Latest White Papers – Page 12
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White papersMarket Outlook - Fixed income: Monetary policy should bolster markets
Fixed income markets should benefit from continued central bank easing in 2026. We expect lower interest rates in the US as policymakers respond to weaker labour market trends, and lower rates in Europe because of further declines in inflation.
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White papersFixed Income Outlook: Why flexibility will be key for fixed income investors in 2026
Despite no shortage of challenges and obstacles, returns across fixed income asset classes have been largely positive in 2025, with income levels a major contributing factor.
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White papersInsurance outlook: Managing change is business as usual
Curve steepening combined with compressed equity and credit risk premia could pose a challenge for insurers, requiring skilful management of duration and risk.
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White papersGlobal pension trends: What to expect in 2026
Pension reforms are at an inflection point as UK and Dutch pension systems enter 2026 with high funding ratios, regulatory clarity, and the scope to re-risk in controlled ways. We expect much wider adoption of cash-flow driven investing (CDI) strategies for defined benefit (DB) plans and some re-risking for the forthcoming Dutch collective defined contribution (DC) system.
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White papersEuropean strategic autonomy: A long-term investment opportunity
Europe is deepening its quest for strategic autonomy. What began as a post-pandemic policy slogan has evolved into a financial reality, with tangible investment implications – Europe now allocates billions annually to defence, industrial resilience, and key technology sectors.
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White papersArtificial intelligence: Not a bubble… yet
Artificial intelligence (AI) is the most impactful digital transformation theme since the development of the Internet. The public launch of ChatGPT in November 2022 catalysed a wave of investment and innovation that continues to build momentum. As excitement about the potential for this new technology builds toward very high expectations, investors and industry participants are questioning if we are entering a bubble. Our current conclusion is that AI is not a bubble… yet. We are carefully monitoring risks and similarities to the Internet and telecom bubble (the ‘dotcom era’).
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White papersSustainable investing in 2026: The continuing path to a more resilient future
Despite a turbulent period of sustainable investing, commitment to sustainability remains strong across Europe and Asia.
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White papersReal assets outlook: Widening investment opportunities
The logistics sector continues to lead the way within the real assets universe, in both the US and Europe. High-quality offices are seeing an improvement in pricing as the ‘return to office’ mandate gathers pace.
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White papersAlternative credit outlook: Stability amid global shifts
Global markets have shown remarkable resilience despite persistent geopolitical tensions and evolving trade dynamics. Since the implementation of the ‘Liberation Day’ tariff measures, risk assets – particularly credit – have remained strong, supported by resilient economic growth and increasingly accommodative monetary conditions.
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White papersWhy flexibility will be key for fixed income in 2026
Despite no shortage of challenges and obstacles, returns across fixed income asset classes have been largely positive in 2025, with income levels a major contributing factor.
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White papersInvestment Outlook 2026 – The shifting investment landscape
Against a backdrop of volatile geopolitics, tariffs, and policy shifts, the global economy enters 2026 with surprising resilience.
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White papersFall 2025 Private Markets Outlook: In an Inflection Year, Selection Matters More
Private markets appear to be nearing an inflection point, presenting both new opportunities and risks. We believe that’s when manager selection matters most.
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White papersEuropean equities - European strategic autonomy: A long-term investment opportunity
Europe is deepening its quest for strategic autonomy. What began as a post-pandemic policy slogan has evolved into a financial reality, with tangible investment implications – Europe now allocates billions annually to defence, industrial resilience, and key technology sectors.
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White papersUS equities - Artificial intelligence: Not a bubble… yet
Artificial intelligence (AI) is the most impactful digital transformation theme since the development of the Internet.
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White papersThink global beyond the tech race
“The tech capex supercycle is no longer just a US story — China is catching up, and global adoption across industries is turning this into a global opportunity.”
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White papers‘Controlled Disorder’ with room for accidents
We will remain in an environment of heightened geopolitical risk in 2026. This is a result of various megatrends still playing out, including: the transition to multipolarity, economic warfare, US–China competition, as well as the arms and technology race underway. The war in Ukraine and tensions in the Middle East are additional factors. As geopolitical risk remains elevated, so is the likelihood of downside surprises and tensions flaring up. However, geopolitics also defines trends that bring opportunities. While uncertainty will prevail, geopolitics in 2026 will bring both upsides and downsides for investors.
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White papersFixed income in the new policy order
We see a continuation of the diversification trend seen in 2026. Fixed income investors may be underestimating the risk stemming from US expansionary fiscal policy. We see opportunities in inflation break-evens, and yield curve steepening later in the year. Quality credit becomes a core allocation for fixed income investors, thanks to sound fundamentals and a better risk-return profile compared to Treasuries. European bonds remain a key call for 2026, with a focus on peripheral bonds and investment grade credit, particularly in financials.
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White papersKeep it turning
A spirit of endurance has characterized the market rally of the past year and looks set to persist in 2026. So will some of the asset price paradoxes that are emerging as the global economy transitions to a new innovation-led regime and as geopolitics enters a phase of controlled disorder.
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White papersMacroeconomic outlook: Surprisingly resilient
The global economy has proved surprisingly resilient in 2025. In the immediate aftermath of Liberation Day, the IMF forecast that the global economy would grow by 2.8% in 2025. It now expects global growth of 3.2% this year.
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White papers2026 Investment Outlook
A spirit of endurance has characterized the market rally of the past year. This looks set to persist in 2026 as the global economy transitions to a new innovation-led regime and geopolitics enters a phase of controlled disorder.
