Content (373)
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White papers
A Higher Inflation Future and the Need for Real Assets
The risk of higher equilibrium inflation is a key marker of the notion that investors face a new regime. Recent policy announcements have lent more weight to the idea that the path of inflation might be upward. In this note we focus on the disparate forces that imply a higher long-term level of inflation.
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White papers
Why Bother with Defensive Equities During the New Trump Era?
Following a defensive equity playbook can help investors prepare for market volatility in a year of heightened uncertainty.
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White papers
What Does the DeepSeek Halo Teach Us About Chinese Stocks?
The AI breakthrough spotlights some of China’s distinctive features that deserve closer attention from investors.
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White papers
Multi-Asset Positioning in a Trump 2.0 Policy Regime
With major US policy change unfolding, flexibility across and within asset classes will be critical.
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White papers
Investing for Security in Unstable Times: Energy and Supply Chains
Efforts to secure supply chains and energy sources are creating powerful and enduring themes for equity investors—even in these turbulent times.
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White papers
Merger Arbitrage: The Stars Could Be Aligning
There’s a shift underway in the mergers and acquisitions (M&A) market. The headwinds of rising rates, price volatility and increased global regulatory scrutiny appear to be fading—and market sentiment is getting brighter.
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White papers
Tokens, Power, Non-Jobs and Debasement: The case for strategic allocation to tokens
This essay considers the role of tokens and crypto assets as investments. However, rather than just address this question within the narrow confines of investment theory, we approach it via the broader social and political role of tokens. Their growing acceptance raises questions on how the nature of money is changing.
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White papers
An Early Look at the Implications of Tariffs and a Trade War
After the trade war’s opening salvoes, tensions seem set to last for some time.
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White papers
Finding Growth in US Stocks Beyond the Technology Sector
Technology stocks have been the poster child for growth in recent years. Other sectors deserve a closer look today.
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White papers
Notes From the Road: Investor Views at the Start of ‘25
We started this year by engaging in discussions with a large number of CIOs and allocators. In this short note, we reflect on key common messages that came out of those discussions, points of consensus and important open questions for the outlook.
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White papers
DC and Bonds: The End of the Affair…and a New Beginning
Bonds’ traditional role in pension allocations is over. But they have a new purpose in a lifetime income strategy.
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White papers
Private Credit Outlook: Expanding the Universe
The journey from niche asset to core allocation looks set to continue.