Content (179)
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White papers
Hard and local currency bonds provide different routes to returns
Emerging market (EM) bonds are increasingly becoming a strategic holding for many investors but a key consideration in this is the different attributes of hard- and local currency-denominated bonds — the two broad sets of investments available in the asset class — and understanding the benefits each can bring to a portfolio.
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White papers
Four things to watch ahead of the US elections
This is the biggest election year in world history. Seventy-six countries — home to roughly 4.4 billion people — will hold political contests in 2024.
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White papers
Can the banks deliver for investors in 2024?
Today, with the exception of the US regional banks, fundamentals across the banking sector are the strongest they have been in decades.
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White papers
Capital market assumptions: 2024
Our 2024 expectations for annualised returns over the next 20 years (what we call our capital market assumptions) are a mixed bag. Strong gains across markets over the past year have tempered our expected returns for equities relative to our 2023 outlook. On the other hand, higher starting yields translate into improved expectations versus last year across many fixed income asset classes.
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White papers
Rob Lovelace on what’s in store for 2024
As we embark on a new year, the challenges ahead are well defined. Interest rates are elevated. Elections are upcoming. And many stock indexes are near all-time highs. Are these events setting the stage for a disappointing pullback or another bull run?
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White papers
History lessons for Europe’s central bankers
Consensus is suggesting Europe has solved its inflation problems and substantial rate cuts are imminent – but is this realistic given how far economists and markets underestimated the recent price surge and policy tightening?
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White papers
Fixed Income Perspectives Q1 2024
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team
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White papers
Now may be the time for core bonds: Five themes for 2024
With inflation falling and the US Federal Reserve (Fed) signalling an end to its historic tightening cycle, the landscape for bond investors is beginning to look much clearer. Even after a sharp rally in late 2023, yields still look more attractive than they have in a decade.
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White papers
Decoding the AI opportunity
In 2023, we saw significant future value creation from artificial intelligence pulled forward and reflected in share prices of companies set to benefit from this multi-generational opportunity.
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White papers
EMD outlook 2024: Navigating a bifurcated universe
In this outlook, we outline the global backdrop that emerging markets (EMs) can expect in 2024, including a more dovish US Federal Reserve (Fed), a more supportive backdrop for EM currencies and weak global growth.
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White papers
Electric vehicles in the fast lane: Who wins this race?
Walking the showroom floor of Germany’s international auto show used to be a time to admire the latest and greatest gas-powered Mercedes-Benz, Volkswagen or even a Bentley. Not so much this year. One can sense the electric vehicle future coming.
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White papers
Outlook 2024: Prepare for changes in the investing climate
Heading into 2024, it is difficult to remember another time when the outlook was so uncertain. Recession or expansion? Inflation or deflation? Higher interest rates for longer or central banks preparing to pivot? Take your pick and you will find a pundit arguing for each scenario as if it was a foregone conclusion.