Outlooks – Page 14
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Will Artificial Intelligence increase economic growth?
Recent advances in the development of Artificial Intelligence (AI) could lead to potentially disruptive changes across a wide range of industries and impact economic activity through multiple channels. AI is widely seen as significantly different from previous technological innovations. But will it significantly increase aggregate economic growth through its impact on labour markets and increases in productivity?
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Voluntary Carbon Markets: Is the nuance lost in the noise?
The integrity of some of the world’s Voluntary Carbon Market (VCM) schemes is a hot-button issue. However, we believe it’s important to understand some of the differences in standards around the world – as well as the progress being made towards tightening them.
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Tokenisation: The next frontier for investing?
We investigate recent technological advances in the bond markets and examine what impact tokenisation and digital currencies might have on investing in the future.
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Brave New World: 2024 European Insurance Outlook
Insurers likely face a very different investment regime today than they have in the past, with higher and more volatile interest rates as well as structurally higher inflation. We think this will intensify the focus on strategic asset allocation. We offer three themes for insurance investors as 2024 gets under way.
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See, Like, Click, Buy
As retailers extend festive shopping seasons and leverage social media platforms to boost sales, the social commerce industry is expected to soar.
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Battery storage in the energy transition
Institutional Investing in Infrastructure (i3): article extract
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Global Macro Outlook - First Quarter 2024
After two years of aggressive tightening, global central banks pivoted in December. We expect some growth in the coming quarters, albeit subdued compared to history. With inflation easing, most global economies are off to a good start for the year. Yet, things can, and do, change quickly.
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Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - January 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 10 January 2024
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Healthcare investing - 2024 outlook brighter on compelling valuations and easing headwinds
2023 was a tough year for healthcare investing, resulting in the sector lagging the broader indices by the widest margin since 1999. We believe the outlook for 2024 is much more favourable as the sector’s valuation is highly compelling, while many of the headwinds are abating.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2024
Topic of the Month - Europe: time for fiscal consolidation
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White papers
What does waning risk appetite mean?
The first week of January is usually a positive one for markets, and this is mainly due to various reallocation flows. However, the first week of 2024 followed two months of high returns on equities and bonds. A moment’s pause is probably in order to take stock of recent valuations. Is the Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) pivot and the long-predicted soft landing already fully priced in? In this weekly edition of Simply put we ask whether declining risk appetites point to a weaker outlook.
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Decoding the AI opportunity
In 2023, we saw significant future value creation from artificial intelligence pulled forward and reflected in share prices of companies set to benefit from this multi-generational opportunity.
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Corporate Credit Outlook 2024: High Tide for Yield?
Weakening economic fundamentals shouldn’t scare away corporate bond investors in 2024—provided they keep a close eye on credit quality.
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Poll Positioning
Voters representing around half of the world’s GDP go to the polls this year—what might that mean for the economy and investors?
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Asset Allocation Committee Outlook: 1Q 2024
“One of the lessons to take from 2023 is that markets can defy apparently soft fundamentals for much longer than one might expect.”
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High yield credit outlook: Favorable dynamics persist
Brandywine Global: While tight monetary policy may become more problematic for the economy over time, many high yield bond issuers are focused on improving credit quality. This may put them in a better position to endure an economic downturn.
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White papers
LOIM Circular Economy: three years of investing in the power of nature
Circular Economy, one of our high-conviction equity strategies, recently marked its three-year anniversary. The strategy seeks growth opportunities arising from the transition to a bio-based and circular economy, which harnesses and preserves nature and its valuable, regenerative resources.
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Private Credit Outlook: Evolution and Opportunity
Private credit has in a little more than a decade evolved from a niche asset class to a key component of a diversified investment portfolio. We think it will be even more important in 2024 as banks’ reluctance to lend widens the opportunity set for investors.
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White papers
Outlook 2024: Prepare for changes in the investing climate
Heading into 2024, it is difficult to remember another time when the outlook was so uncertain. Recession or expansion? Inflation or deflation? Higher interest rates for longer or central banks preparing to pivot? Take your pick and you will find a pundit arguing for each scenario as if it was a foregone conclusion.
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White papers
Equity Outlook: Three Questions for Investors in 2024
It’s hard to chart a course through equity markets in times of uncertainty. Here are our thoughts on some of the big questions on investors’ minds today.