Content (226)
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White papers
Rob Lovelace on what could drive markets in 2025
As we enter the midpoint of the decade, investors are still considering key questions about the US equity streak, market catalysts, and the effects of global trade changes on the economy and portfolios. Capital Group’s equity portfolio manager Rob Lovelace offers his view on market directions, tariff impacts, and key investment themes shaping his portfolio decisions.
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White papers
Discover our Capital Market Assumptions 2025
Capital Group’s 2025 capital market assumptions provide a favourable long-term outlook, expecting mid-to-high-single digit returns for stocks and low-to-mid-single digits for bonds. That said, these expectations are lower over a 20-year horizon compared to last year.
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White papers
Emerging market debt outlook for 2025: Ready for Trump 2.0?
Looking ahead to 2025, the macro environment, in theory, sets the stage for a friendly backdrop in EM, especially given continued disinflation, which should allow most major central banks to ease rates throughout the year. However, the incoming US administration poses several risks to EMs.
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White papers
Beyond Consensus: Economic Perspectives for 2025
As we begin 2025, our team of economists in the Capital Strategy Research (CSR) team highlight areas where their outlook is different from consensus.
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White papers
Fixed Income Perspectives Q1 2025
The fourth quarter ended with higher bond yields as the market reduced its expectations for future rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed).
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White papers
5 keys to investing in 2025
As we enter 2025, market optimism is high amid a strong US economy, interest rate cuts and advances in artificial intelligence. The landscape continues to evolve, presenting challenges and opportunities for investors.
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White papers
Fixed income outlook: resilient US provides an anchor
The enduring resilience of the US economy will be a key driver of financial markets in 2025 and beyond. Having avoided recession, the US is returning to mid-cycle, according to economic data, while inflation has continued to ease back towards the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 2% target, enabling the central bank to begin cutting rates. We believe the Fed views monetary policy as restrictive and will likely continue lowering rates, albeit at a slower pace than previously expected.
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White papers
2025 Outlook: We have seen this movie before
As we head into 2025, it is hard not to notice several parallels with the past; it feels like we have seen this movie before.
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White papers
Emerging market debt outlook for 2025: Ready for Trump 2.0?
Looking ahead to 2025, the macro environment, in theory, sets the stage for a friendly backdrop in emerging markets (EM), especially given widespread disinflation, which should allow most major central banks to significantly ease rates throughout the year.
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White papers
Renewables and grids: The dynamic duo powering growth for European utilities
Energy transition-related goals and timelines are being recalibrated, but for investors who can take the long view there remains a rich opportunity set.
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White papers
EMD: A credible long-term asset allocation candidate
Using cluster analysis and regression techniques, this paper highlights the importance of active management and bottom-up fundamental research in effectively navigating the multifaceted emerging market debt (EMD) landscape.
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Video
Global investment grade thoughts from Damir Bettini
According to portfolio manager Damir Bettini, all-in yields on global investment grade credit of between 4.5% and 5%, for an asset class that is A-minus rated on average, seem attractive. If you factor in central banks cutting rates, we could be looking at mid to high single-digit total returns over the next 12-18 months.