Content (356)
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White papers
Opening Bell – an excess of pessimism about the economy, though not in markets
We expect 2024 to outperform the current pessimistic economic forecasts but struggle to beat the optimism priced into equity markets.
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White papers
How the Australian canary shows this cycle is different
Across 2023 we had been using Australia as our “canary in the coalmine” to highlight why this cycle is different. Despite some of the shortest maturity mortgages in the world, Australia’s economy has hummed along nicely. Our canary remains singing and shows why meaningful recessions are unlikely.
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White papers
ESG Viewpoint: Investing in a Just Transition
It’s essential we consider the social dimension as we transition to a low carbon world. We explore the investment implications of a Just Transition.
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White papers
The peak in rate hikes is an inflection point for bonds
You don’t have to be bearish on the economy to be optimistic on the bond market. Here’s why
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White papers
With macro risks elevated it’s all about stock selection
There are plenty of macro drivers that will create equity volatility in 2024. To succeed, investors will need to maintain a resilient portfolio.
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White papers
Balancing uncertainty and optimism
The economic data in 2023 was better than expected: inflation fell, employment remained resilient and we didn’t end up in recession – in fact growth was impressively resilient.
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White papers
ESG viewpoint: deforestation in Brazil
The return of President Lula is a boost to efforts to halt deforestation in Brazil, but he faces significant impediments in his efforts to move the needle. We travelled to Brazil to deepen our understanding and encourage reform. During the trip we met with policymakers, soy traders and meatpackers as part of our wider engagement on this topic.
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White papers
Indonesia – unlocking the potential
Dara White, Head of Global Emerging Market Equity, and Krishan Selva, Client Portfolio Manager, look at why the future could continue to be very bright for the country
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White papers
Ecuador’s $650 million debt-for-nature swap targets Galápagos protection
The country has conducted the world’s largest such swap in what is likely to be a template for others to follow
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White papers
Impact Investing – Global Emerging Markets
“It’s one thing to feel that you are on the right path but it’s another to think that yours is the only path.” Paulo Coelho
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White papers
Conflict risk: an engagement update
The world’s facing much geopolitical uncertainty. We’ve been engaging with companies on their exposure to high-risk areas like Myanmar, Sudan, Russia, and Ukraine.
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White papers
Residential and datacentres – European investment grade credit
In a recent update we focused on challenges facing Europe’s real estate sector, but highlighted that by focusing on fundamentals within specific sub-sectors and related businesses we can identify select credit opportunities.