Outlooks – Page 130
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White papersPutting clients first as Brexit begins
The Brexit negotiations will determine the shape of the UK’s future relationship with the European Union, setting out the structural framework within which asset managers and other businesses will need to operate.
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White papersWhy investors need a multi-layered approach to risk
The experiences of the 21st century have sent investors in different directions. Low equity returns since the turn of the millennium have prompted a search for new sources of risk, yet the traumatic experience of the 2008-2009 financial crash have also exposed the limitations of traditional measures.
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White papersEconomic Insights: June 2017
The nine years since the summer of 2007 were anything but normal. There was a nearly constant stream of financial crises: emanating first from the United States, then the Eurozone, and then from China’s stock market meltdown and surprise devaluation.
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White papersPalm oil, the environmental dilemma
Palm oil, used mainly and on a massive scale today by the agri-food and cosmetic industries, is severely criticised.
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White papersFive Ways Populism Could Impact Investors
Economic insecurity, social insecurity and political ineffectiveness: these developments have fed a resurgence of populist policies in many regions of the world. We think there’s potential for major impacts on global capital markets.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy: June 2017
Can global trade, which has declined sharply over the past decade, contribute to accelerating growth with consumption, investment and fiscal and tax policies?
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White papersAsset Allocation Update: UK earnings forecasts unchanged despite headwinds
Developments in the UK have led us to renew our focus on the region in recent weeks, amidst the start of Brexit negotiations and the general election.
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White papersHow the Populist Wave Could Reshape Policy
Populism is here—and it isn’t going away. The ideology can come from either side of the political spectrum, and it can have a big impact on policy, the macroeconomic landscape and—ultimately—how we invest today.
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White papersBig Tailwinds Are Backing Emerging Market Assets
As global growth firms up, many emerging market economies are powering ahead of the developed world. In aggregate, emerging economies are expected to grow by 4.1% in 2017, with developed markets growing by just over 2%. These superior growth dynamics aren’t the only tailwinds supporting emerging market (EM) assets.
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White papersUK Election Result Compounds Brexit Uncertainty
Britain’s election has produced a messy result, with no party securing an outright majority. The hung parliament adds further uncertainty to Brexit talks with the European Union(EU), though it probably won’t affect the UK’s short-term economic outlook.
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White papersPopulism: Here Today, Still Here Tomorrow
Today’s populism has grown rapidly, but its roots run deep. We expect that the social and economic trends that have caused it will last long after the current crop of populist leaders has faded from the scene. Investors should take notice.
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White papersWill Downbeat Labor Report Give the Fed Pause?
May’s labor-market report disappointed, with every meaningful indicator lower than expected and down from last month. But we don’t believe it’s weak enough to stop a June rate hike or knock the Fed off track.
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White papersAsset Allocation Monthly: May 2017
We have recently increased our equity rating to favour from neutral on the back of lower political risk and positive earnings developments.
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White papersThe emerging markets cloud receding
As US rhetoric on trade protectionism softens, investors are focusing on emerging markets’ fundamental attractions once more as productivity improvements and fast-growing young populations are driving superior economic growth.
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White papersHow should investors approach US infrastructure?
Improving and expanding US infrastructure involves more than building roads and bridges.
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White papersTrumponomics: What could go right?
When it comes to policy, there are things that can go right and things that can go wrong – particularly so with Trumponomics.
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White papersThe Cost of Trigger-Happy Investing
Brexit, Trump. There were plenty of big surprises last year. The one that may matter most for investment portfolios is how financial markets responded.
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White papersOur Convictions: May 2017
We have repeatedly mentioned how financial markets have tended to overestimate the risks of European elections, underestimate the fears of the Brexit and overestimate hopes on Trump’s economic policy.
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White papersFrench Presidential Elections: Macron president - risks disappear...Back to fundamentals
The second round of the presidential election provided the name of the winner: E. Macron is the next president of the French Republic (66% of the votes).
