The prospects for the German economy will not change dramatically, although there will be a moderate fiscal stimulus.
Amundi Asset Management
2022 Top 500 ranking: 8
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White papersItaly election: no major surprise from the polls, maybe positive for markets
Election outcome and political scenario: The centre-right coalition won Italy’s general election on 25 September, with approximately 44% of votes. Overall, we believe that Italy’s general election offered no major surprises and at the margin, the news flow is positive, as the centre-right collation will not have a two-thirds parliamentary majority, which would have allowed it to vote for constitutional amendments.
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White papers
20-21 September FOMC meeting: the move into restrictive territory
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and statement: On 21 September, the Fed hiked the Fed funds rate by 75bp, to 3-3.25%, the third consecutive 75bp rate hike, and the fifth rate increase in 2022. This means the central bank has raised rates by 3 percentage points this year, clearly prioritising its aim to tame inflation even if it means damaging economic growth.
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White papers
Real-Time Macro Information and Bond Return Predictability: A Weighted Group Deep Learning Approach
This paper proposes a weighted group neural network model and reexamines whether treasury bond returns are predictable when real-time, instead of fully-revised, macro information is used. Real-time macro vintage data and news-based topic attention are taken into account.
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