The year 2025 was marked by a high degree of economic policy uncertainty, as the US import tariffs placed a noticeable burden on export‑oriented economies such as Switzerland. With the start of 2026, geopolitical risks have come to the forefront. The conflict in the Middle East has driven commodity markets into extreme volatility and has heightened concerns about stagflation. Europe is feeling these effects very acutely, which is dampening the expected economic recovery.
After a subdued performance in 2022 and 2023, capital market transactions gained noticeable momentum in 2024. So far in 2025, more than CHF 3.4 billion has flowed into Swiss real estate funds, with nearly one-third of that amount allocated to non-listed real estate funds. Additional emissions of around CHF 750 million have already been announced by the end of the year.
The Swiss economy grew by 0.8% in 1Q25, driven mainly by early export activities ahead of Liberation Day. However, momentum slowed in Q2, with GDP growth at just 0.1%, though still stronger than expected.