In those 50 years, 2022’s calendar year total return of -13.01% was unprecedented. The prior record was 1994 (-2.92%); in fact, the cumulative total return of the previous four negative years (1994, 1999, 2013, and 2021) was only -7.30%
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White papersHigh yield bonds vs. leveraged bank loans: Is now the time to rotate?
Over the last two years, leveraged U.S. bank loans (“loans”) have outperformed their high yield bond counterparts; however, we believe this trend may be coming to an end. The relative outperformance of loans during this period was primarily a function of duration, or more notably in 2022, the lack of duration.
