All Active articles – Page 20
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Adding Science to the Art of Active Management
Most investors understand that equities and bonds have a fundamental value – an anchor or a centre of gravity to which price should typically converge over the intermediate- to long-term.
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The acid test of active management
Active managers are more likely to outperform in certain market conditions, but our research finds that there is also a group that can outperform whatever the weather.
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Why multi-asset strategies suit a changeable world
For the past 35 years, a ‘set and forget’ strategic asset allocation has worked well. A typical 60:40 asset mix of equities and bonds had around the same volatility as a pure 100% bond portfolio, but with a better return. It is not likely to be as fruitful moving forward.
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China’s state-managed overseas expansion
China’s clampdown on overseas acquisitions this year, accompanied by the detention of some high-profile corporate bosses, seemed to confirm the worst about the risks faced by private conglomerates and billionaire tycoons.
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Bond Connect opens access to China’s debt markets
Bond Connect is the latest manifestation of China’s gradual opening up of its capital markets to international investors. The pilot scheme, launched by China and Hong Kong in July, gives foreign institutional fund managers a new route to China’s RMB69 trillion ($10 trillion) interbank bond market (CIBM).
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Australia cautious on dividends
A generation of Australians has enjoyed a record 26 years without experiencing a recession. The country has withstood global financial crises, endured volatile commodity prices and export revenues, and shrugged off warnings of housing bubbles and declining domestic savings.
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Asia tech: boom, bubble or bust?
Technology has been the best-performing stock market sector throughout the world this year, accounting for around half of US and emerging market Asia equity returns so far. The spectacular rise has aroused scepticism about its sustainability at the same time as other investors remain convinced about the prospects for further growth and higher earnings.
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A hard landing for the Gulf’s high flyers
Three airlines face disruption to their role as ‘superconnectors’ as the state-owned groups fight to justify a business model built around hubs in a volatile region.
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10 reasons to invest in Asia bonds
Asia’s fixed income markets are now a key part of diversified, international bond portfolios. Issuance volumes continue to rise to record levels, there is a wide range of issuer-type, yield and tenor, and the pool of regional liquidity is growing.
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White papers
Opportunities in...Asian fixed income
The Asian fixed income market is often at a different part of the economic, political and credit cycle to core western markets – this can include economic growth that surpasses most other regions. In an investment world that often seems devoid of income without excess risk, Asian fixed income can offer a compelling proposition in both a relative and absolute sense.
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Opportunities in...UK Equity Income
Valuations in some global markets are looking stretched, but UK equities remain attractively valued relative to many international counterparts. Uncertainty around Brexit and heightened political risk has led global asset allocators to be underweight UK equities, creating valuation anomalies. We pay attention to factors that are harbingers of potential dividend reductions.
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Opportunities in...European Corporate Bonds
Why European investment grade corporate bonds? At a time when attention is increasingly focused on a gradual reduction in US and European monetary stimulus, the European investment grade corporate bond market presents investors with an increasingly broad investment opportunity set focused on the rapidly evolving European market.
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Asset Allocation Update: What will upset the Goldilocks environment?
How to identify the future political and monetary policy events that will dominate market discussions is critical. It is our job to filter out noise and determine what signposts, events or issues are truly meaningful in terms of their potential impact on markets. This feels particularly pertinent at present, when the broad global macroeconomic environment can be characterised as ‘Goldilocks like’, with decent global growth and only gentle rises in inflation
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A case for unconstrained emerging market debt
Emerging market debt represents a key source of income and risk diversification in a low-yield environment. Investment managers with the ability and expertise to navigate the diverse universe of EMD assets can offer their clients opportunities for attractive growth and capital gains.
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In Credit: Abenomics 2.0
It was a mixed week for core government bonds with yields rising in Europe and the US, but falling in the UK and largely unchanged in Japan where Shinzo Abe won a large majority in last weekend’s general election. This victory leaves the road clear for more ultra-easy monetary policy in an economy that is growing but has so far failed to produce much in the way of inflation (Nationwide core CPI = 0.0% y/y).
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In Credit: The calm after the storms?
Core bond yields were flat in Japan, a touch wider in the UK and lower in the US and Europe last week. The International Monetary Fund raised its global GDP forecast marginally to 3.6% for 2017 ( 0.1%) and 3.7% for 2018, driven largely by an improved outlook in the US, Europe, Japan and China.
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In Credit: Corporate bond spreads tighten to post GFC lows
It was a fairly astonishing week in terms of news, though core bond markets were not much moved after the sell-off of recent weeks. Firstly in Europe, the ever-present issue of political cohesion was on the agenda again.
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Value resurrection on pause, but for how long?
Value investing has had a tough decade of underperformance. This seems to have led many investors to ignore the extensive research showing how value investing outperforms the market over longer time horizons, and today many are under-allocated to value stocks. However, history suggests that periods of value underperformance always end – and often they end abruptly - as we saw last year. The question is whether the factor rotation seen in the second half of 2016 was a one off event, or the beginning of a more sustainable comeback.
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The case for active asset management
The debate on whether to use passive or actively-managed funds can sometimes be one-sided. Our research suggests investors should keep an open mind.
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Responsible Investment Quarterly: Q2 2017
The second quarter of any year is a busy period in responsible investment, but this year more than ever.