Content (151)
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White papers
Kirstie Spence: three exciting things about EMD
Kirstie Spence, fixed income portfolio manager, shares her outlook for emerging market debt and outlines the three things currently exciting her about the asset class.
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White papers
Emerging markets debt: Stable macro backdrop fuels emerging markets
Emerging markets debt: Stable macro backdrop fuels emerging markets
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White papers
Global Corporates: Investment-grade corporates offer attractive yields and abundant liquidity
The second quarter of 2023 saw some calm return to financial markets following the eventful start to the year caused by the problems in the banking sector. A key theme for markets during the quarter was the resolution of US debt-ceiling negotiations, although other risks remain, including the potential impact of interest rates being higher for longer, concerns over the health of the commercial real estate sector and fears of a global recession.
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White papers
Macro insights: Resilient growth buoys markets, but risks elevated
Investors powered a broad rally in risk assets in the second quarter as recession concerns appeared to diminish.
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White papers
Fixed Income Perspectives Q3 2023 outlook
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team
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White papers
2023 Midyear Outlook report
As we reach the midpoint of 2023, global markets have shifted from binary to balanced, from either/or investment choices to a much broader set of opportunities − which is good news for active investors.
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White papers
Why R-star may rise, and its implications for rates and policy
R-star is the real interest rate that is neither expansionary nor contractionary when the economy is at full employment. If the central bank sets its policy rate below R-star, then its monetary policy position is accommodative. The Fed currently believes R-star is about 0.5%, which is significantly lower than the Fed’s calculation of 2% a decade ago.
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White papers
Bond outlook: Fed pause leaves many paths to income potential
Bonds today provide a sensible option to the dilemma facing investors — what to do as markets ricochet between hopes of a soft landing and concerns of a recession? After a rough 2022, fixed income is back to fulfilling its role as a source of stability and diversification.
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Video
Opportunities in US high-yield credit
Shannon Ward, fixed income portfolio manager, discusses numerous factors she believes are creating a compelling opportunity in US high-yield bonds.
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White papers
Navigating Uncertainty 2.0 - Are bonds in the sweet spot?
Since the start of the year, the potential long term investment opportunity for fixed income has increased. Problems in the banking sector have raised the prospect that central banks will now pivot toward ensuring financial stability and either pause, or start cutting, rates. This increases the chances monetary policy could shift from a headwind for bond markets to overcome into a tailwind supporting results.
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White papers
Stock market outlook: Broader opportunities emerge
Even as the global economic outlook weakens, powerful tailwinds are forming behind certain areas of the equity markets that previously spent many years in the wilderness.
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White papers
Can a weakening US dollar catalyse an emerging market decade?
A weakening US dollar has historically created a positive backdrop for emerging market equities, with the two asset classes inversely correlated, and a sharp decline in the dollar over recent months has led many to claim its decade-long bull run may be coming to an end.