All Latin America articles – Page 2
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy Special Edition: Outlook 2019
With late cycle features continuing to materialise and a higher level of vulnerability developing due to the uncertain geopolitical backdrop, 2019 will require investors to embrace a more prudent approach, despite the benign global economic outlook.
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China & Brazil: Currencies on Diverging Paths?
The election of a new leader in Brazil and the escalating Sino-U.S. trade war could send their currencies, the real and yuan, on diverging paths.
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Brazilian elections: lights and shadows on the horizon
The expected outcome of the presidential election occurred, with right-wing candidate Jair Bolsonaro winning vs the leftist Fernando Haddad.
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Exchange rate predictability in Emerging Markets
This paper uses financial and macroeconomic variables to predict currency returns, by using a two-step procedure. The first step consists of a cointegration equation that explains the exchange rate level as a function of global and domestic financial factors. The second step estimates an error-correction equation, for modeling the expected returns. This approach is a factor model analysis, where a Lasso derived technique is used for variable selection.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy: July 2018
Since the beginning of the year, emerging market risky assets have become more volatile.
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Political Event Risk Raises Stakes for Sudden Price Moves
Major political event risk, ranging from elections in Mexico, Brazil and the U.S., to Brexit and NAFTA negotiations, could swing equity, bond, FX and ags markets.
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Asset Allocation Update: Strong earnings prompt US equities upgrade
Amid background noise such as ongoing trade skirmishes involving the US, the evolving Chinese economy and geo-political tensions, we have spent time analysing recent market movements and the implications for risk assets.
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5G in Latin America: A region’s global competitiveness at stake
So far, this series, 5G: The Foundation for a HyperConnected World, has examined the transformational technology that will redefine communications and have lasting impacts on several industries. Most recently we’ve explored 5G’s potential impact in Africa and how the continent could benefit from the technology.
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Monthly FX Report
Keep up with what the market is saying and what’s happening in our marketplace.
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Replicating OTC FX Market Positions with CME FX Futures
Explore the advantages that CME FX futures offer traditional market practitioners in the OTC FX markets, and how CME FX futures can be used to replicate cost-efficient, manageable synthetic exposure to OTC FX spot, forwards, and swaps.
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The Greenwich Perspective: A Bright Future for FX Futures
Greenwich Associates recently published a paper assessing the value and viability of FX futures as a proxy to the OTC FX market.
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Managing currency risk in equity portfolios
This report shows how equity index futures provide a more flexible alternative than cash equity products for managing foreign exchange risks.
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Equity Index Futures vs. ETFs Total Cost Analysis Tool
This tool is designed to analyze the all-in costs of replicating the S&P 500 by trading equity index futures versus exchange-traded funds.
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The Big Picture: A Cost Comparison of Futures and ETFs
Analyse the potential cost advantages of E-mini S&P futures as they pertain to your specific investment scenarios.
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Venezuela on the edge of the cliff: let's be cautious
President Nicolas Maduro recently announced the Republic of Venezuela’s intention to restructure all foreign debt, thus recognising the country’s current debt load as unsustainable.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy: July 2017
FOMC members plan to reduce the Fed’s balance sheet this year and gave recently some precisions about how they will do.
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Argentina: the ‘emerging’ emerging market
Despite not being upgraded to emerging market status this year, the outlook for Argentina remains positive.
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Emerging market assets: Zoom out and re-focus
Emerging market assets well placed to outperform their developed world counterparts but too much attention is devoted to the short term.
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Asset Allocation Monthly: May 2017
We have recently increased our equity rating to favour from neutral on the back of lower political risk and positive earnings developments.
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The emerging markets cloud receding
As US rhetoric on trade protectionism softens, investors are focusing on emerging markets’ fundamental attractions once more as productivity improvements and fast-growing young populations are driving superior economic growth.
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