Content (123)
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White papersAXA IM US election reaction: what Trump’s win means for markets and investors
At the time of writing (midday on Wednesday, 6 November), former President Donald Trump has won the 2024 US presidential election. In a much quicker than expected result, Trump currently has 279 Electoral College votes versus 223 for his opponent Kamala Harris. Trump has been declared winner in the key swing states of Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. This rules out Harris’ path to victory.
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White papersWill COP29 be an enabling COP?
The 29th United Nations Climate Change Conference COP29 comes at a unique point in time.
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White papersFollowing a bumper 2024, what’s next for the US economy and market?
The US has dominated financial markets this year. The economy has been stronger than expected with GDP growth running at an annualised rate of 3.0% in the second quarter (Q2).
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White papersLooking across ETF fixed income markets
For ETF fixed income investors, 2024 continues to be a positive year: most companies have managed to weather a backdrop of macro uncertainty; investors have continued to have access to attractive levels of yield; inflation, while sticky, has been moving in the right direction. Meanwhile, the volatility experienced at the start of August proved to be a storm in a teacup.
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White papersWhat the Fed’s rate cut means for US high yield
The US high yield (HY) market reacted positively to the 50 basis points (‘bps’) rate cut delivered by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September.
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White papersUS 2024 presidential election: The potential global impact
Before the summer we reviewed the upcoming presidential election and its likely impact on the US economy. At that time, President Joe Biden had just bowed out of the race and been replaced by Vice President Kamala Harris. Former President Donald Trump initially led Harris by a modest amount in overall polling approvals, though by less than he had led Biden. Since then, Harris has seen an improvement in ratings. Rising from a deficit of 1.7 points, she now leads Trump by 2 points.
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White papersThe perfect storm: Deglobalisation’s headwinds
Globalisation - the rising interconnection of the world’s economies and populations, driven by international trade in technology, services, goods as well as the flow of investment and information - is facing at least five different head winds. Let me discuss them in turn and indicate how I believe they could be tackled.
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White papersUS high yield: Broader financing options soften impact of higher rates
Heading into 2023, the consensus narrative appeared set. The Federal Reserve had embarked on an aggressive interest rate hiking cycle to combat spiralling inflation. A US recession was expected to follow, as household excess savings built up during the pandemic were exhausted and corporate borrowing conditions tightened dramatically after the benign post-global financial crisis era of low interest rates.
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White papersUS cements itself as the global centre of tech innovation
The US technology sector’s vigour is showing no signs of abating given 2023’s superior performance has firmly spilled into 2024. Last year the Nasdaq delivered a total return of 45% and 2024 quickly witnessed the tech-heavy index hit new highs bolstered by excitement around the tech sector, while the wider S&P 500 also reached a fresh peak.
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White papersUS investment grade credit bounces back from its nadir
In his 1974 children’s book, The Tiger’s Bones, the English poet Ted Hughes wrote that “Nothing is free. Everything has to be paid for.”
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White papersNew standards and frameworks arm investors in the battle against biodiversity loss
The global pledge to halt and reverse biodiversity loss – known as the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF) – is helping to shape and accelerate government policy as well as corporate and investor action in terms of protecting the natural world. The GBF signals that while great strides have been made in terms of tackling the biodiversity crisis, much more still needs to be done.
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PodcastSound Progress - Episode 9
What happens in the US can – and typically does - have a global impact.
