Outlooks – Page 126
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White papersSizing Up Markets - and Your Investment Strategy
Today’s risks are clear: stock valuations are high, credit spreads are tight and interest rates remain low. A modest tilt toward return-seeking assets still makes sense. But investors should also be willing to look beyond traditional stocks and bonds.
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White papers
The beginning of India’s transformation
Events in 2017 confirm that that India is at a turning point, with Narenda Modi’s reformist BJP party winning a sweeping victory in the state of Uttar Pradesh.
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White papersArgentina: the ‘emerging’ emerging market
Despite not being upgraded to emerging market status this year, the outlook for Argentina remains positive.
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White papersWhy the active vs. passive debate is largely moot for European insurers
Insurance companies typically have reasonably static portfolios, which change little from year to year.
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White papersPutting clients first as Brexit begins
The Brexit negotiations will determine the shape of the UK’s future relationship with the European Union, setting out the structural framework within which asset managers and other businesses will need to operate.
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White papersWhy investors need a multi-layered approach to risk
The experiences of the 21st century have sent investors in different directions. Low equity returns since the turn of the millennium have prompted a search for new sources of risk, yet the traumatic experience of the 2008-2009 financial crash have also exposed the limitations of traditional measures.
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White papersEconomic Insights: June 2017
The nine years since the summer of 2007 were anything but normal. There was a nearly constant stream of financial crises: emanating first from the United States, then the Eurozone, and then from China’s stock market meltdown and surprise devaluation.
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White papersPalm oil, the environmental dilemma
Palm oil, used mainly and on a massive scale today by the agri-food and cosmetic industries, is severely criticised.
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White papersFive Ways Populism Could Impact Investors
Economic insecurity, social insecurity and political ineffectiveness: these developments have fed a resurgence of populist policies in many regions of the world. We think there’s potential for major impacts on global capital markets.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy: June 2017
Can global trade, which has declined sharply over the past decade, contribute to accelerating growth with consumption, investment and fiscal and tax policies?
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White papersAsset Allocation Update: UK earnings forecasts unchanged despite headwinds
Developments in the UK have led us to renew our focus on the region in recent weeks, amidst the start of Brexit negotiations and the general election.
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White papersHow the Populist Wave Could Reshape Policy
Populism is here—and it isn’t going away. The ideology can come from either side of the political spectrum, and it can have a big impact on policy, the macroeconomic landscape and—ultimately—how we invest today.
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White papersBig Tailwinds Are Backing Emerging Market Assets
As global growth firms up, many emerging market economies are powering ahead of the developed world. In aggregate, emerging economies are expected to grow by 4.1% in 2017, with developed markets growing by just over 2%. These superior growth dynamics aren’t the only tailwinds supporting emerging market (EM) assets.
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White papersUK Election Result Compounds Brexit Uncertainty
Britain’s election has produced a messy result, with no party securing an outright majority. The hung parliament adds further uncertainty to Brexit talks with the European Union(EU), though it probably won’t affect the UK’s short-term economic outlook.
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White papersPopulism: Here Today, Still Here Tomorrow
Today’s populism has grown rapidly, but its roots run deep. We expect that the social and economic trends that have caused it will last long after the current crop of populist leaders has faded from the scene. Investors should take notice.
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White papersWill Downbeat Labor Report Give the Fed Pause?
May’s labor-market report disappointed, with every meaningful indicator lower than expected and down from last month. But we don’t believe it’s weak enough to stop a June rate hike or knock the Fed off track.
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White papersAsset Allocation Monthly: May 2017
We have recently increased our equity rating to favour from neutral on the back of lower political risk and positive earnings developments.
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White papersThe emerging markets cloud receding
As US rhetoric on trade protectionism softens, investors are focusing on emerging markets’ fundamental attractions once more as productivity improvements and fast-growing young populations are driving superior economic growth.
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White papersHow should investors approach US infrastructure?
Improving and expanding US infrastructure involves more than building roads and bridges.
