Content (234)
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White papers
Has the AI stock rally run out of gas?
Twenty-five years ago in March, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite reached its peak, marking the bursting of the dot.com bubble. Investors may have this on their minds as many leading artificial intelligence stocks have run into a wall.
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White papers
Don’t be fooled by the headlines, credit still looks good
Despite the headlines, this remains a positive environment for credit.
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White papers
Five factors to watch in multi-sector credit
While uncertainty remains high, the current macroeconomic environment has created a supportive backdrop for multi-sector credit, with yields likely to remain elevated as inflation lingers above central bank targets. Looking further out, our data suggest we should continue to expect positive growth and slowly falling inflation.
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White papers
Will economic uncertainty knock the Fed off course?
The US Federal Reserve (Fed), once the primary driver of markets, has taken a back seat this year to government actions and politics. So far, it’s been a bumpy ride.
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White papers
Understanding tariffs in five charts
Tariff is a word many of us first heard in history class: we remember the Great Depression and the dark side of protectionist trade policy. Fast forward to today and tariffs are once again taking centre stage, serving as the linchpin of President Trump’s trade policy. A fierce debate has emerged over the impact they could have on the global economy — and as a cause of sharply rising market volatility.
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White papers
Macro brief: Growing risks to India’s demographic dividend
Ongoing talk of India’s demographic dividend is easy to understand: the country recently overtook China as the world’s most populous country and over the next 20 to 25 years, is set to become the largest contributor to the global working age cohort.
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White papers
Decoding tariffs: What’s the economic impact?
A new round of tariffs targeting Canada, Mexico and China has whipsawed financial markets in recent days as investors wrestle with the implications of rising policy uncertainty and the impact on the global economy.
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White papers
Why global fixed income strategies are important in today’s market environment
With the macroeconomic environment becoming more uncertain, investors should be prepared for, and be able to adapt to, several potential outcomes in 2025.
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White papers
Rob Lovelace on what could drive markets in 2025
As we enter the midpoint of the decade, investors are still considering key questions about the US equity streak, market catalysts, and the effects of global trade changes on the economy and portfolios. Capital Group’s equity portfolio manager Rob Lovelace offers his view on market directions, tariff impacts, and key investment themes shaping his portfolio decisions.
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White papers
Discover our Capital Market Assumptions 2025
Capital Group’s 2025 capital market assumptions provide a favourable long-term outlook, expecting mid-to-high-single digit returns for stocks and low-to-mid-single digits for bonds. That said, these expectations are lower over a 20-year horizon compared to last year.
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White papers
Emerging market debt outlook for 2025: Ready for Trump 2.0?
Looking ahead to 2025, the macro environment, in theory, sets the stage for a friendly backdrop in EM, especially given continued disinflation, which should allow most major central banks to ease rates throughout the year. However, the incoming US administration poses several risks to EMs.
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White papers
Beyond Consensus: Economic Perspectives for 2025
As we begin 2025, our team of economists in the Capital Strategy Research (CSR) team highlight areas where their outlook is different from consensus.